Saturday, April 18, 2026

Trump Flirts With War Crimes – OpEd


April 18, 2026 
By William J. Watkins, Jr.


President Donald Trump owes the Pakistanis for securing a fourteen-day ceasefire with Iran. He now has a chance to extricate the United States from the biggest blunder of his second term. Tensions, however, remain high. “It is emphasized that this does not signify the termination of the war,” the Iranian government said in a formal statement. “Our hands remain upon the trigger, and should the slightest error be committed by the enemy, it shall be met with full force.”

One must worry that Trump does not appreciate the ceasefire off-ramp as good luck or an unmerited gift; instead, he likely will credit his threats to destroy “a whole civilization…never to be brought back again.” If the ceasefire breaks down, Trump could fulfill his commitment to “rain Hell” on Iran.

While typing away on Truth Social, Trump is oblivious that he is giving an anticipatory confession to war crimes. In addition to the posts quoted above, the president has threatened to destroy Iran’s power plants, oil wells, and desalinization facilities if certain demands are rejected. Civilizational devastation, Trump raved, “will be in retribution for our many soldiers, and others, that Iran has butchered and killed over the old Regime’s 47 year ‘Reign of Terror.’”

Trump’s promises violate fundamental tenets of the laws and customs of armed conflict (also known as international humanitarian law, “IHL”) which yields individual criminal responsibility under international law. This area of IHL is clear and not subject to different spins.

As an initial matter, Trump’s war plans violate protocols to the Geneva Convention codifying the principle of distinction. According to Article 48 of the relevant protocol, “the Parties to the conflict shall at all times distinguish between the civilian population and combatants and between civilian objects and military objectives and accordingly shall direct their operations only against military objectives.” [Emphasis added] Article 51 further prohibits “[a]cts or threats of violence the primary purpose of which is to spread terror among the civilian population.”


Trump’s possible targets enumerated on Truth Social are integral to provision of basic services to civilians. The president is not threatening military bases, missile silos, or drone manufacturing facilities. Instead, he proposes to bring suffering on Iran’s civilian population simply because he can. IHL prohibits such methods of war as uncivilized.

Trump and his war hawk apologists will likely counter that destruction of certain infrastructure could produce a military benefit and thus is allowed. This is not true. Article 51 sets forth the principle of proportionality which prohibits military attacks expected to cause harm to civilians that is excessive in relation to the concrete and direct military advantage anticipated. Just because soldiers use electricity and drink water does not mean that the United States is justified in destroying all of Iran’s power plants and desalinization facilities.

Further damning to the president’s case is his stated reason for attacking civilian targets and infrastructure: “retribution” for the conduct of a regime he alleges no longer holds power. IHL strictly prohibits reprisals against the civilian population. A reprisal is an action typically illegal that is taken to force the enemy to stop its own violations of IHL. For example, if Iran executed American prisoners of war (“POWs”), the United States could execute Iranian POWs to persuade Iran to comply with the Geneva Convention. In the present conflict, Trump has not identified Iranian IHL violations and even if he had done so, the United States could not institute reprisals against civilian targets or persons.

At best, Trump’s statements on Truth Social are desperate bombast from a leader who regrets taking advice from Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu and Senator Lindsey Graham (R-SC). At worst, they are an outline for barbarism unfit for the leader of a federal republic.

If the ceasefire does not result in a permanent settlement and Trump follows through on his threats to civilians and civilian infrastructure, IHL is squarely against him. He should not be surprised if the International Criminal Court (“ICC”), which is charged with investigating war crimes and similar matters, issues a warrant for his arrest. Such a warrant would prevent Trump from traveling outside of the United States because of the risk of arrest. No more golf trips to Ireland for the Donald.

While Trump has just complaints about the lawfare waged against him by the likes of Alvin Bragg, Letitia James, and Fani Willis, an ICC matter would be different. Trump’s own words convict him and are counter to the established laws and customs of armed conflict.



This article was originally published by The Libertarian Institute



William J. Watkins, Jr.

William J. Watkins, Jr. is a Research Fellow at The Independent Institute and author of the Independent books, Crossroads for Liberty: Recovering the Anti-Federalist Values of America’s First Constitution, Reclaiming the American Revolution: The Kentucky and Virginia Resolutions and Their Legacy, and Patent Trolls: Predatory Litigation and the Smothering of Innovation. Full Biography and Recent Publications
Seismic Sensing Reveals Rapid Permafrost Thaw Under Rivers

Riverine permafrost research site on Qinghai-Tibet Plateau. 
CREDIT: Courtesy of Haoyuan Sun



April 18, 2026 
By Eurasia Review


Thawing permafrost buried underneath rivers may be accelerating permafrost degradation faster than previously estimated in these inundated regions, according to new research shared at the 2026 SSA Annual Meeting.

Haoyuan Sun of Zhejiang University and colleagues used distributed acoustic sensing (DAS) on an existing telecommunications cable to develop a uniquely detailed look at the permafrost dynamics in river channels on the Qinghai-Tibet Plateau.

Their models based on the DAS data suggest that “river-induced warming may accelerate thaw progression on the order of 15%, compared with simulations based on more conventional parameter choices,” said Sun.

Permafrost regions are disappearing as the planet warms. Melting permafrost can release stores of potent greenhouse gases such as methane that further accelerate climate change. As the supportive permanent frozen layer melts, the ground shifts and slumps, causing damage to roads, buildings and pipelines.

Sun and colleagues found a thicker than expected “active layer” of permafrost beneath rivers. The active layer is the near-surface part of permafrost that thaws in warm seasons and re-freezes in cold seasons.


“We expected the river to enhance thawing to some extent, since flowing water can transfer heat into the surrounding ground and maintain warmer subsurface conditions than nearby dry land,” Sun explained. “So the presence of a thicker active layer beneath the river was not unexpected.”

“What was particularly striking, however, was how clearly and consistently this contrast appeared when comparing the inundated zone with adjacent non-inundated areas,” he added.

The river corridor “acts as a localized zone of enhanced thaw,” said Sun.

To better understand local heat transfer, the researchers used DAS to gather a snapshot of the actual thaw state under rivers. Many traditional studies of this phenomenon are based on generalized assumptions about heat flow, the researchers noted.

DAS turns a single fiber-optic cable laid on the ground surface into thousands of tiny seismic sensors. Compared to traditional seismic monitoring stations, DAS provides extremely dense seismic coverage of a region without digging boreholes or otherwise disturbing the ground. “This is especially important in environmentally sensitive permafrost regions,” Sun said.

Seismic waves move at different velocities depending on whether they are traveling through frozen or thawed ground. The researchers analyzed the wave data collected by the DAS deployment to estimate the seismic velocity structure under the rivers.

“By mapping these velocity contrasts with depth and along the cable, we can identify the boundary between the active layer and the underlying permafrost,” Sun explained.

The high spatial resolution provided by the DAS array “enabled us to detect small-scale variations in thaw depth that would be difficult to capture with sparse measurements,” he added.


Based on the DAS data, Sun and colleagues suggest the heat transfer is about 30% higher than typically calculated for permafrost under rivers.

“While this does not translate directly into a 30% increase in thaw rate, it does imply a faster thermal response, corresponding to roughly a 15% increase in thaw progression,” Sun said.

If cold region climates become warmer and wetter in the future, their model suggests enhanced permafrost thaw will increase risks to riverside infrastructure, the researchers concluded.
Warm-Bodied Sharks And Tunas Face ‘Double Jeopardy’ In Warming Seas


April 18, 2026
By Eurasia Review


A new study reveals that some of the ocean’s most powerful predators are running hotter, and that they are likely paying an increasingly steep price for it. The significance of this headline finding is the “double jeopardy” in which it places these iconic animals, which have high fuel demands due to their lifestyle and physiology, as they now face a future of warming oceans and declining food resources.

