Thursday, May 28, 2026

 

Dell lands $9.7bn Pentagon contract just weeks after Trump said 'go out and buy'

FILE. CEO of Dell, Michael Dell, left, and CEO of IBM, Arvind Krishna, right, as US President Donald Trump speaks during a roundtable at the White House, Dec. 2025
Copyright AP Photo/Evan Vucci

By Quirino Mealha
Published on

Dell Technologies has secured a $9.7 billion (€8.3bn) defence contract to supply Microsoft software across the entire US military, just weeks after US President Donald Trump publicly endorsed the company at the White House.

On Wednesday, the US Department of War confirmed it had awarded Dell Federal Systems, the government-focused unit of Dell Technologies, a five-year, $9.7 billion (€8.3bn) contract to supply the Pentagon.

As part of the Core Enterprise Technology Agreement (CETA), a Pentagon-wide Microsoft licensing and software procurement framework, the company will provide and manage Microsoft software licences, cloud subscriptions and on-premises software licensing across the US military, intelligence agencies and the US Coast Guard.

Dell Technologies' shares were up around 5% in pre-market to $320 due to the announcement after closing Wednesday's session at roughly $305.

The company is set to report its earnings for the first quarter of this year on Thursday, with analysts from Zacks Investment Research forecasting revenues of approximately $35 billion (€30bn), representing annual growth of about 50%.

According to US DoW Chief Information Officer Kirsten Davies, who briefed reporters at the Pentagon, the CETA is expected to save the department roughly $422 million (€360.9mn) annually by consolidating fragmented technology budgets from across the military services into a single purchasing structure.

The contract was granted less than three weeks after US President Donald Trump stood at a White House event and urged Americans to "go out and buy a Dell. They're great."

Davies and acting US Navy Chief Information Officer Barry Tanner were both clear that the award followed a competitive process.

"The vendors were all evaluated based on competition, comparison to GSA schedule pricing and overall chain of value to the department," Tanner noted.

Dell holds a long-standing commercial partnership with Microsoft and is one of its major buyers of Windows licences. Nonetheless, the contract arrives at the culmination of a period of visible alignment between CEO Michael Dell and the Trump administration.

In December 2025, Dell and his wife Susan appeared alongside Trump at the White House to announce a $6.25 billion (€5.3bn) donation to "Trump Accounts," a tax-advantaged investment programme for children created under the "One Big Beautiful Bill".

The pledge will provide $250 (€214) to roughly 25 million American children aged 10 and under from households with a median income below $150,000 (€129,000) and was described by Invest America, the nonprofit organisation spearheading the initiative, as the largest ever private commitment devoted to American children.

Michael Dell speaks during the launch of 'Trump Accounts' in Washington, Jan. 2026
Michael Dell speaks during the launch of 'Trump Accounts' in Washington, Jan. 2026 AP Photo/Jacquelyn Martin

Michael Dell also sits on Trump's Council of Advisors on Science and Technology, informing public policy regarding the economy, public health, national security, energy and emerging technologies.

The convergence of public presidential endorsements and subsequent federal contract awards is attracting scrutiny beyond Dell.

Financial disclosures released this month by the US Office of Government Ethics showed that investment accounts associated with President Donald Trump held Dell Technologies shares during the first quarter of 2026. The disclosures indicate some purchases were made before Trump publicly praised the company at a White House event.

The Trump Organisation has said the accounts are managed independently by third-party financial institutions and that neither Trump nor his family directs individual trades.

Last week, responding to questions about Trump’s financial disclosures at a White House briefing, Vice President JD Vance said the president’s investments are handled by independent wealth advisers and rejected suggestions that Trump personally directs individual stock trades. “He’s not making these stock trades himself,” Vance said.

Commentators and ethics critics have also pointed to trading activity involving companies such as Intel and Palantir, whose shares have at times moved sharply following public comments by Trump or announcements linked to government technology spending.

The Pentagon has said Dell’s selection followed a competitive procurement process.

Even so, the timing of the award alongside Trump’s public praise of the company and financial disclosures showing investments linked to Dell is likely to draw renewed scrutiny from ethics observers and political critics.

Did the EU-Mercosur trade agreement allow ‘worm-infested’ Brazilian coffee into Europe?


 Published on


Posts by French and Polish politicians have falsely connected a rejected shipment of Brazilian coffee to the EU-Mercosur trade deal.

Widely-shared social media posts have falsely linked a rejected shipment of Brazilian coffee in Poland to the EU-Mercosur agreement, claiming that the deal has allowed contaminated products to enter Europe.

The claims emerged after Poland's Agricultural and Food Quality Inspection Agency (IJHARS) announced on Facebook that it had blocked 63,000 kilograms of raw green coffee from entering Poland.

The shipment, which inspectors said was halted in Poznań, contained "damaged beans" and "live pests".

Polish far-right MEP Ewa Zajączkowska-Hernik and former French MEP and founder of the Eurosceptic Patriots party, Florian Philippot, both linked the rejected shipment to the EU-Mercosur trade agreement, which began provisional application on 1 May.

According to Zajączkowska-Hernik, the shipment is an example of the trade agreement "in practice", accusing the EU-Mercosur deal of "poisoning people for the sake of German economic interests".

Philippot said the the shipment, which never made it into Poland, was "worm-infested", despite Polish inspectors not stating which live pests were in the cargo.

Zajączkowska-Hernik's post was picked up by Polish right-wing political commentary website wPolityce, which also claimed the shipment was "worm-infested".

However, official responses and publicly available trade data reviewed by The Cube, Euronews' fact-checking team, show that claims the shipment was linked to the EU-Mercosur trade deal are unsubstantiated.

Green coffee already entered EU tariff-free

Critics of the EU-Mercosur deal, which removes import duties on goods traded between the EU and Mercosur countries, argue that reduced tariffs will flood Europe with agricultural products that do not meet European standards, and place additional pressure on European food inspection systems and farmers.

But publicly available documents show that green coffee — the separated, raw seeds of coffee cherries that are then roasted — already entered the EU tariff-free long before EU-Mercosur's provisional application began.

According to UN Comtrade data, Brazil exported more than 15 million kilograms of green coffee to Poland in 2024 alone.

A report published in 2011 by the International Coffee Organization notes that "non-decaffeinated green coffee can be imported tariff-free into the European Union", while processed coffee incurs a higher tariff.

A separate trade analysis, published in February 2026, by the United States Department of Agriculture also stated that "green coffee beans, which make up 97 percent of Brazil’s coffee exports to the EU, already enter the European market tariff-free".

Did the shipment enter under EU-Mercosur rules?

In response to Euronews, IJHARS said the shipment underwent "standard commercial quality inspection", carried out under existing national rules.

The agency did not say the shipment entered Poland under preferential trade conditions linked to the EU-Mercosur agreement, adding that customs-related matters fall under the responsibility of tax and customs authorities.