The research, led by scientists at Trinity College Dublin in collaboration with the University of Pretoria’s (UP) Faculty of Veterinary Science, shows that warm-bodied fish such as tunas and some sharks, including the legendary Great White and Ireland’s iconic basking shark, burn nearly four times more energy than their cold-blooded counterparts. This means they are likely to face an increasing risk of overheating as oceans warm, which may result in a reduction of suitable habitat and an enforced relocation towards the poles.

The study, published in leading international journal Science, focuses on “mesothermic” fishes, a rare group comprising fewer than 0.1% of all fish species, which can retain metabolic heat and keep parts of their bodies warmer than the surrounding seawater. This ability has evolved independently several times in some sharks and tunas, enabling higher swimming speeds, long-distance migrations, and enhanced predatory performance.

To understand the cost of this high-performance lifestyle, the Trinity and UP scientists developed a novel way to estimate metabolic rate in free-swimming fish. By analysing biologging data—from tiny sensors that record body and water temperatures—the team calculated how much heat fish produce and lose in real time. They combined these new measurements, including data from huge basking sharks weighing up to 3.5 tonnes, with hundreds of lab measurements from smaller species.

Dr Nicholas Payne, from Trinity’s School of Natural Sciences, is first author of the research paper. He said: “The results were really quite striking – after accounting for body size and temperature, we found that mesothermic fishes use about 3.8 times more energy than similarly sized ‘ectothermic’, or ‘cold-blooded’ fishes. In addition, a 10°C increase in body temperature more than doubles a fish’s routine metabolic rate which, in practical terms, means warm-bodied predators must consume far more food to fuel their lifestyle.”


“But that heighted energy demand is only part of the story because as fish grow larger their bodies generate heat faster than they can lose it,” adds Dr Payne. “This creates a mismatch driven by basic geometry and physics because bigger bodies retain heat more effectively, and in mesotherms, high metabolic rates amplify this effect.”

The team found that larger fish become increasingly “warm-bodied” simply because of this imbalance, and it is this scaling mismatch that creates an overheating dilemma with significant implications for these species.

Professor Andrew Jackson from Trinity’s School of Natural Sciences is senior author of the research paper. He said: “Based on the data we were able to create theoretical ‘heat-balance thresholds’, which are the water temperatures above which large fish cannot shed heat quickly enough to maintain stable body temperatures without changing their behaviour or physiology. For example, a 1-tonne warm-bodied shark may struggle to remain in heat balance in waters above about 17°C.”

“Above such thresholds, fish must slow down, alter blood flow, or dive into cooler depths to avoid dangerous warming but that comes at a cost too; it might be harder to find food, or catch it, for example – especially if your main weapon is speed and power.”


These findings seemingly help to explain long-observed patterns in the ocean, where large fishes tend to occur in cooler waters, at higher latitudes, or at greater depths. They also migrate seasonally, tracking favourable temperatures.

Unsurprisingly, the scientists predict that under future warming scenarios suitable habitat for large mesotherms will shrink, and particularly so during summer months. And while some species, such as Atlantic bluefin tuna, can temporarily increase heat loss or dive to cooler waters, even they may be pushed to their limits if surface waters continue to warm.

Dr Snelling, UP, says: “This research shows that being a high-performance predator in the ocean comes at a greater cost than we previously appreciated. As the oceans warm, these species are being pushed closer to their physiological limits, which could have consequences for where they can live and how they survive.”

“What’s particularly concerning is that these animals are already operating on a tight energy budget, and climate change is narrowing their options even further. Understanding these constraints is essential if we want to predict how marine ecosystems will shift in the coming decades.”

“The implications are really sobering as this new finding essentially places these animals in ‘double jeopardy,” adds Dr Payne. “Many mesothermic fishes are already heavily impacted by overfishing of themselves and also their prey species, so their elevated energy needs make them especially vulnerable when their food becomes scarce.”

“Fossil evidence suggests that warm-bodied marine giants, like the infamous extinct Megalodon shark, suffered disproportionately during past climate shifts when seas changed and today’s oceans are changing at unprecedented speeds, so the alarm bells are ringing loudly at this point.”

What are the potential implications of this research?

Ultimately this crucial research provides a new framework for predicting which species are most at risk in a warming world and shows that many of the ocean’s fastest and most formidable predators may also be among its most physiologically constrained. As climate change accelerates, understanding the hidden heat budgets of marine giants could prove critical to conserving them.
US Forest Service Plan To Close Research Stations Stokes Fear As Wildfire Season Approaches



Clouds hang over Lake Cushman, as seen from the mountains of the Olympic National Forest. (Photo by Alex Brown/Stateline)

April 18, 2026
Stateline
By Alex Brown

(Stateline) — The U.S. Forest Service’s plan to close scores of research stations could threaten the nation’s wildfire readiness, many foresters fear, and erode decades of work to understand timber production, soil health, pests and diseases, watersheds and wildlife.

Late last month, the Forest Service announced plans to close 57 of its 77 research stations, located across 31 states, merging them into a single organization in Fort Collins, Colorado.

The agency described the move as a way to consolidate, not cut, the agency’s scientific work, and “unify research priorities.”

It’s unclear how many scientists will be affected by the transition, but it comes as part of a larger agency reorganization that is expected to move roughly 5,000 employees to new outposts. Forest Service leaders have framed the closures as a way to reduce the agency’s real estate footprint, citing a facilities budget Congress has shrunk, as opposed to curtailing its scientific work.

But many longtime foresters fear the closures will threaten vital research that has been the backbone of forest management for state agencies, timber companies and tribes. Many of the research stations slated for closure study fire behavior, forecast smoke dispersal and help inform evacuation decisions.

“The research arm of the Forest Service is one of the unsung heroes in forest management around the world,” said Mike Dombeck, who served as chief of the Forest Service under President Bill Clinton and remains a vocal conservation advocate. “It is the premier forest research entity in the world, on everything from invasive species to wildland fire risk, watershed protection, basic silviculture and harvest methods.”


The Forest Service’s revamp also will relocate the agency’s headquarters from Washington, D.C., to Salt Lake City and restructure its regional management system.

The Forest Service did not grant a Stateline interview request. The agency has not said how much money it expects to save by closing the research stations.

Many Western leaders are skeptical that the consolidated operation will be able to replicate the work of the existing research stations. State officials said they’ve been given few details about how the transition will play out and whether existing research will continue.

In Washington state, the Forest Service plans to close research stations in Seattle and Wenatchee, while maintaining a facility in Olympia.

“The station in Seattle does some of the most practical-based research that we use for fire and forest management,” said Washington State Forester George Geissler. “We don’t want to lose that work. They’ve said they’ll keep Olympia open, but we don’t know what that looks like. Are they making sure we don’t lose the ongoing research?”

Forestry veterans say it’s important for the agency to continue its scientific work across a wide variety of forests and climates.

“This is research that’s been going on for decades or even a century or more,” said Kevin Hood, executive director of Forest Service Employees for Environmental Ethics, a nonprofit that advocates for agency workers. “They’re able to see how climate change impacts are playing out in a dry ponderosa forest or a humid hardwood forest. There are research plots and experimental forests that have been diligently studied for decades. This could be a loss of a lot of knowledge.”

The Pacific Wildland Fire Sciences Laboratory, for instance, plays a crucial role in issuing wildfire smoke forecasts that are relied on throughout the Northwest. After a hot, dry winter, that work could be critical as a dangerous wildfire season approaches.

In Vermont, the Burlington research station slated for closure studied maple syrup production and the effects of acid rain on different tree species, according to VTDigger.

And in Mississippi, the Southern Institute of Forest Genetics, also on the chopping block, has guided tree improvement programs that improved growth and pest resistance in Southern timber forests.

Some conservation advocates are concerned that the research station closures are aimed at suppressing studies that might show the environmental harms of logging or mining. President Donald Trump has pledged to increase timber production on federal lands. He has moved to limit environmental reviews and protections for endangered species to speed up logging projects.

In an interview with the Deseret News, Forest Service Chief Tom Schultz said that the move was designed to ensure that the Forest Service’s research “will better align with the priorities of the administration” — minerals, recreation, fire management and “active management” of forests, which can include timber harvests and thinning projects. He said the research would support not just forests but also private landowners.

“It’s not streamlining, it’s dismantling,” said Chandra Rosenthal, Western lands and Rocky Mountain advocate with Public Employees for Environmental Responsibility, a group that defends whistleblowers in the federal service. “It’s going to really impact how the Forest Service makes decisions on the ground. The way the Trump administration is trying to make a lot of decisions is gut feelings.”

In a webpage set up to respond to news coverage of the move, the Forest Service said it is a “myth” that the station closures will eliminate scientific positions or cancel research programs. But many forestry veterans said that attrition is inevitable, as researchers are asked to move their families across the country to work under a new model with few details.

“There’s concern that we’re going to see a lot of really good individuals who cannot uproot their families that we’ll lose,” said Geissler, the Washington state forester. “It’s taken a long time to develop that kind of expertise. It’s scary.”

Foresters in both conservative and liberal states said they rely heavily on the research the Forest Service provides. Most were unwilling to comment extensively about the closures without seeing more details.

“That work is absolutely important, and I sure hope it continues,” said Wyoming State Forester Kelly Norris. “I don’t think research should stop. It may need to look a little different.”

Some leaders said there may be opportunities for states, through forestry agencies and universities, to pick up the slack and ensure research continues, even if the Forest Service is no longer playing a lead role.

“This is still a little bit of an unknown area, but we’ll have to make sure that if there’s a gap there, that we’re working with our universities and (state) research centers to make sure that is still being provided,” said Utah State Forester Jamie Barnes.


Nick Smith, public affairs director with the American Forest Resource Council, a timber industry group, expressed support for the agency’s effort to consolidate its work, saying he’d had “limited interaction” with the research stations.

While some of the Forest Service’s work is controversial, agency veterans say its research program is valued by loggers and tree-huggers alike.

“Nobody was asking for this,” said Robert Bonnie, who served as undersecretary of agriculture for natural resources and environment during the Obama administration.

 “There was no call to do anything like this.”

Stateline reporter Alex Brown can be reached at abrown@stateline.org.


Stateline
Stateline journalists illuminate the big challenges and policy trends that cross state borders. We cover health care, education, the environment and other issues that shape our daily lives — and can be influenced by unseen forces. Stateline is part of States Newsroom, the nation’s largest state-focused nonprofit news organization, with reporting from every capital.


From The Arab Maghreb Union To The Union Of Tamazgha: Rachid Raha, The Amazigh Demand, And The Identity Foundations Of North African Integration – Analysis

The Arab Maghreb Union (UMA), founded on February 17, 1989, in Marrakech by Morocco, Algeria, Tunisia, Libya, and Mauritania,



An Amazigh woman. Photo Credit: Zarakibleach, Wikimedia Commons


Abstract

This essay examines the proposal by Rachid Raha, president of the World Amazigh Assembly (AMA), to dissolve the Arab Maghreb Union (UMA) (Chtatou, 2022, February 1; Chtatou, 2022, January 18) in favor of a “Union of Tamazgha,” a political entity founded on the shared Amazigh civilizational identity of the North African peoples. By combining an analysis of the structural shortcomings of the Arab Maghreb Union (UMA) since its founding in 1989, the construction of Arab nationalism in the Maghreb (Chtatou, 2022, January 18), the dynamics of the contemporary Amazigh movement, the theoretical frameworks of ethnicity and regionalism, and the geopolitical challenges specific to the North African region, this essay argues that Raha’s proposal constitutes both a relevant diagnosis of the ideological impasses of Maghreb integration and a normative project whose feasibility faces considerable political, demographic, and geostrategic obstacles. It concludes by suggesting that the main value of the idea of ​​a Union of Tamazgha lies less in its immediate applicability than in its capacity to destabilize official narratives and open up a space for reflection on the conditions for a genuinely pluralistic regional integration.



1. Introduction: An Explosive Proposal in a Crisis Context



Rachid Raha, President of the Assemblée mondiale amazighe (AMA)

In December 2011, at the sixth general assembly of the World Amazigh Congress held in Brussels, Berberist delegates proposed an ambitious political project, “The Tamazgha Manifesto,” which was endorsed by the seventh general assembly in December 2013 in the Moroccan city of Tiznit. The World Amazigh Congress, which was subsequently renamed the World Amazigh Assembly (AMA), launched a resounding appeal: to replace the Arab Maghreb Union (UMA) (Chtatou, 2022, February 1; Chtatou, 2022, January 18) with a “Union of Tamazgha,” a political space founded not on the shared Arabic language or Islamic religion, but on the belonging of North African peoples to the same Amazigh civilizational matrix (Raha, 2023). The proposal is not entirely new in Berber activist circles, but its explicitly institutional formulation—dissolution of an existing intergovernmental organization, creation of an alternative structure based on a different identity principle—gives it unprecedented political significance in the history of the Amazigh movement (Maddy-Weitzman, 2011).

The Arab Maghreb Union (UMA), founded on February 17, 1989, in Marrakech by Morocco, Algeria, Tunisia, Libya, and Mauritania, has for over three decades embodied a promise of regional integration that has been systematically disappointed. No summit of heads of state has been held since 1994; intra-regional trade represents no more than 3% of the member countries’ external trade, according to World Bank data (2020); The closure of the Algerian-Moroccan border since 1994 has transformed the area intended for integration into one of the least interconnected zones in the world (Piveteau & Farinelli, 2018; Zoubir & Benabdallah-Gambier, 2004). In this context of prolonged paralysis, Raha’s proposal resonates as a challenge not only to governments, but to the entire intellectual paradigm that has governed the construction of Maghreb identity since independence.

The analytical challenge is twofold. On the one hand, it is a matter of understanding why the Arab Maghreb Union (UMA) has failed (Chtatou, 2022, January 7) and to what extent this failure is structural rather than circumstantial—linked to personal conflicts, regime rivalries, and the Western Sahara issue, or rooted in a questionable conception of the region’s identity foundations. On the other hand, it is necessary to evaluate the Amazigh proposal itself: its internal coherence, its historical resources, its normative ambitions, and its practical limitations. This essay proceeds in six parts: after this introduction, it examines the underlying causes of the failure of the Arab Maghreb Union (UMA) (Chtatou, 2022, January 7); it traces the history and construction of Amazigh nationalism as a political force; it analyzes Raha’s proposal in its conceptual and programmatic dimensions; it confronts this project with the geopolitical and social realities of the contemporary Maghreb (Chtatou, 2022, January 7; Chtatou, 2021, December 30; Chtatou, 2022, February 1; Chtatou, 2022, January 18); before concluding with the broader implications of this debate for political theory and regional studies.

2. The Arab Maghreb Union: Anatomy of a Structural Failure


2.1 The Promises of 1989 and Their Context

The founding of the Arab Maghreb Union (UMA) took place within a dual context of regional détente and Third Worldist fervor. In 1988, Morocco and Algeria had re-established diplomatic relations, which had been severed since 1976; the Iran-Iraq War was drawing to a close; and the fall of the Berlin Wall had not yet sounded the death knell for collective projects in the Global South. The Treaty of Marrakech, signed on February 17, 1989, was intended to be the Maghreb equivalent of the Treaty of Rome: an economic community destined to gradually merge its markets, harmonize its policies, and ultimately provide the region with a common voice on the international stage (Zoubir & Benabdallah-Gambier, 2004; Mortimer, 1999).