IJHARS also said that it's not unusual for it to intercept food products that do not meet standards. The agency issued 95 decisions blocking imported food shipments in 2025 alone, impacting 121 batches of food that were set to enter Poland from non-EU countries.

Brazil's ambassador to the EU, Pedro Miguel da Costa e Silva, rejected claims linking the shipment to the EU-Mercosur agreement.

“Green coffee already entered the EU under a zero tariff rate. Nothing changed,” he told Euronews. He added that Brazil had exported green coffee to Europe “since the 19th century”.

Critics of the EU-Mercosur agreement have continued to raise concerns about food safety, agricultural imports and the financial security of European farmers, who have argued that cheaper agricultural products from Mercosur countries, which include Brazil, Argentina, Paraguay, Uruguay and Bolivia, could undercut their livelihoods.

However despite online claims, the available evidence does not show that this specific coffee shipment was in any way connected to the EU-Mercosur trade agreement.

 

Trump Board of Peace's official Gaza reconstruction fund is empty, source says

Palestinians walk through the destruction in the Al-Karama neighbourhood of Gaza City, 30 November, 2025
Copyright AP Photo

By Gavin Blackburn
Published on

The board is unambiguously led not just by the United States but by Trump personally, who holds the final say and can remain in charge past his presidency.

US President Donald Trump's Board of Peace has no cash in its official Gaza reconstruction fund, despite member countries pledging billions of dollars, a source familiar with the board told the AFP news agency on Wednesda

Trump conceived the board to coordinate the rebuilding of Gaza, after Israel and Hamas agreed to a US-backed ceasefire in October which stopped two years of devastating war.

But he quickly raised eyebrows by sending out wide invitations, including to Russian President Vladimir Putin and to countries far removed from traditional Middle East diplomacy.

Since the board was set up, its fund, administered by the World Bank and endorsed by the United Nations, has received no money from donors, the source familiar with its operations told AFP.

The source said money had not been deposited because the fund was designed for the reconstruction and development phase, which has not yet been reached.

Israeli military operations in Gaza have continued despite the ceasefire, with at least 910 people killed since then, according to the territory's health ministry.

US President Donald Trump speaks during a Board of Peace meeting at the US Institute of Peace in Washington, 19 February, 2026
US President Donald Trump speaks during a Board of Peace meeting at the US Institute of Peace in Washington, 19 February, 2026 AP Photo

Israel still retains control of over 60% of the Gaza Strip, including all entry and exit points, while the population is concentrated on the coast.

Earlier on Wednesday, the Financial Times (FT) newspaper reported that the board had received donations directly into a JPMorgan account, citing the board's spokesperson.

There are no "independent transparency requirements" in place for the JPMorgan account, the FT noted.

Major European nations have shunned the board, which is heavy on longstanding US partners in the Middle East, ideological allies of Trump and smaller countries eager for Trump's attention.

The board is unambiguously led not just by the United States but by Trump personally, who holds the final say and can remain in charge past his presidency.

Palestinians walk through the destruction left by the Israeli air and ground offensive in Gaza City, 5 December, 2025
Palestinians walk through the destruction left by the Israeli air and ground offensive in Gaza City, 5 December, 2025 AP Photo

Trump previously said that the United States would contribute $10 billion (€8.5 billion) to the board, while Qatar, Saudi Arabia and the United Arab Emirates each promised at least $1 billion.

Members of the board are required pay $1 billion for a permanent spot, according to its charter.

An EU-UN assessment published in April estimated that more than $71 billion (€60 billion) will be needed over the next decade for the reconstruction of Gaza, where the UN says the humanitarian situation is "critical."

Plans for Gaza International Stabilisation Force in question as troop pledges stall


Copyright AP Photo

By Gavin Blackburn
Published on 28/05/2026

The Iran war has made it more difficult for Arab and Muslim leaders to openly cooperate with the United States and Israel, which many in the region view as aggressors.

The International Stabilisation Force for Gaza was announced at the inaugural meeting of US President Donald Trump's Board of Peace in February but three months on, none of the five countries that pledged troops have come through with any significant contributions.

Efforts to shore up the fragile ceasefire between Israel and the Gaza-based militant group Hamas have stalled, with Hamas refusing to disarm and Israel continuing to strike what it says are militant targets, often killing civilians.

Meanwhile, the Iran war has made it more difficult for Arab and Muslim leaders to openly cooperate with the United States and Israel, which many in the region view as aggressors and the resulting global energy crisis has put a strain on their resources.

The biggest blow to the planned force came about a week after the US and Israel attacked Iran on 28 February, when Indonesia put its commitment of 8,000 troops on indefinite hold.

Some 1,000 were to have been sent in April, followed by the remainder in June.

US President Donald Trump holds up a signed resolution during a Board of Peace meeting in Washington, 19 February, 2026 AP Photo

Indonesia's pledge was by far the largest of the group, which also includes Morocco, Kazakhstan, Kosovo and Albania. US Major General Jasper Jeffers, who spoke at the Board of Peace event, was to command the force.

Indonesia suspended its plans over what Defence Minister Sjafrie Sjamsoeddin said last week seemed to be a lack of commitment from a distracted Washington, saying “we have not yet received any implementation guidelines.”

“New dynamics have emerged,” he told parliament. “Because the intensity of the conflict between US and Iranian forces remains very high, the BoP has tended to be left behind. Since the BoP has been left behind, the ISF has also been left behind.”

Domestic issues may have factored into Indonesia's decision, said Muhammad Zulfikar Rakhmat, director of the Indonesia-Middle East/North Africa desk at Jakarta's Centre for Economic and Law Studies.

The Iran war is extremely unpopular in Indonesia, the world’s most populous Muslim country. The economy is suffering from soaring prices as a result of the conflict and there is widespread scepticism about the Board of Peace.

“If you talk to the people on the street, I don’t think they believe that the Board of Peace will actually help the people of Gaza,” Rakhmat said. There are also concerns about sending troops to the Middle East when the economy is faltering, he added.

Indonesia lost four peacekeepers who were part of the United Nations mission in Lebanon during fighting between Israel and Iran-backed Hezbollah. That has further soured public opinion on such international commitments, he said

Tents are scattered among the widespread destruction in Jabalia, 7 December, 2025 AP Photo

Forces committed but none known to be deployed

Kazakhstan has said its support for the stabilisation force would be limited to “the humanitarian component,” including sending medical units with a field hospital. Its Foreign Ministry did not respond to a request for comment.

Albania's Defence Ministry also declined to comment on its troop commitment, saying it was a “dynamic and ongoing process.”

Earlier this month, its chief of staff Lieutenant General Arben Kingji told reporters that while the military had “participated in reconnaissance activities,” no troops had yet been sent.

US President Donald Trump stands with other world leaders before a Board of Peace meeting in Washington, 19 February, 2026 AP Photo

He said only a few would be dispatched as part of the stabilisation force headquarters, without giving numbers, adding that further contributions would be considered.

Kosovo, which is expected to send 20 troops, said in April that it was in the “final phase of preparations.” The Defence Ministry did not reply to a request for an update.