The initial objectives were ambitious: free movement of people and goods, coordination of economic and financial policies, establishment of a common external tariff, and ultimately, a customs union and then a common market (Piveteau & Farinelli, 2018). The institutional architecture included a Presidency Council (Heads of State), a Council of Foreign Ministers, an Advisory Council, a Monitoring Committee, and a Court of Justice. On paper, a coherent structure. In reality, an empty shell (Zoubir & Benabdallah-Gambier, 2004; Chtatou, 2022, January 7).

2.2 Factors of Paralysis

The academic literature identifies several sets of factors that explain the paralysis of the Arab Maghreb Union (UMA) (Chtatou, 2022, January 7). The first, and most immediately relevant, is the Western Sahara conflict. The question of the status of Western Sahara—claimed by Morocco as an integral part of its national territory since the 1975 “Green March,” and defended by the Polisario Front as a nascent state with the support of Algeria—has poisoned Algerian-Moroccan relations and made any lasting agreement within the Arab Maghreb Union (UMA) impossible (Chtatou, 2022, January 7). The closure of the Algerian-Moroccan border in 1994, officially in response to a terrorist attack in Marrakech for which Rabat blamed Algerian nationals, materialized this geopolitical divide (Joffe, 2011; Zoubir & Benabdallah-Gambier, 2004). Despite recent diplomatic attempts—notably under American auspices in 2025–2026—the dispute remains fundamentally unresolved.

The second factor is the difference in development models and political regimes. Monarchical Morocco, military-presidential Algeria, post-Ben Ali Tunisia in a state of interrupted democratic transition, Libya embroiled in civil war since 2011, and semi-democratic Mauritania comprise a politically heterogeneous group whose leaders share few convergent interests in the short term (Mortimer, 1999). Unlike the European Union, from which it drew some inspiration, the Arab Maghreb Union (UMA) has not benefited from a sufficiently binding supranational institutional architecture to overcome the divergent interests of its member states (Joffe, 2011).


The third factor, less frequently analyzed in mainstream literature but central from an Amazigh perspective, is the fragility of the Arabist identity foundation upon which the UMA rests. By choosing to base Maghreb identity on the Arabic language and belonging to the Arab-Islamic world, the architects of the Arab Maghreb Union (UMA) made an ideological selection that excluded or marginalized other components of North African identity—primarily Amazigh identity, but also sub-Saharan African, Mediterranean, and Jewish heritages (Chtatou, 2026, February 21; Chaker, 2022; Maddy-Weitzman, 2011). For Bruce Maddy-Weitzman (2011), this choice was not neutral: it reflected the hegemony of Arab nationalism among North African post-colonial elites and its deliberate use as an instrument of nation-building and legitimizing power.

The fourth factor is economic. The structure of the Maghreb economies—dominated by hydrocarbons in Algeria and Libya, by agriculture and services in Morocco, and by light industry in Tunisia—is more competitive than complementary (Piveteau & Farinelli, 2018). Intraregional trade flows, hampered by high tariffs, non-tariff barriers, a lack of regulatory harmonization, and physical border closures, have never reached the levels that could have created powerful regional interest groups capable of defending integration against political resistance (Joffe, 2011). The World Bank (2020) estimated that the costs of Maghreb non-integration amount to several percentage points of GDP annually for each member country.

The fifth factor is the question of regional hegemony. Neither Morocco nor Algeria has been willing to accept the other’s preeminence within the organization, and neither possesses sufficient economic and demographic power to impose its vision on the entire region in the manner of Germany in Europe or Brazil in South America (Zoubir & Benabdallah-Gambier, 2004). This leadership vacuum has condemned the Arab Maghreb Union (UMA) to inaction (Chtatou, 2021, December 30).

3. The Contemporary Amazigh Movement: From Cultural Resistance to Political Demand

3.1 ​​Genesis and Foundations of the Berber Demand

The contemporary Amazigh movement finds its origins in the profound contradictions of 20th-century Maghreb Arab nationalism. The independence movements—the FLN in Algeria, Istiqlal in Morocco, and Destour in Tunisia—all adopted Arabization as a priority political project to varying degrees, treating Amazigh culture either as a pre-modern relic destined to dissolve into Arab modernity or as an obstacle to national unity to be neutralized (Chaker, 2022; Silverstein, 2004). Arabic was imposed as the language of administration, education, and prestige; Berber languages ​​were relegated to the domestic sphere and stigmatized as dialects without writing or literature—a description that Berber activists have spent decades refuting (Chaker, 2022). The first large-scale manifestation of Amazigh resistance was the Algerian “Berber Spring” of April 1980, when the authorities’ banning of a lecture by linguist Mouloud Mammeri at the University of Tizi Ouzou sparked massive demonstrations in Kabylia, which were severely repressed (Maddy-Weitzman, 2011; Silverstein, 2004). This pivotal event revealed two essential things: the depth of Amazigh resentment toward forced Arabization, and the willingness of the Maghreb states to repress any identity-based challenge deemed a threat to national cohesion. The Berber Spring (Tfsut Imazighen) of 1980 inaugurated a long sequence of mobilizations, punctuated by a second “Black Spring” in Kabylia in 2001 (the deadly repression of a revolt sparked by the gendarmerie’s killing of a high school student), by school strikes and electoral boycotts, and by the emergence of transnational pan-Berber organizations (Silverstein, 2004).



Tamazgha, the land of Imazighen (Wikimedia Commons)



In Morocco, the Amazigh movement has followed a distinct but convergent trajectory. The publication of the “Berber Manifesto” in 2000 by a group of Moroccan intellectuals, followed by the creation in 2001 of the Royal Institute of Amazigh Culture (IRCAM) by Mohammed VI, marked a partial official recognition of Amazigh identity, before the 2011 constitution enshrined Tamazight as an official language for the first time, alongside Arabic (Maddy-Weitzman, 2011; Berdouzi, 2012). This constitutional development, achieved in the context of the Arab Spring, represents a major symbolic turning point—even if its practical implementation remains very limited, particularly in the fields of education and administration (Berdouzi, 2012).

3.2 The World Amazigh Assembly and Rachid Raha

The World Amazigh Assembly (AMA), formerly known as the World Amazigh Congress (CMA), founded in 1995 at a constituent congress in Saint Rome de Dolan, France, is one of the most representative transnational Amazigh organizations. It brings together associations and activists from Morocco, Algeria, Tunisia, Libya, Mali, Niger, the Canary Islands, France, and other countries in Europe and North America, thus claiming to represent the entire Amazigh people across their geographical dispersion (AMA, 2020; Maddy-Weitzman, 2011). Its presence within United Nations institutions grants it international legitimacy, which North African governments have regularly attempted to challenge.

Rachid Raha, born in 1964 in the city of Nador (Rif region of Morocco) and a resident of Spain for several decades, holding dual Moroccan and Spanish nationality, presided over the AMA/CMA from 1999 to 2002, then again in 2018, and from 2013 to the present day. An anthropologist by training and a journalist by profession, he embodies a generation of Amazigh activists in the European diaspora who combine technical skills, strong ties to international civil society networks, and a radical identity-based discourse. Unlike some Amazigh activists who operate within a reformist framework (recognition of cultural rights within existing states), Raha espouses a more structurally subversive vision: questioning not only the cultural policies of North African states, but also their very foundations of identity and, consequently, their legitimacy to represent peoples whose Arab identity is a post-colonial construct.

The proposal for the Union of Tamazgha is part of this vision. Raha articulates an argument on several levels: a historical level (the Imazighen are the original and continuous inhabitants of North Africa for millennia, prior to any Arabization); a cultural level (the Amazigh language, arts, social practices, and value systems constitute a shared identity substrate for all North African peoples, regardless of their religion or current linguistic practice); a political level (the Arab Maghreb Union (UMA) has failed because it is based on an Arab identity that does not reflect the true reality of the region); and an institutional level (a union founded on Amazigh identity could overcome the artificial divisions inherited from colonialism and post-colonial Arabism) (Raha, 2022).

4. The Union of Tamazgha: Analysis of a Political Project

4.1 The Notion of Tamazgha: Content and History

The term “Tamazgha” (from the Berber prefix *t-*, marking the feminine and the collective, and the root *Mazigh*/*Amazigh*, whose original meaning evokes the notion of “noble” or “free man”) designates, in contemporary Amazigh terminology, all the lands historically inhabited by the Imazighen: from the Canary Islands and western Morocco to the Siwa Oasis in Egypt, from the Mediterranean coasts to the Saharan fringes of Niger and Mali (Chaker, 2022; Tilmatine, 1999). As a geographical and cultural concept, it covers a significantly larger area than that of the Arab Maghreb Union (UMA), including parts of Mauritania, Mali, Niger, Burkina Faso, and Egypt (Tilmatine, 1999).

The construction of Tamazgha as a political space of reference is relatively recent in militant Amazigh thought. While awareness of a cultural kinship among Berber speakers of North Africa had long existed in intellectual circles, it was in the 1970s and 1980s that the idea of ​​an “Amazigh nation” with its own territory began to be articulated coherently in activist texts (Maddy-Weitzman, 2011; Tilmatine, 1999). The reference to the Tifinagh script (the traditional Berber alphabet, now officially recognized as the Tamazight alphabet in Morocco) as a unifying symbol, and to pan-Amazigh historical figures such as Jugurtha, Tacfarinas, Kahina, and Massinissa as a shared pantheon, contribute to this national construction (Chaker, 2022).


It is important, however, to highlight the internal tensions within this project of defining Tamazgha. “Berberness” is itself a construct, in the sense that not all contemporary North African populations identify with this identity, and the boundary between “Berber” and “Arabized” is more of a sociolinguistic continuum than a clear line (Silverstein, 2004). Millions of Moroccans, Algerians, and Tunisians who no longer speak Berber in their daily lives are nevertheless, in all likelihood, descended from Berber-speaking populations; their belonging to Tamazgha depends on the definition—genealogical, linguistic, cultural, or subjective—that is adopted. This definitional question is far from being resolved in the academic literature (Chaker, 2022; Silverstein, 2004; Hoffman, 2008).

4.2 The Institutional Project: Ambitions and Content

In his public statements and activist writings, Rachid Raha outlines the contours of a “Union of Tamazgha” founded on several distinctive principles. First, linguistic pluralism: unlike the Arab Maghreb Union (UMA), which places Arabic at the center of regional identity, the Union of Tamazgha would recognize the plurality of Amazigh languages ​​(Moroccan Tamazight, Kabyle, Shawiya, Tamasheq, etc.) as a common foundation of identity, without excluding the use of Arabic, French, or other languages ​​(Raha, 2022). Second, the decolonization of institutions: by rejecting the borders inherited from French, Spanish, and Italian colonialism—which artificially carved out coherent Amazigh spaces—the Union of Tamazgha would aspire to a territorial reorganization more faithful to pre-colonial human and cultural realities (Tilmatine, 1999). Thirdly, decentralized governance: inspired in part by traditional Amazigh governance models (the council of elders, the jmaa, ait rab’îne or agraw), a Union of Tamazgha should, according to Raha, rely on local and regional bodies with real autonomy rather than on centralizing state apparatuses (Raha, 2022).

The dimension of political justice is also central to Raha’s project. The Union of Tamazgha aims to be a response to decades of marginalization of Amazigh populations within their respective states: exclusion of Amazigh languages ​​from education and administration, persecution of cultural activists, and plundering of natural resources in Amazigh-populated regions (Kabylie in Algeria, the Rif in Morocco, and Tuareg regions in Mali and Niger) without equitable redistribution (Chaker, 2022; Maddy-Weitzman, 2011). From this perspective, the Union of Tamazgha is not merely a proposal for regional engineering but a project of historical redress—what could be described, borrowing from postcolonial theory, as an undertaking of “identity decolonization” (Fanon, 1961; Quijano, 2000).

4.3 Theoretical Frameworks: Ethnicity, Nationalism, and Regionalism


From the perspective of political theory and regional studies, Raha’s proposition falls within several analytical currents that warrant further explanation. The first is the classic debate between primordialism and constructivism in the study of ethnic identities. Primordialist theories—associated with authors such as Clifford Geertz (1963) in his early works—consider ethnic affiliations as natural and irreducible givens preceding the formation of the state. Constructivist theories—represented notably by Benedict Anderson (1983) and Ernest Gellner (1983)—insist, on the contrary, on the historically situated and politically constructed nature of any national or ethnic identity. Raha’s discourse draws on both registers: it affirms the historical depth of Amazigh identity (primordialism) while implicitly recognizing that it must be actively cultivated and institutionalized to become the basis of a political project (constructivism) (Maddy-Weitzman, 2011; Silverstein, 2004).

The second relevant framework is that of the new regionalism developed notably by Björn Hettne and Fredrik Söderbaum (2000). In contrast to realist theories of regionalism, which reduce regional integration to interstate cooperation based on material interests, the new regionalism emphasizes the identity-based, normative, and societal dimensions of regional projects. A region, from this perspective, is not only a geographical and economic space but also a community of meaning and destiny that actors actively construct (Hettne & Söderbaum, 2000). The Union of Tamazgha fits perfectly within this framework: it seeks to base regional integration on a pre-existing shared identity rather than on intergovernmental institutions built from scratch.


The third framework is that of Indigenous peoples’ movements within contemporary international law. The United Nations Declaration on the Rights of Indigenous Peoples (UNDRIP), adopted in 2007, recognizes the right of Indigenous peoples to self-determination, to the preservation and development of their cultural identity, and to the exercise of control over their lands, territories, and resources (UN, 2007). The Amazigh movement is increasingly making use of this normative framework, claiming the status of an Indigenous people of North Africa—a designation contested by the Algerian and Moroccan governments, which reject the application of this concept to their own populations (Maddy-Weitzman, 2011; Boukous, 2012).

5. Geopolitical, Social, and Institutional Challenges of the Union of Tamazgha

5.1 State Resistance and the Question of Sovereignty

The first and most immediate limitation of the Raha project is the predictable resistance of North African states. No government in the region—neither Rabat, nor Algiers, nor Tunis, nor Tripoli, nor Nouakchott—has shown the slightest interest in a proposal that would challenge both their identity-based legitimacy (founded on Arab identity), their territorial integrity (the Tamazgha project transgresses current state borders), and their sovereignty (a union based on Amazigh identity would imply forms of governance that go beyond existing state institutions) (Joffe, 2011; Zoubir & Benabdallah-Gambier, 2004). In Algeria, where the 2016 Constitution recognizes for the first time Tamazight as an official national language while maintaining the predominance of Arabic and repressing Mozabite communities and autonomy movements in Kabylia (notably the Movement for the Self-Determination of Kabylia, MAK, classified as a terrorist organization by Algiers since 2021), the prospect of a Union of Tamazgha would immediately be equated with a secessionist threat (Silverstein, 2004; Human Rights Watch, 2021).

In Morocco, the situation is paradoxically more complex. The Alaouite monarchy has made the recognition of Amazigh identity one of the pillars of its discourse of national legitimation since the 2000s: the Royal Institute of Amazigh Culture (IRCAM), the constitutionalization of Tamazight in 2011, and the official identity “triptych” (Amazigh, Arab, African) constitute real advances that differentiate Morocco from its neighbors (Berdouzi, 2012). But this recognition operates within the framework of the existing Moroccan nation-state and its project of territorial integrity—it in no way leads to sympathy for the idea of ​​a transnational Amazigh political entity that would dissolve or compete with the Moroccan state (Maddy-Weitzman, 2011). Rabat accepts Amazigh identity as a component of Moroccan identity; it would not accept Amazigh identity as a principle of supranational political organization.