Morocco's Foreign Ministry also did not reply. At the inaugural meeting of the Board of Peace, Foreign Minister Nasser Bourita said it would deploy “high-level military officers to the joint military command of the ISF.”

Board of Peace blames stalled ceasefire on Hamas

The US military’s Central Command declined to comment or make Jeffers available for an interview, referring all queries to the Board of Peace.

Board of Peace spokesperson Brad Klapper also declined to comment on Indonesia's decision or the future of the force, pointing instead to 21 May remarks at the UN by Nickolay Mladenov, a former Bulgarian defence minister who Trump appointed as the board’s director.

Mladenov said the international force would not be able to begin operations until there was agreement and implementation of a second phase of the ceasefire, which would see Hamas disarm and Israel begin to withdraw. Israeli troops control some 60% of Gaza.

High Representative for President Donald Trump's International Board of Peace Nickolay Mladenov speaks to the media in East Jerusalem, 13 May, 2026 AP Photo

Mladenov has blamed the deadlock on Hamas, saying its disarmament is “non-negotiable” and is holding up progress on other fronts, including Israel's withdrawal and reconstruction.

“You cannot build a future with armed groups running the streets, hiding in tunnels and stockpiling weapons,” Mladenov said in Jerusalem this month.

“You cannot deliver reconstruction with militias on every corner.”
Hamas blames delays on Israel

Hamas says Israel has repeatedly violated the ceasefire, holding up its further implementation, and has accused Mladenov of siding with Israel.

Israeli strikes have killed more than 880 Palestinians since the ceasefire, according to local health officials. Israel says it was responding to violations of the truce.

Fighters from Hamas’ Qassam Brigades seen in Gaza City, 19 January, 2025 AP Photo

Hamas is also demanding Israel withdraw from areas seized since the start of the ceasefire, according to an Egyptian official with knowledge of the discussions, speaking on condition of anonymity to discuss closed-door talks. Egypt has long served as a mediator with Hamas.

Many of the countries that have pledged forces have refused to send troops without a deal on Hamas disarming, the official said.
Rescuing The Gaza Ceasefire: What To Do With Hamas’s Weapons – Analysis


Members of Hamas. Photo Credit: Fars News Agency

May 28, 2026 
 ECFR
By Muhammad Shehada

President Donald Trump’s 20-point Gaza plan is at risk of falling apart because of American and Israeli maximalism over how, and how quickly, Hamas gives up its weapons. Trump’s Board of Peace, created to oversee the plan’s implementation, is conditioning progress on the Gaza Strip’s full demilitarisation—namely, that all armed factions and individuals immediately and unconditionally surrender their weapons and military capabilities. Israel is threatening a new offensive on the Strip unless Hamas accepts. But the Islamist group is refusing to budge before Israel fulfils its own commitments under the deal, including allowing full unimpeded humanitarian access to Gaza.

Europeans should step in, acting promptly and jointly with influential members of the Board of Peace such as Turkey and Saudi Arabia to nudge the White House towards a more realistic, and ultimately more successful, approach, to Hamas’s weapons. This begins with the completion of Israel’s responsibilities under the first phase of the plan and should take the form of a Northern Ireland-like model of phased decommissioning which precedes full disarmament and a final peace agreement.

The Gaza plan and decommissioning

The Gaza ceasefire announced by Trump in September 2025 was intended to end the war in Gaza and end Hamas’s security and governance role in the Strip over three phases. The first phase includes the cessation of hostilities, emergency relief and early recovery, and was conditioned on a prisoner swap between Israel and Hamas. The second phase focuses on reconstruction and long-term arrangements in Gaza and includes gradual Israeli withdrawal. This phase would also see the decommissioning of Hamas’s weapons, including “placing weapons permanently beyond use” —though the original plan was vague on what exactly this meant in practice. The final phase would see the Palestinian Authority (PA) take over Gaza and involve a “credible pathway to Palestinian self-determination and statehood” once an undefined PA reform programme “is faithfully carried out”.

Six months after the Gaza plan was signed, it is yet to bear fruit for Palestinians. In that time, Israel has killed over 5,500 Palestinians, according to the World Health Organization. It is still restricting the flow of food and medicine and is carrying out nonstop demolitions in the 59% of Gaza under its control. Meanwhile, the International Stabilization Force (ISF) and National Committee for the Administration of Gaza (NCAG), intended to replace Hamas governance and security control in the enclave, exist in name only and are yet to deploy. Additionally, Israeli efforts to block a two-state solution through rapid settlement expansion in the West Bank are accelerating.

When the Trump plan was announced, Hamas indicated support for sequenced decommissioning that proceeds in tandem with reciprocal steps by the Board of Peace and Israel. The group had previously indicated to mediators that it would be willing to suspend military activities and store its heavy weapons in warehouses under third party supervision or even hand them over to the PA.

But Israel’s unwillingness to abide by its own obligations, combined with its continuing assassination of Hamas leaders—most particularly the recent killing of its more pragmatic military head Ezz al-Din al-Hadad—is empowering a younger and more headline generation within the movement opposed to making any concessions on the group’s weapons.


Given its lack of trust in US and Israeli guarantees, Hamas views its weapons as its main source of leverage.[1] It has maintained that it will not disarm or surrender its light weapons (such as AK-47s) until there is a two-state solution—that is, at the very end of a peace process.[2] It has also demanded Israel fulfil its obligations under the first phase of the deal. Without this, Hamas says it will not start discussions on decommissioning or disarmament. (See table below on Israel’s Phase 1 obligations.) In Gaza’s current dire circumstances, Hamas’s political leadership would also struggle to convince the rank-and-file members of its military wing, and other more hardline factions such as Palestinian Islamic Jihad and the Popular Resistance Committees, to disarm.[3]

Hamas eyes Northern Ireland


Hamas negotiators have been eying the Northern Ireland peace process as a model.[4] As part of the 1998 Good Friday agreement, the nationalist Irish Republican Army (IRA) and unionist Ulster Volunteer Force (UVF) committed to a full cessation of hostilities. Decommissioning, and eventually full disarmament, were framed as the outcome of peace, not as a prerequisite. [5] The IRA only fully disarmed in 2005 and the UVF in 2009.

In 2006, Hamas officials met with IRA and UVF leaders during a tour of Northern Ireland. A senior Hamas leader described this experience as “enlightening”, since most of the group’s leadership has never been exposed to the world outside the occupied territory.[6] The group has now commissioned an internal study to draw lessons and parallels from the Northern Ireland decommissioning process, particularly on the sequencing.[7]

Some Hamas leaders have a similar sequencing in mind: that all weapons would be strictly locked away in depots with a clear policy of no use, no display and no production of those weapons. This policy would be verifiable by international monitors and the NCAG would be authorised to arrest or engage any individual that violates this policy. This phase would also include full mutual cessation of hostilities and suspension of Hamas’s armed activities or parades. In return, Israel would withdraw from Gaza and allow reconstruction. All weapons would remain locked away for 5-10 years or more, to give a chance for a political process to end the overarching Israeli-Palestinian conflict (including the West Bank).