The situation in Libya and Mauritania adds further complications. Since the collapse of the Gaddafi regime in 2011, Libya has been divided among rival factions and lacks a central government capable of participating in any regional integration project (Lacher, 2020). Mauritania, a state straddling the Arab world, the Berber world, and sub-Saharan Africa, maintains an ambivalent relationship with the Amazigh claim—Mauritanian Berbers (particularly the Znaga) representing a minority within a population demographically dominated by Arab-Berber groups and Black African populations (Pazzanita, 2008).
5.2 Internal Diversity within the Amazigh World

A second set of challenges stems from the internal diversity of the Amazigh world itself. The notion of an “Amazigh people” as a unified political entity encompasses an extremely fragmented linguistic, cultural, and geographical reality. Linguists distinguish at least a dozen distinct Berber varieties, ranging from Moroccan Tashelhit (spoken by over 8 million people) to Tuareg Tamasheq (spoken by fewer than one million people spread across several Sahelian states), and including Algerian Kabyle, Shawiya of the Aurès Mountains, Rif Tamazight, Egyptian Siwi, and several Libyan varieties (Chaker, 2022; Tilmatine, 1999). These varieties are not mutually intelligible, and the idea of ​​a unified “Amazigh language”—of which standardized Moroccan Tamazight represents an attempt at codification—remains as much a political project as a linguistic reality (Chaker, 2022).




Amazigh flag


The diversity extends beyond linguistics. The Imazighen of Morocco live in social, economic, and political contexts very different from those of the Algerian Kabyles, who themselves differ profoundly from the Tuareg of Mali or Niger (Hoffman, 2008). The political demands of Kabylia—primarily focused on independence—do not necessarily converge with those of the Tuareg of the Sahel, whose recurring armed conflicts with the Malian and Nigerien states have an economic dimension (control of mineral resources) and a security dimension as much as an identity dimension (Lacher, 2020). Building an Amazigh political solidarity that transcends these diversities is a project—not a given.

Paul Silverstein (2004), in his study of the Franco-Moroccan Berber diaspora, showed how contemporary Amazigh identity is largely constructed in European diasporic contexts, where distance from the country of origin fosters generalization and abstraction of identity. The “Berberism” expressed in Parisian or Barcelona-based associations is often more homogeneous and radical than the Amazigh identities experienced in Morocco or Algeria, where regional, tribal, religious, and class divisions are intertwined with the linguistic dimension in a more complex way (Silverstein, 2004). This observation does not invalidate the Amazigh claim, but it does suggest a degree of caution regarding the assumption that “the Amazighs” constitute a naturally cohesive political community ready to support the project of a Union of Tamazgha.

5.3 The Demographic Question and the Reality of Arabization

A third challenge is demographic. Estimates of the number of Berber speakers in North Africa vary considerably depending on the source—North African states tending to underestimate the proportion of their citizens who speak a Berber language, while Amazigh activists tend to overestimate it (Chaker, 2022). The most reliable figures suggest that Berber language speakers represent approximately 40 to 45% of the Moroccan population, 30 to 35% of the Algerian population, 1 to 2% of the Tunisian population, and varying proportions in Libya, Mauritania, Mali, and Niger (Ethnologue, 2023; Chaker, 2022). In other words, a majority of the inhabitants of North Africa do not speak a Berber language as their primary language, even though most are descended from Berber-speaking populations.

This demographic reality poses a fundamental challenge to Raha’s project: if the Union of Tamazgha is defined by language, it de facto excludes the majority of Tunisians, a large part of Algerians and Moroccans, and almost all Libyans. If it is defined by descent or “deep Berber identity” independently of language, it falls into a genealogical essentialism whose political implications are, to say the least, problematic (Silverstein, 2004; Hoffman, 2008). And if it is defined by voluntary adherence to an Amazigh identity project, we find ourselves in a radical constructivism whose mass base is difficult to assess but probably limited to activist circles.

The Arabization of North African populations, while partly the product of deliberate post-colonial policies, is also the result of a centuries-long historical process that began as early as the 7th century and produced deeply rooted cultural, linguistic, and identity realities that cannot be considered mere masks covering an original Amazigh identity (Lacoste, C. & Y., 2004; Silverstein, 2004). Millions of Maghrebi Arabic speakers do not perceive themselves, and do not wish to perceive themselves, as Arabized Amazighs; their identity is Arab-Islamic in a sense that is unique to them and cannot be reduced to colonial alienation (Lacoste, C. & Y., 2004).

5.4 Internal Contradictions of the Project and the Tuareg Question

A fourth set of challenges stems from the internal contradictions generated by extending the Tamazgha project to the Tuareg populations of the Sahel. The Tuareg—the Imazighen of the Sahara, whose political demands are primarily expressed in Mali and Niger—have been experiencing cycles of armed rebellion, negotiation, and renewed violence since the 1990s, profoundly destabilizing these states (Lacher, 2020). Including these populations in the Tamazgha project implies managing ongoing armed conflicts, territorial claims involving sovereign third-party states (Mali, Niger), and a Sahelian geopolitical dynamic dominated by multiple actors—former French colonizers, American and Russian military presences, and jihadists—that far transcends the Amazigh dimension alone (Lacher, 2020). Furthermore, the Tuareg themselves are deeply divided between those who favor integration into existing states, those who advocate for regional autonomy, and those who support independence projects like Azawad (unilaterally proclaimed in 2012 before being militarily crushed). Transnational Amazigh solidarity does not erase these divisions but rather masks them with an ideological veneer whose political coherence remains to be demonstrated (Lacher, 2020; Maddy-Weitzman, 2011).

6. Conclusion: The Heuristic Value of a Political Utopia


At the end of this analysis, it is important to distinguish several levels of appreciation for Rachid Raha’s proposal. In terms of diagnosis, his analysis of the causes of the Arab Maghreb Union’s (UMA) failure is substantially correct: the organization suffered not only from interstate rivalries and the Western Sahara conflict, but also from an Arabist identity-based foundation whose capacity to mobilize North African populations in all their diversity has always been limited and contested. In this sense, the Amazigh critique of the UMA makes a useful contribution to the discussion on the conditions for sustainable regional integration (Joffe, 2011; Zoubir & Benabdallah-Gambier, 2004; Maddy-Weitzman, 2011).

On the positive side, the assessment is more mixed. The Union of Tamazgha, as proposed by the World Amazigh Assembly and its president Rachid Raha, faces obstacles that cannot all be overcome by political will alone: ​​the linguistic and cultural fragmentation of the Amazigh world, the reality of historical Arabization, the resistance of sovereign states, and internal contradictions within the project itself. These obstacles do not mean that the Amazigh claim is illegitimate—it is fully so, historically, morally, and legally (UNDPR, art. 3 and 11)—but they suggest that its institutional translation into a political entity alternative to the Arab Maghreb Union (UMA) is, in the short and medium term, beyond our reach (UN, 2007; Maddy-Weitzman, 2011).

It is important, however, not to reduce Raha’s proposal to its degree of immediate applicability. Political utopias possess a unique heuristic value: they serve to destabilize assumptions, to question what seems self-evident, and to open up spaces for thought that realpolitik closes. By proposing the Union of Tamazgha, Raha raises questions that the architects of the Arab Maghreb Union (UMA) have always avoided: On what identity should North African regional integration be based? Who are the peoples of the Maghreb in their true diversity (Chtatou, 2022, February 1; Chtatou, 2022, January 18)? Is post-colonial Arab identity a sufficient foundation for lasting integration? These questions deserve to be asked—and they are being asked with increasing intensity, particularly since the democratic uprisings of the people, known as the Arab Spring of 2011, which revealed the fragility of national identities fabricated by decades of authoritarian nationalism (Silverstein, 2004; Lacoste, C. & Y., 2004).



A Moroccan Amazigh family. Photo Credit: Mr Masri, Wikimedia Commons


The debate on the Union of Tamazgha is part of a broader, underlying trend: the resurgence of subnational and transnational identities in a world where the Westphalian nation-state is under pressure everywhere—from globalization, migration, the demands of indigenous peoples, and the crisis of grand national narratives (Anderson, 1983; Hettne & Söderbaum, 2000). From this perspective, Raha’s proposal is less an anomaly than a symptom among others of a global reconfiguration of political identities affecting the Maghreb (Chtatou, 2021, December 30; Chtatou, 2022, February 1; Chtatou, 2022, January 18) as it is the rest of the world.

One possible synthesis, which deserves further development in future work, would be to conceive not of a Union of Tamazgha to replace the Arab Maghreb Union (UMA), but rather a refounding of the UMA on pluralistic identity bases that explicitly recognize the Amazigh component of Maghreb identity, without establishing it as its exclusive foundation. Such an approach would follow in the footsteps of Amartya Sen’s (2006) work on the plurality of identities and their irreducibility to a single affiliation, and of Will Kymlicka’s (1995) work on minority rights within liberal democracies. It would allow us to treat the failure of the Arab Maghreb Union (UMA) not as a reason to dissolve it, but as an invitation to rethink its foundations to make them more faithful to the complexity of real North African societies—in all their Amazigh, Arab, African, Mediterranean, and human diversity.

Peace and regional integration in the Maghreb will undoubtedly come about (Chtatou, 2022, January 7; Chtatou, 2021, December 30; Chtatou, 2022, February 1; Chtatou, 2022, January 18), if they ever do, not through the homogenization of identity—whether Arabist or Amazigh—but through the recognition and valuing of plurality as the very foundation of the common project. In this sense, Rachid Raha, even if his proposed Union of Tamazgha is debatable in its modalities, deserves credit for having raised the question of identity with a frankness and radicalism that was lacking in the Maghreb debate on regional integration. That is already significant.


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Dr. Mohamed Chtatou

Dr. Mohamed Chtatou is a Professor of education science at the university in Rabat. He is currently a political analyst with Moroccan, Gulf, French, Italian and British media on politics and culture in the Middle East, Islam and Islamism as well as terrorism. He is, also, a specialist on political Islam in the MENA region with interest in the roots of terrorism and religious extremism.

INDIA

Medical Impersonation And The Appearance Of Legitimacy – Analysis


April 18, 2026 
Observer Research Foundation
By K.S. Uplabdh Gopal


India’s quackery problem is unusually hard to describe with precision because the state does not seem to maintain a usable national count of such unqualified medical providers. It does not appear to be able to say, with confidence, how many such practitioners it is dealing with, where they are concentrated, or what mechanism is being used to identify them systematically. In a 2018 Lok Sabha question on fake doctors and quacks, members asked for the mechanism used to identify them, the number identified across states over time, why that was happening, and what steps were being taken. The answer dealt with a specific disease incident in Uttar Pradesh, but for parts (b) to (e) of the question, it fell back on a generic statement that section 15 of the erstwhile Indian Medical Council Act 1956 prohibited unregistered practice and that health is a State subject. A late 2025 Lok Sabha reply was even more direct. Complaints, it stated, are forwarded to the relevant State or Union Territory, while details of such complaints and subsequent action are not maintained centrally.

In this vacuum sit two numbers that are cited constantly but are not equally sturdy. The first is the controversial World Health Organisation (WHO)-cited figure stating that 57.3 percent of allopathic practitioners in India do not have a medical qualification. The underlying WHO publication, The Health Workforce in India, was based on specially extracted district-level data from the 2001 Census, not on a live registry of current practitioners, and the government later dismissed the claim as “erroneous” on the ground that all registered doctors necessarily hold recognised qualifications. The second number is the Indian Medical Association (IMA) estimate that about 10 lakh quacks practise allopathic medicine, including 4 lakh practitioners of Indian medicine, although this figure appears on an advocacy page of IMA’s anti-quackery wing without any visible methodological note or source explanation. It is therefore an important institutional claim, but not a transparent prevalence estimate.

The NCRB’s 2023 ‘Crime in India’ report does not provide a public-facing national line-item for quackery or medical impersonation from which a reliable national count can be discerned. In the state of Delhi, a Right-to-Information (RTI)-based report found that only one case was registered against a quack doctor in 2025, none was forwarded in 2024, and the Delhi Medical Council (DMC) stated that it does not conduct anti-quackery raids or inspections, leaving action to district-level health officers. A Comptroller and Auditor General (CAG) audit of Delhi’s health regulatory mechanisms found that, out of 928 complaints received between February 2017 and January 2022, no survey or inspection was carried out in 14 cases despite delays ranging from 126 to 2,289 days, and that between 2016 and September 2022, police registered First Information Reports (FIRs) against only 40 of 335 persons found practising medicine without the required qualifications; the audit also noted that the DMC did not actively pursue cases where police action was not initiated.

The combination of uncertain prevalence and thin enforcement leaves India facing a more difficult policy question. If unqualified practitioners continue to occupy the space between legal medicine and available medicine, should the state continue with its current approach, or enter into a more Faustian accommodation by absorbing parts of this informal workforce into a tightly limited system of training, supervision, and referral? This issue was raised a decade ago in the British Medical Journal (BMJ), asking whether India’s quacks might be trained to deliver safer basic care, and China’s barefoot doctor system in the 1960s and 1970s shows that states have, in other settings, tried to convert informal rural healing labour into a supervised lower-tier workforce rather than leave it entirely outside the system.

Access Gaps and the Demand for Informal Care


The debate over quackery persists because it reflects a real gap in access. In many parts of rural India, patients turn first to the provider who is available nearby and willing to act, rather than the one who is formally qualified. A study published in 2022 using evidence from 2009 for 1,519 villages across 19 states found that most providers in rural primary-care markets were private, and that informal providers accounted for 68 percent of the total provider population; a 2016 BMJ feature framed the issue by asking whether some form of training for these practitioners in basic care might be better than leaving them wholly outside the regulatory framework. The responses to that piece laid out the central divide. One position holds that training quacks would formalise a lower standard of care for poorer patients, devalue medical training, and allow the state to postpone the harder tasks of rural deployment, doctor retention, and functioning primary care. The competing position holds that, where informal providers already serve as the de facto first point of contact, bounded training, referral protocols, and supervision may reduce harm more effectively than denunciation alone.


The argument becomes more complicated once attention shifts to the appearance of legitimacy. Medical authority is often inferred from visible cues by patients, long before it is verified through registration or specialist records. The white coat, framed certificates, specialist titles, clinic boards, hospital affiliations, medical jargon, the prefix “Dr.”, social media reels, and before-and-after images all operate as signals that a lay patient may reasonably read as proof of competence. A 2025 editorial described quackery in dermatology as extending to both people without formal medical training and professionals acting beyond the scope of their expertise, and it identified short certification courses, unregulated aesthetic procedures, and false claims on social media as key drivers of the problem. Recent reporting from Maharashtra shows the same pattern in operational form, with regulators and professional bodies warning that unqualified and unregistered individuals increasingly present themselves as ‘skin specialists’, ‘trichologists’, or ‘aesthetic physicians’, while offering lasers, fillers, botulinum toxin, hair transplants, and chemical peels in ways that the public cannot easily interpret.


Reducing the Room for Impersonation


The policy response has to address various linked problems at once. The state still lacks a clear picture of the scale and distribution of medical impersonation or quackery, and formal care remains uneven enough that unqualified practitioners continue to find room in the market. The first recommendation is long overdue. The Union government should work with states to build a shared picture of the problem before promising to solve it. That means a standard reporting architecture for complaints, FIRs, prosecutions, and case outcomes, ideally disaggregated by district and by type of impersonation or unlawful practice. A joint Centre-state dashboard would not solve quackery by itself, but it should give policy something firmer to work with.