The Board of Peace’s all or nothing condition

However, Israel has successfully moved the goalposts by interpreting the ambiguous language of the Trump plan to demand Hamas’s immediate and full disarmament. The Board of Peace’s high representative, Nickolay Mladenov, has followed this more hardline interpretation. In his first report to the UN Security Council, Mladenov blamed Hamas for the lack of progress on the Trump plan, depicting it as the single obstacle in the path of unlocking reconstruction.

This was reflected in a roadmap drawn up by Mladenov in March 2026 to implement the second phase of the ceasefire plan. This demanded that Hamas and all other Palestinian armed groups give up all of their weapons entirely within 250 days. This includes surrendering all weapons, including rifles, as well as destroying all tunnels, production sites and military infrastructure within 90 days before any Israeli withdrawal. Without this, Mladenov maintained, there will be no movement on the second phase: no Israeli withdrawal to Gaza’s peripheries, no ISF deployment, no NCAG governance transition and no start to reconstruction. According to Israeli media, Mladenov even offered the Israeli government “official authorization” to resume the war on Gaza if Hamas does not accept his proposal.

Where to go from here

In an effort to find a compromise, Egyptian and Qatari mediators put forward a bridging proposal in April, which Mladenov ultimately outlined to the UN Security Council on 21 May. The proposal is an improvement in some aspects, offering, for example, to retain Hamas’s civil servant and police force under the NCAG subject to security vetting—something that has not only been another long-standing Hamas demand but is also critical to Gaza’s long-term governance and stability.

However, the revised Board of Peace proposal still frames full Palestinian disarmament and the dismantling of all militant infrastructure as a prerequisite for everything else in phase 2. And while it does identify Israel’s phase 1 requirements, there has so far been no indication that the US is prepared to pressure it to implement these. Finally, unlike the Northern Ireland peace process, the April bridging proposal also continues to detach the disarmament process from Israeli-Palestinian peace talks.


The impasse in the Gaza talks necessitates an urgent European move made together with like-minded Board of Peace members to persuade the White House (which in practice sets the Board of Peace’s agenda) to press Israel to implement its phase 1 obligations to unlock movement on Palestinian decommissioning.

Alongside this, the Board of Peace should adopt a more pragmatic approach to the implementation of the second phase that supports more viable immediate decommissioning steps—but decouples the question of full disarmament from the other urgent action points. Success will also require an accompanying political process that opens a genuine pathway towards statehood. This is required to move Palestinian factions from a decommissioning phase to a disarmament one as the outcome of Palestinian statehood.

Hamas negotiators have signalled to mediators the group’s willingness to decommission its heavy weapons (including rockets) and some of its tunnel network in the second phase. They are also open to negotiating broader demilitarisation within the context of peace talks. This is an opportunity that should not be squandered.


European governments, especially the UK and Ireland which have extensive experience of the Northern Ireland peace process, should now work with Middle Eastern partners to create more amenable conditions to enable decommissioning. These are the tangible steps that should now be taken along the disarmament track:

(1) the NCAG’s immediate and unconditional entry to Gaza to take over governance functions. Hamas has said it would accept such a move. This would support the full resumption of basic services and restore government functions with international support, while building trust and strengthening the NCAG’s domestic legitimacy to collect weapons from armed factions in the future.

(2) the start of reconstruction overseen by the NCAG. Beyond the humanitarian imperative, this will help create the momentum needed to persuade militants to suspend their armed activities and support a phased decommissioning process. Any concerns about Hamas diverting reconstruction material can be assuaged by enacting a model similar to that of the Qatari or Egyptian reconstruction committees that operated in Gaza after the 2014 and 2021 wars. In both cases, local staff overseeing the reconstruction process were supervised by experts, on the ground, from mediator countries. Reconstruction should also be based on a Palestinian-owned vision for Gaza’s redevelopment to garner the necessary local legitimacy and international funding.

(3) ISF deployment to create a necessary buffer between the Israeli army and Palestinians. This can help persuade the local population (and armed groups themselves) that they will not be left unprotected once Palestinians disarm, helping create the conditions for disarmament (to be overseen by the ISF) and facilitating Israel’s withdrawal from Gaza.


(4) Palestinian parliamentary and presidential elections that include Gaza. Gazans (and Gazan armed groups) will be more accepting of tough compromises such as decommissioning when sanctioned by a representative and credible leadership. A recent municipal election in Deir Al-Balah is a strong example of the existing capacity to hold free and fair elections despite the dire conditions on the ground.

(5) PA relevancy by integrating it into the above four points.None of these recommendations can succeed in isolation from the creation of a credible Palestinian national framework. The EU as the biggest donor to the PA (and possibly to Gaza’s reconstruction) has ample leverage here. The PA must be woven into every layer of this process: as the legitimate overseer of the NCAG’s entry into governance, as the convener of the proposed parliamentary and presidential elections, as the coordinator for reconstruction funds channelled through recognised Palestinian institutions, and as the political umbrella under which sequenced decommissioning leads to a unified, democratically accountable security apparatus.


Ultimately, implementing phase 2 and sustaining the Gaza ceasefire will require the Board of Peace to abandon its current maximalist approach that insists on full disarmament before governance, reconstruction or politics. The alternative will be renewed bloodshed and a missed opportunity to leverage the decommissioning process and jumpstart a serious Israeli-Palestinian peace process. For this to happen, disarmament must be the outcome of a functioning peace, not the prerequisite for one.
Phase 1 Israeli obligations (as per summary by Arab mediators, April 2026)
Type Commitment Reality
Ceasefire Suspending all military operations including aerial bombing, artillery and targeting [assassinations] At least 5,400 Palestinian fatalities since ceasefire on October 10th 2025; 312 fatalities in April 2026 (UN)

Continued assassination of Hamas members, including Azzam al-Haya, the son of senior Hamas leader Khalil al-Haya, in April 2026
Humanitarian Entry of a minimum of 600 [aid] trucks per day, 42,00 per week, and 50 trucks of fuel Israel has allowed in on average 95 trucks of humanitarian aid per day since the beginning of the ceasefire on October 10th 2025; average of 74 trucks per day in April 2026 (UN) (Includes only humanitarian relief consignments processed through the UN.)

In May 2026, MSF accusedIsrael of manufacturing a malnutrition crisis in Gaza
Rafah border crossing Operating the Rafah border crossing in both directions according to the January 19th 2025 agreement [which states that all ill and wounded Palestinian civilians will be allowed to cross] Rafah is operating with severe limitations. According to Gisha: As of February 2026 “the daily number of those exiting has not exceeded around 50, despite the fact that there are more than 18,500 patients in Gaza who require urgent medical evacuation, including more than 4,000 children.”