The second task should be to shift the patient-facing front end of practice from trust by appearance to trust by verification. Maharashtra’s Know Your Doctor (KYD) platform is one of the more useful recent attempts to do this. Its February 2025 notification asked registered practitioners to display a QR code-based KYD card at their practice locations so that patients could instantly view verified information on authenticity, credentials, and speciality. The broader principle is sound and could be taken further. Indian regulations already require registered businesses to display their Goods and Services Tax (GST) registration certificateprominently and GST Identification Number (GSTIN) on the name board at the entrance of the establishment. A similar rule for modern medical practice should be administratively feasible. Clinics and hospitals could be required to display the practitioner’s registration number, council, qualification, and a scannable verification code at the entrance, on prescriptions, and on digital appointment pages. The limitations are also clear. Such a system only works if the underlying records are current. The National Medical Commission’s (NMC) Indian Medical Register notes that its published data is being updated and, on the page currently visible, only reflects State Medical Council data up to 2021, with some state gaps.

A third reform is needed in the digital and institutional spaces. The NMC’s 2023 Professional Conduct Regulations expressly contemplate guidelines on advertising and social media conduct for registered medical practitioners. Those provisions should now be operationalised in a far more specific way. Any paid or public-facing digital promotion for clinical services should carry standardised disclosures of degree, recognised speciality, council, registration number, and active registration status, in a format that is difficult to obscure or stylise away.

The fourth priority is for hospitals, platforms, and employers. Hospitals, telemedicine platforms, and contractor agencies should be required to run direct verification against council records before onboarding practitioners and at fixed intervals thereafter. Over time, India could build a more integrated digital verification layer for medical education and registration, drawing on the broader direction of travel in higher education, where digital credential frameworks such as the Academic Bank of Credits already exist.

None of this reduces the importance of expanding access through the formal system. The government’s recent increase in 48,563 MBBS seats and 29,080 postgraduate seats between academic years 2020–21 and 2025–26, along with approval of another 10,023 seats under centrally sponsored schemes, points in the right direction. This momentum now needs to be joined with deployment, retention, verification, and a stronger public culture of confidence in evidence-based medicine. If those pieces begin to move together, the country may finally narrow the space in which quackery survives by being available when the formal system is not.

About the author: K.S. Uplabdh Gopal is an Associate Fellow with the Health Initiative at the Observer Research Foundation.

Source: This article was published by the Observer Research Foundation.
ORF was established on 5 September 1990 as a private, not for profit, ’think tank’ to influence public policy formulation. The Foundation brought together, for the first time, leading Indian economists and policymakers to present An Agenda for Economic Reforms in India. The idea was to help develop a consensus in favour of economic reforms.
A Blueprint For Ambitious Ukraine-Gulf Ties – Analysis

April 18, 2026 
 Arab News
By Luke Coffey

The Iran war has created multiple geopolitical challenges and uncertainties but also some opportunities. One of these is the role that Ukraine has been playing as a promoter of global security in recent weeks. President Volodymyr Zelensky saw a window of opportunity to improve security in the Gulf, while deepening relations with Arab countries, and seized it. The relationships that will result will be mutually beneficial for both Ukraine and the Gulf states.

After Russia’s invasion of Ukraine in 2022, Kyiv became an importer of outside assistance and military systems. But more than four years later, times have changed. As recent events in the Middle East have shown, Ukraine has not only survived the invasion and halted Russia’s advance, it has also developed a modern, technology-based defense industry that can provide much-needed security assistance to other regions of the world, particularly the Gulf.

The fact that Zelensky has been able to sign security agreements with Saudi Arabia, the UAE and Qatar in recent weeks should come as no surprise. The threat these countries face from Iranian drones and missiles is significant. Due to the intensity of the war in Ukraine and the fact that most airstrikes against Ukraine have been conducted by drones — many originally manufactured, designed or inspired by Iranian systems — there is no country in the world with more recent experience confronting Iranian aerial threats than Ukraine.

But this recent diplomatic engagement did not emerge overnight. It is the result of sustained statecraft by Zelensky and his team. Since the beginning of the Ukraine war, Kyiv has engaged with Arab countries on issues ranging from unlocking grain exports in the Black Sea to seeking regional assistance with prisoner exchanges and peace efforts with Russia. Ukrainian officials have traveled frequently to the region, building relationships that now provide the foundation for deeper security cooperation.


So far, the results speak for themselves. More than 200 Ukrainian personnel, including military specialists, have reportedly deployed across the region to assist Gulf states in defending their skies against drone threats. Ukraine has also developed domestically produced counterdrone systems that have been shared with partners in the Gulf. This is a mutually beneficial arrangement. Gulf states gain access to combat-tested Ukrainian technology and hard-earned operational experience, while Ukraine receives much-needed financial support and energy cooperation.

Even if the current ceasefire temporarily reduces the immediate threat from Iranian drones and missiles, there is no guarantee this will last. Ukraine and the Gulf states should seize this moment to elevate their partnership.

First, Ukraine should finalize agreements with the remaining Gulf Cooperation Council states. Talks with Kuwait, Bahrain and Oman are reportedly ongoing. It is in the interest of these countries to conclude agreements quickly so they can begin integrating Ukrainian expertise and equipment into their defense structures. Kyiv has demonstrated both willingness and capability; the remaining Gulf states should take advantage of this opportunity.

Second, Ukraine and its Gulf partners should develop joint procurement and financing mechanisms, including co-production of air defense capabilities inside Ukraine. Ukraine’s defense industrial base has enormous potential. Prior to Russia’s 2014 invasion, Ukraine consistently ranked among the world’s top 10 arms exporters. Today, after years of high-intensity conflict, Ukraine’s defense sector has become even more innovative and battle-tested.

However, while Ukraine has the engineering talent and industrial capacity, it lacks sufficient investment capital. Zelensky has made it clear that additional financial support would allow Ukraine to significantly expand production. Gulf investment could help scale this capacity, while ensuring faster access to critical systems for Gulf partners.

Third, cooperation should expand beyond air defense to include maritime security. Ukraine could play a meaningful role in efforts to secure the Strait of Hormuz and ensure the continued flow of global trade. Drawing on its experience in the Black Sea, Ukraine has developed advanced capabilities in mine countermeasures and unmanned naval systems.

In fact, Ukraine is now among the most experienced actors in the use of maritime drones for combat operations. Zelensky has indicated Ukraine’s willingness to contribute to efforts to keep strategic waterways open and, with sufficient financing, Kyiv could scale production of its unmanned maritime platforms to support such missions.

Finally, this growing Ukraine-Gulf partnership presents an opportunity to bring NATO and the GCC closer together on shared security challenges. Air defense is a natural starting point. Both Europe and the Gulf face similar threats from missiles and drones and there is a clear expectation from their populations that governments will act to protect critical infrastructure and civilian lives. Ukraine, given its unique experience, can serve as a bridge between NATO and Gulf partners to help develop a more integrated air defense picture stretching from the Gulf of Finland to the Gulf of Oman.


This is not only about military cooperation. It is about protecting civilian populations, securing vital infrastructure such as desalination plants and ensuring that airspace and maritime routes remain open for the safe movement of people and goods.

The recent agreements between Ukraine and several Gulf states are an important first step. But they should be seen as the beginning of a broader strategic partnership. The conditions now exist to deepen cooperation in ways that benefit both Ukraine and the Gulf. The next phase should focus on expanding participation, increasing investment and widening the scope of collaboration.

Ukraine is no longer just a recipient of security assistance. It is emerging as a provider of it. The Gulf states have recognized this reality. Now is the time to build on it.

Luke Coffey is a senior fellow at the Hudson Institute. X: @LukeDCoffey

Arab News
Arab News is Saudi Arabia's first English-language newspaper. It was founded in 1975 by Hisham and Mohammed Ali Hafiz. Today, it is one of 29 publications produced by Saudi Research & Publishing Company (SRPC), a subsidiary of Saudi Research & Marketing Group (SRMG).