Palestinians crossing have also been detained by Israeli forces and Israeli-back armed groups
Withdrawal IDF withdraws to the Yellow Line [leaving 53% of Gaza’s territory under temporary Israeli control] … and will not return to areas that have been withdrawn from as long as Hamas abides by the agreement The IDF has slowly expanded the yellow line deeper into Gaza, now taking over at least 59% of Gaza
Humanitarian Priority should be given to food, medical necessities and goods related to providing shelter, clothing, footwear and other necessary materials Israel has been restricting the entry of medicine and medical equipment, as well as continued arbitrary restrictions on thousands of humanitarian items
Humanitarian Allowing the entry of 60,000 temporary homes and 200,000 tents As of May 2026, 133,724 tents have entered Gaza (Global Shelter Cluster)

As of February 2026, 864durable flat-pack shelters—commonly referred to as Relief Housing Units (RSUs) have been allowed in (UN)
Humanitarian/ infrastructure To urgently start repair work on water and sewage facilities and lines according to priority, in addition to the rehabilitation of hospitals, bakeries and roads. Gaza’s water and sewage infrastructure is in a state of severe, ongoing collapse (Oxfam; Haaretz)

24 out of 296 health points are fully functioning; 17 out of 37 hospitals are not functioning, and the other 20 are only partially functioning (Health Cluster)

26 out of 100 bakeries opened

Limited road clearance
Humanitarian/ infrastructure The rehabilitation of the infrastructure (electricity, water, sanitation, communications and roads) in all areas of Gaza, and allowing in the agreed quantity of equipment necessary for civil defense, rubble removal and completion of what was mentioned during the stages of the agreement has entered. Israel restricting entry of heavy equipment into Gaza such as diggers and bulldozers, as well as the fuel and generators to run them.

Humanitarian Israel to release all women and children (below 19 who are not militants). 53 Palestinian women and 350 children from the West Bank still held by Israel

Israeli commitments under phase 1; Annex 1 of ‘the Roadmap for the Full Implementation of President Trump’s Comprehensive Gaza Peace Plan’, Confidential bridging proposal drafted by Qatar and Egypt in April 2026. Copy with ECFR.

The European Council on Foreign Relations does not take collective positions. 

ECFR publications only represent the views of their individual authors.

About the author: Muhammad Shehada is a visiting fellow with ECFR’s Middle East and North Africa programme. He is a Gazan researcher, writer, and human rights advocate. His work focuses on investigating human rights violations in Gaza and the West Bank, and more broadly in the Middle East and Europe, with an emphasis on the treatment of migrants, refugees, and civilians in conflict zones.

Source: This article was published by ECFR

Endnotes:
Author interviews with two Hamas members, April 2026 and December 2025.
Author interview with senior Hamas member, April 2026.
Author interview with senior Hamas leader, Doha, December 2025.
Author interview with senior Hamas member, April 2026.
Address by Bertie Ahern on the Northern Ireland Peace Process at the 8th meeting of the Global Alliance, January 28th 2026, Dublin.
Author interview with senior Hamas leader in Gaza 2020.
Author discussion with senior Hamas member, April 2026.
The Political Process In Morocco: Monarchy, Reform, And Incremental Democracy – Analysis

May 27, 2026 
By Dr. Mohamed Chtatou


This essay provides a comprehensive analysis of the political process in Morocco, examining the structural role of the monarchy, the development of constitutional governance, party politics, civil society, and the contested trajectory of democratisation. Drawing on comparative political theory, historical institutionalism, and empirical scholarship, it argues that Moroccan politics is best understood not as a failed or stalled democracy, but as a distinctive hybrid regime in which the Makhzen — the royal palace and its networks — continuously recalibrates relations with elected institutions, political parties, and social movements to preserve monarchical centrality while accommodating pressures for reform. The 2011 constitutional reforms, the rise and fall of Islamist party government, sub-national governance, gender politics, and the structural constraints imposed by rentier dynamics and regional geopolitics are examined in detail. The essay concludes that Morocco’s political trajectory reflects a calculated strategy of adaptive governance that, while preserving significant space for pluralism, stops well short of genuine power-sharing.


1. Introduction

Morocco occupies a singular position in the comparative politics of the Arab world. It is simultaneously one of the most politically liberalised states in the MENA region and a country in which real executive authority remains firmly concentrated in the hands of a monarch whose legitimacy is simultaneously constitutional, religious, and dynastic. This combination of formal pluralism and substantive monarchical dominance has attracted extensive scholarly attention, generating debates about whether Morocco represents a genuine experiment in gradual democratisation, a durable monarchy employing liberalisation as a regime-maintenance strategy, or something genuinely novel that resists familiar analytical categories (Brumberg, 2002; Maghraoui, 2002; Catusse, 2008).

The question is not merely academic. Morocco is a strategic partner of the European Union and the United States, a recipient of significant development assistance, a country that has managed thus far to avoid the violent ruptures experienced by its neighbours, and a society undergoing rapid socioeconomic transformation driven by urbanisation, demographic change, and integration into global markets. Understanding how its political system actually works — how power is organised, how demands are processed, and how change does or does not occur — is therefore a matter of both scholarly and policy importance (Denoeux & Gateau, 1995; Storm, 2007).

This essay proceeds as follows. Section 2 establishes the historical foundations of the modern Moroccan state, tracing the consolidation of the post-independence political order. Section 3 analyses the constitutional architecture and the structural role of the monarchy. Section 4 examines party politics and electoral institutions. Section 5 considers the dynamics of civil society and social movements, with particular attention to the 2011 protests. Section 6 addresses sub-national governance and decentralisation. Section 7 analyses gender and representation. Section 8 reflects on external dimensions of Moroccan politics, including the Western Sahara conflict. Section 9 offers concluding reflections on the prospects for political change.

2. Historical Foundations of the Modern Moroccan State

Modern Moroccan politics cannot be understood without reference to its pre-colonial, colonial, and immediately post-independence history. The Sharifian state — legitimised by the Sultan’s descent from the Prophet Muhammad — possessed a distinctive character that distinguished Morocco from the Ottoman provinces of the Mashriq. The Sultan’s dual role as political sovereign and Commander of the Faithful (Amîr al-Mu’minîn) fused temporal and religious authority in ways that proved extraordinarily resilient across the upheavals of colonialism and independence (Hammoudi, 1997; Pennell, 2000).

French and Spanish colonialism (1912–1956) paradoxically reinforced certain dimensions of this authority. The French protectorate, operating through the fiction of indirect rule, preserved the formal institution of the sultanate even as it hollowed out its effective power. This created a complex dynamic: the Sultan retained symbolic authority and became a focus of nationalist sentiment, while real administrative and economic power was exercised by the French Résidence. Sultan Mohammed V’s exile by the French in 1953 and his triumphant return in 1955 transformed him from a religious figurehead into a nationalist hero, dramatically amplifying the legitimacy of the monarchy in the post-independence period (Leveau, 1985; Pennell, 2000).

Morocco’s Mohammed V. Photo Credit: Fotograaf Onbekend / Anefo, Wikipedia Commons

Independence in 1956 inaugurated a struggle over the organisation of political authority. The Istiqlal Party, which had led the nationalist movement, anticipated a leading role in the post-independence order. Mohammed V, however, moved quickly to assert monarchical prerogatives, appointing governments, managing relations with political parties, and using the armed forces and security services as direct instruments of royal power. His son and successor Hassan II, who reigned from 1961 to 1999, institutionalised a form of royal autocracy that relied on divide-and-rule tactics among political parties, a sprawling patronage network known as the Makhzen, periodic but severe repression — particularly during the Years of Lead (les années de plomb) of the 1970s and 1980s — and the mobilising force of the Western Sahara issue, which became central to Moroccan national identity (Entelis, 1989; Slyomovics, 2005).

The transition from Hassan II to Mohammed VI in 1999 was widely anticipated as an opportunity for political opening. The new king initially signalled reformist intent, dismissing the powerful Interior Minister Driss Basri, establishing the Equity and Reconciliation Commission (IER) to address past human rights abuses, and promising a new concept of authority (nouveau concept de l’autorité). These early gestures generated considerable optimism domestically and internationally, though scholars rapidly noted that structural reform of monarchical power remained off the table (Monjib, 2011; Vermeren, 2009).

3. Constitutional Architecture and the Role of the Monarchy

Morocco has had a succession of constitutions — in 1962, 1970, 1972, 1992, 1996, and most recently 2011 — each reflecting the political conditions of its moment and each preserving the structural centrality of the monarchy. The 2011 constitution, adopted by referendum in July of that year, represents the most significant formal expansion of parliamentary and governmental powers in Moroccan constitutional history, though its practical implementation has been characterised by what Fernández-Molina (2011) terms selective constitutionalisation — the selective uptake of constitutional provisions in ways that do not fundamentally alter the distribution of real political power (Chtatou, 2023, May 27 ; Chtatou, 2025, October 7).

The 2011 constitution formally establishes Morocco as a constitutional, democratic, parliamentary and social monarchy (Article 1). It recognises Amazigh as an official language alongside Arabic (Article 5), incorporates a significantly expanded bill of rights including gender equality and protection from torture, and strengthens the independence of the judiciary (Articles 107–128). Crucially, it requires the king to appoint the prime minister — renamed Head of Government — from the party that wins the most seats in parliamentary elections (Article 47), a provision applied for the first time after the November 2011 elections (Madani, Maghraoui, & Zerhouni, 2012).

Nevertheless, the constitution preserves and in some respects reinforces extensive monarchical prerogatives. The king remains Commander of the Faithful (Article 41), chairs the Council of Ministers (Article 48), presides over the Supreme Security Council (Article 54), appoints ambassadors, senior military officers, and governors (Article 49), and retains the power to dissolve parliament (Article 51). The concept of royal arbitration (Article 42) gives the king an ill-defined but potentially expansive role as guardian of the constitutional order. Vairel (2014) argues that the 2011 reforms represented a defensive constitutionalisation designed to absorb protest energy without transferring genuine decision-making authority.

Scholars working within a comparative politics framework have debated how to classify the Moroccan regime. For Brumberg (2002), Morocco exemplifies liberalised autocracy — a regime that institutionalises enough pluralism to generate legitimacy and foreign support while preventing genuine contestation over fundamental power arrangements. Maghraoui (2002) speaks of political authority in crisis, pointing to the growing gap between formal institutional design and the personalised, patrimonial reality of how decisions are actually made. More recently, Dalmasso (2012) has applied the concept of authoritarian upgrading (Heydemann, 2007) to the Moroccan case, arguing that the 2011 reforms represent not liberalisation but adaptation — the reequilibration of the regime in response to changed constraints.

4. Party Politics and Electoral Institutions

Morocco has a large, fractured, and historically unstable multi-party system that reflects both the structural incentives created by royal divide-and-rule strategies and genuine ideological and social cleavages within Moroccan society. As of the mid-2020s, the party system includes parties rooted in nationalism (Istiqlal), the left (the Socialist Union of Popular Forces, USFP; the Party of Progress and Socialism, PPS), liberal conservatism (the National Rally of Independents, RNI; the Popular Movement, MP), Islamism (the Justice and Development Party, PJD), and royal-aligned technocratic formations (the Authenticity and Modernity Party, PAM) (Willis, 2012; Zerhouni, 2004).

The PJD’s trajectory over the decade following 2011 represents perhaps the most significant and instructive episode in recent Moroccan party politics. Having won the most seats in the 2011 parliamentary elections in the wake of the Arab Spring protests, the PJD formed a governing coalition under Prime Minister Abdelilah Benkirane, who became widely popular for his combative, populist communication style. Benkirane’s government pursued a cautious reform agenda — fiscal consolidation, subsidy reform, and modest anti-corruption measures — while maintaining a broadly cooperative relationship with the palace (Daadaoui, 2013).

The limits of this cohabitation were made apparent in 2016–2017, when, following elections in which the PJD again performed strongly, King Mohammed VI declined to ratify Benkirane’s proposed coalition and eventually asked his less confrontational colleague Saad Eddine El Othmani to form a government instead. This episode — labelled the blocage (blockage) — crystallised for many observers the structural constraints on genuine parliamentary government in Morocco: even a party with a strong popular mandate governed within a framework set by the palace, and could be removed from that framework at royal discretion (Wegner, 2011; Catusse & Dazi-Héni, 2017).


The 2021 elections produced a further and more decisive reconfiguration of the party landscape. The PJD suffered a historic collapse, losing over ninety percent of its seats in a result many analysts attributed to a combination of policy failures — particularly in the management of COVID-19 and the normalisation of relations with Israel under the Abraham Accords, both conducted without meaningful parliamentary consultation — internal divisions, and a campaign context in which PAM and RNI, both regarded as close to the palace, were electorally dominant. RNI leader Aziz Akhannouch was appointed Head of Government. The election underscored that while competitive elections impose real costs on parties that fail, the structural parameters of competition are set by the monarchy (Boussaid, 2022).

Electoral institutions in Morocco have been repeatedly modified in ways that fragment party representation and prevent any single party from accumulating a commanding parliamentary majority. Proportional representation with regional lists and low electoral thresholds encourages the multiplication of parties and coalition government, which in turn increases the palace’s role as coalition broker and reduces the leverage of any individual party or prime minister. Sater (2007) argues that this institutional design reflects a deliberate monarchical strategy of institutional proliferation — the creation of multiple, overlapping, competing political actors whose rivalry structures and stabilises monarchical governance (Chtatou, 2025, October 7).


5. Civil Society, Social Movements, and the 2011 Protests

Civil society in Morocco is extensive, heterogeneous, and politically consequential, though its relationship to formal political institutions remains complex and in many respects constrained. The associational landscape includes human rights organisations (notably the Moroccan Association for Human Rights, AMDH, and the Official Advisory Council on Human Rights, CNDH), women’s rights organisations, Amazigh cultural associations, development NGOs, trade unions, professional associations, and youth movements. This dense associational life reflects both genuine civic energy and, in part, the strategic cultivation of civil society by the state as an alternative arena for managing social demands that might otherwise take more disruptive forms (Cavatorta & Dalmasso, 2009).

The February 20 Movement (Mouvement du 20 Février, M20F) that emerged in the context of the 2011 Arab Spring represented the most significant mobilisation of popular political energy in contemporary Moroccan history. Beginning with a demonstration on 20 February 2011 that drew tens of thousands of participants in cities across Morocco, the movement called for a new constitution, an end to corruption, genuine parliamentary government, and the release of political prisoners. It drew together a heterogeneous coalition including secular leftists, Islamists from the banned Al Adl wal Ihsane (Justice and Benevolence), youth activists, Amazigh organisations, and human rights defenders (Vairel, 2014; Zaki, 2011).

The monarchy’s response was rapid, strategic, and ultimately effective in demobilising the movement. In a landmark speech on 9 March 2011, King Mohammed VI announced a process of constitutional reform, ultimately producing the July 2011 constitution described above. By accepting the form of the movement’s constitutional demands while retaining control of the drafting process through a royal commission rather than an elected constituent assembly, the palace channelled protest energy into a controlled institutional channel. The M20F’s demand for a real constitution articulated by the people was deflected into a royal constitution endorsed in a referendum marked by high official turnout figures that many civil society organisations disputed (Sater, 2016; Maghraoui, 2011).

Since 2011, social mobilisation has continued in various forms. The Hirak Rif movement emerged in the northern Rif region in 2016 following the death of fishmonger Mouhcine Fikri, initially focusing on socioeconomic grievances — unemployment, lack of development, and historical marginalisation of the Rif — before escalating into broader demands for political accountability. The movement’s leaders, including Nasser Zefzafi, were arrested in 2017, tried for threatening state security, and sentenced to lengthy prison terms in proceedings that attracted significant criticism from international human rights organisations (Amnesty International, 2018; Human Rights Watch, 2017). The Hirak episode illustrated both the vitality of grassroots mobilisation in Morocco and the firm limits the state places on movements it judges to constitute a structural challenge to the existing order (Chtatou, 2023, May 27).

6. Sub-National Governance and Decentralisation

Morocco’s 2011 constitution and subsequent organic laws introduced a significant reform of sub-national governance, formally establishing the principle of advanced regionalisation (régionalisation avancée) and creating twelve new regions with elected regional councils and presidents. This reform was framed by the royal discourse as a means of devolving power, enhancing local democracy, and accelerating development, particularly in peripheral regions — the Oriental, the south, and the Rif — characterised by high rates of poverty and emigration (Bergh, 2012).

In practice, decentralisation in Morocco reflects the general pattern of Moroccan political reform: a genuine extension of formal institutional capacity at the sub-national level combined with the continuation of significant central oversight through appointed Walis and governors who represent the Ministry of the Interior and retain substantial de facto authority. Regional councils have real budgetary resources and administrative competencies, but major development projects continue to be driven by royal initiatives through specialised agencies — such as the Agence du Sud, which coordinates development in the southern provinces — that operate outside the regular democratic framework (Catusse, Destremau, & Verdier, 2010).

The relationship between decentralisation and democracy in Morocco thus exhibits what Bergh (2012) calls a dual track: a formal track of elected regional governance with increasing technical capacity, and an informal track of royal-appointed technocratic management that handles the most strategically significant investment and development decisions. Whether this duality will evolve towards a more integrated and genuinely participatory model of sub-national governance remains an open and contested question in both scholarship and political debate (Chtatou, 2025, October 7).

7. Gender, Representation, and the Politics of Women’s Rights

The politics of gender in Morocco illustrates, with particular clarity, the complex interplay between top-down royal reform, bottom-up civil society pressure, Islamist political mobilisation, and patriarchal social structures that characterises Moroccan political life more broadly. The 2004 reform of the Mudawwana (family code), which raised the minimum age of marriage for women to 18, introduced judicial divorce on the wife’s initiative (khul), restricted polygamy, and equalised parental authority, is widely regarded as among the most significant legislative achievements in Morocco’s post-independence history. The reform was made possible by a distinctive political conjuncture: sustained mobilisation by women’s organisations, the political marginalisation of Islamist opposition following the 2003 Casablanca bombings, and the personal endorsement of King Mohammed VI (Sadiqi & Ennaji, 2006; Charrad, 2001).


Political representation of women has been addressed through a combination of reserved seats, national lists, and party quotas, producing a gradual but uneven increase in parliamentary representation. Women held approximately 21% of seats in the House of Representatives following the 2016 elections, a figure that, while well above the regional average, remains far below gender parity and reflects the limited organic integration of women into party structures and local political networks (Sater, 2007; Inter-Parliamentary Union, 2021). At the local government level, the 2015 elections produced significant increases in women’s representation on communal councils, partly as a result of a legislative requirement that one-third of seats on municipal councils be allocated to women through dedicated lists (Benali & Moudden, 2016).


Formal legal progress coexists with persistent structural challenges. Violence against women, discrimination in inheritance law, and the practical inaccessibility of certain family law provisions continue to draw criticism from feminist organisations and international monitoring bodies. The intersection of gender with class, rural-urban divides, and regional disparities means that the experience of Moroccan women is highly heterogeneous: urban, educated, middle-class women have generally benefited most from formal rights reforms, while rural, less-educated, and poorer women face more significant barriers to accessing legal protections (Sadiqi & Ennaji, 2006; Ennaji, 2016).

8. External Dimensions: Western Sahara, Regional Politics, and International Pressures

The Western Sahara conflict represents the most consequential external dimension of Moroccan domestic politics, functioning simultaneously as a source of national mobilisation, and a permanent fixture of Moroccan foreign policy. Morocco occupied the former Spanish colony of Western Sahara in 1975 following the Green March organised by Hassan II, and has since administered most of its territory, claiming sovereignty not recognised by international law or the United Nations but supported by key partners including France and the United States (Jensen, 2005; Zunes & Mundy, 2010).

The Sahara issue exercises a significant disciplining effect on Moroccan domestic politics. The boundaries of legitimate political debate are defined in part by an implicit consensus that Morocco’s claim to the territory is non-negotiable, and critics — including journalists, bloggers, and political activists — who have questioned this consensus have faced criminal prosecution under provisions of the penal code relating to threats to territorial integrity. The 2020 US recognition of Moroccan sovereignty over Western Sahara, secured as part of the Abraham Accords normalisation of relations between Morocco and Israel, represented a significant diplomatic achievement for Rabat and further entrenched the monarchy’s role as manager of Morocco’s strategic interests (Maghraoui, 2021).

Morocco’s relations with the European Union, its primary trade partner and a major source of development assistance and remittances, are structured through an association agreement and bilateral arrangements covering trade, migration management, fisheries, and agricultural exports. The EU’s democracy promotion agenda has had limited effect on Moroccan political reform, partly because EU member states, particularly France and Spain, prioritise the strategic management of migration and security cooperation over normative pressure for democratisation. Scholars working on EU-MENA relations have identified Morocco as a paradigm case of the disjunction between the formal democracy-promotion rhetoric of EU external policy and the actual incentive structures shaping bilateral relations (Bicchi, 2007; Cavatorta & Durac, 2010).

9. Conclusion: Adaptive Governance and the Prospects for Political Change

Morocco’s political process, as this essay has demonstrated across multiple dimensions, is characterised by a distinctive and durable form of hybrid governance. The monarchy has shown remarkable capacity to adapt to changed circumstances — the 1999 royal transition, the 2003 terrorist attacks, the 2011 Arab Spring, the COVID-19 pandemic, shifting regional geopolitics — without relinquishing its structural centrality. Constitutional reform, electoral competition, civil society activity, and significant legislative changes across multiple domains have all occurred within a framework that consistently preserves the monarchy’s ultimate authority over major national decisions (Chtatou, 2023, May 27).

This essay has argued, following Heydemann (2007), Dalmasso (2012), and others, that this pattern is best understood as adaptive governance — a regime strategy that employs liberalisation instrumentally, tolerates and even encourages pluralism within defined limits, and responds to mobilisation not with simple repression but with a sophisticated combination of co-optation, institutional reform, and, when necessary, targeted repression of those who transgress structural limits. The comparison with the Arab Spring trajectories of Tunisia, Egypt, Libya, and Syria underscores the relative effectiveness of this strategy in terms of regime survival, though whether it constitutes a path to genuine democratisation or merely its indefinite simulation remains deeply contested (Chtatou, 2025, October 7).

Several dynamics may put pressure on this equilibrium in the coming decades. The youth bulge — a large, educated, urbanised, and digitally connected young population with high unemployment and frustrated aspirations — generates ongoing demand for more genuine political participation and economic inclusion. The weakening of traditional party organisations, the rise of new forms of social mobilisation, and the increasing salience of corruption as a political issue all create new sources of pressure. Climate change and water scarcity, to which Morocco is acutely vulnerable, will test governance capacity in ways that formal institutions may be poorly designed to address.

Ultimately, the prospects for political change in Morocco will depend on whether the monarchy can continue to manage these pressures through its established repertoire of adaptive strategies, or whether the accumulation of unmet demands generates mobilisation sufficient to force a genuine redistribution of political authority. The scholarly consensus, as of the mid-2020s, inclines toward continuity over transformation.

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Chang’e-5 Regolith Studies Reveal Nanoscale Space-Weathering Processes

Formation mechanism of multilayered structure containing npFe0 particles CREDIT: NIGPAS

May 28, 2026 
By Eurasia Review


On the Moon, the lack of atmosphere and accompanying features such as biological activity, oxygen-rich air, flowing water and rain, wind, and most erosion allows the lunar regolith to preserve a long-term record of surface processes in the space environment.

Such processes, which have a major effect on airless bodies such as the Moon, Mercury, and asteroids, include solar wind irradiation, micrometeorite bombardment, impact melting, sputter deposition, and rapid quenching—all of which continuously alter the structure, composition, and optical properties of surface materials.

Understanding these processes at the micro- and nanoscale is essential for interpreting lunar space weathering, remote-sensing spectra, and the form and distribution of surface resources.

To enhance this understanding, a collaborative team jointly led by Prof. YIN Zongjun from the Nanjing Institute of Geology and Palaeontology of the Chinese Academy of Sciences (NIGPAS), together with Profs. SHEN Bing and ZHOU Jihan from Peking University, has conducted systematic studies of impact-glass particles associated with Chang’e-5 lunar regolith grains.


The findings were published in the Journal of Geophysical Research: Planets and PNAS. Together, these studies focus on the same type of Chang’e-5 impact glass, revealing the nanoscale evolution of lunar surface materials through two complementary processes: impact-induced silicate phase separation and the formation of nanophase metallic iron.

In the Journal of Geophysical Research: Planets study, the researchers examined Chang’e-5 impact glass using aberration-corrected transmission electron microscopy, scanning transmission electron microscopy, and spectroscopic analyses.

They identified Fe-rich nanodroplets within Si-rich glass, as well as Si-rich nanodroplets within Fe-rich glass. The nanodroplets were amorphous, i.e., lacked a regular crystal structure, and were found in clusters that had partially merged and grown. The results suggest that micrometeorite impacts not only induce local melting of lunar regolith, but can also trigger silicate liquid immiscibility on extremely short timescales, with rapid quenching preserving the transient phase-separated structures in impact glass where different materials separated from one another.

Building on this work, the PNAS study examined nanophase metallic iron (nanophase Fe0, npFe0) in the impact glass, which is a major product of lunar space weathering. It also plays a key role in modifying the reflectance spectra of lunar soils.

Using electron tomography alongside energy-dispersive X-ray spectroscopy and electron energy-loss spectroscopy, the researchers directly resolved the three-dimensional distribution, morphology, local abundance, and iron valence states of npFe0 at the nanometer scale.

In one reconstructed volume, 1,506 npFe0 particles were identified, with an average diameter of approximately 3.4 nm and a median diameter of approximately 2.9 nm. Different layers showed distinct particle sizes, number densities, and Fe⁰ volume fractions, with the Fe⁰ volume fraction in a local large-particle layer reaching up to 30 vol%.

To determine how the nanoparticles formed in different regions, the researchers combined structural reconstructions with elemental and iron valence-state analyses. They also introduced a parameter, ξ, to evaluate the contribution of external electrons during iron reduction.

The study showed that the sulfur-rich layer containing irregular large particles mainly originated from iron sulfide decomposition. It also showed that several layers with high concentrations of small particles were dominated by Fe2+ disproportionation—a process in which Fe2+ is simultaneously oxidized and reduced. The near-surface region exhibited evidence of later modification due to solar wind irradiation, promoting glass-structure modification and npFe0 particle ripening.


The researchers further estimated that metallic iron in mature impact-glass domains could reach 7.1 wt%, substantially exceeding previous bulk-soil estimates for Chang’e-5 samples. This result highlights significant microscale heterogeneity in the distribution of npFe0 in lunar regolith.

Together, the two studies demonstrate that Chang’e-5 impact glass simultaneously records several related processes—impact melting, silicate liquid immiscibility, redox reactions, sulfide decomposition, and solar wind modification. Using electron tomography and high-resolution spectroscopic techniques, the researchers were able to overcome the limitations of conventional two-dimensional imaging and quantitatively reconstruct nanoscale structures and their formation histories in three dimensions.

The findings provide new sample-based insights into the spectral evolution of the Moon and other airless bodies, the processes responsible for forming lunar impact glass, and the distribution and physical state of iron resources on the lunar surface.