Wednesday, March 19, 2025

 

Time is not the driving influence of forest carbon storage, U-M study finds



University of Michigan




Figures and photos


 

It is commonly assumed that as forest ecosystems age, they accumulate and store, or "sequester," more carbon.

 

A new study based at the University of Michigan Biological Station untangled carbon cycling over two centuries and found that it's more nuanced than that.

 

The synergistic effects of forest structure, the composition of the tree and fungal communities, and soil biogeochemical processes have more influence on how much carbon is being sequestered above and below ground than previously thought.

 

The research, published in the journal Ecological Applications, involved the effort of more than 100 scientists from across the country who have conducted studies at the historic field station in Pellston, Michigan, over many decades.

 

The researchers targeted a variety of forest stands at the more-than-10,000-acre campus founded in 1909, including old reference forests that were established in the 1800s, stands that were logged in the early 1900s and have since been left undisturbed, and stands that have experienced subsequent logging or burning.

 

Luke Nave, research associate professor at Michigan Technological University's College of Forest Resources and Environmental Science, led the collaborative team that synthesized the decades of data.

 

"Time is not what drives carbon cycling," Nave said. "Time is more of a playing field, and the rules of the game on that field are things like canopy structure, tree and microbial community composition, and soil nitrogen availability. That means that changes in things like structure, composition and soil nitrogen are what control forest carbon trajectories, whether those changes happen quickly or slowly, and whether we are influencing those changes through management or letting them happen on their own terms."

 

The study was based on data that the team generated and compiled over decades at the U-M Biological Station in northern Michigan, including research infrastructure such as the 150-foot AmeriFlux tower, which is part of a network of instrumented sites in North, South and Central America that measure ecosystem carbon dioxide, water and energy "fluxes," and other exchanges between the land surface and atmosphere.

 

UMBS, one of the nation's largest and longest continuously operating field research stations, manages two towers near Douglas Lake that generate long-term data on forest carbon dynamics.

 

The newly published research spanned a wide variety of forest datasets in the footprints of the flux towers and elsewhere on the property, everything from soil respiration, fungal communities and root production to leaf litterfall, carbon pools and soil enzyme activities.

 

"It's exciting to see the results of this study. It was a lot of work and many years in the making," said Jason Tallant, data manager and research specialist at UMBS and a co-author of the research. 

 

"At the U-M Biological Station, we put a lot of effort into data curation and digitization. It's nice to see the carbon synthesis research team leverage our historic data sets and crunch real-time carbon sequestration information to illuminate what's happening in our forests and inform future management."

 

The researchers said that managing forests means much more than managing their age. Directly and indirectly, managing forests means manipulating structure (above and below ground), composition (plants and microbes) and relationships between ecosystem components, including their functional and biogeochemical outcomes.

 

"With the rates of change we're now seeing in things like climate, forest health and disturbance, and tree species composition, management will have to contend with more challenges and constraints all the time. What was true a decade or two ago can't be assumed as truth at this point," Nave said.

 

"A good example for folks who know the territory is on the Burn Plots—the 1998 burn is a thriving young stand of post-clearcut aspen, and the 2017 burn is a regeneration failure. You might not think that 19 years is a long time to a tree, but it is in today's world. Researchers and managers who take a whole-ecosystem perspective like we did in the paper will have an easier time understanding what has changed over the last few decades and what we can do about it to sustain forests."

 

This work is supported by the National Science Foundation, the U.S. Department of Energy's Office of Science and the Laboratory Directed Research and Development Program of Oak Ridge National Laboratory.

 

Collaborators are affiliated with nearly a dozen institutions including Michigan Tech, U-M, Virginia Commonwealth University, Oak Ridge National Laboratory, USDA Forest Service, Ohio State University, University of Connecticut, Purdue University, University of Texas and University of Wisconsin.

 

Study: Carbon cycling across ecosystem succession in a north temperate forest: Controls and management implications

 

 

Adopting zero-emission trucks and buses could save lives, prevent asthma in Illinois



Community partners advocated for research queries to support greater policy impact




Northwestern University





Guided by the lived experiences of community partners, Northwestern University scientists have simulated the effects of zero-emission vehicle (ZEV) adoption on future air quality for the greater Chicago area.

The results were published today (March 18) in the journal Frontiers of Earth Science.

Motivated by California’s Advanced Clean Trucks (ACT) policy, Neighbors for an Equitable Transition to Zero-Emissions (NET-Z) Illinois members partnered with Northwestern researchers to explore how a similar strategy might play out in Cook County and the surrounding areas.

To develop a model that more realistically simulates the greater Chicago area’s current pollution levels, the researchers augmented an Environmental Protection Act (EPA) air-quality model to better reflect satellite observations and the lived experience of local community groups. Then, the researchers compared the model of current air quality to simulated future conditions under the ACT policy.

By implementing an ACT policy in Illinois, researchers found the Chicago region would reduce enough nitrogen dioxide (NO2) pollution to avoid 500 premature deaths and 600 new cases of childhood asthma per year. The largest health improvements from this policy would occur in neighborhoods currently experiencing the highest pollution levels, which are areas with more residents of color. So, not only would reducing air pollution reduce health problems, it also would help address existing racial disparities in pollution exposure.

“As a mom who personally has asthma, I was struck by these results,” said Northwestern’s Victoria Lang, who led the study. “Avoiding 600 new pediatric cases of asthma per year is sparing 25 classrooms of students from a chronic lung disease. Kids should not have to suffer from a life-long illness just because of where they live or the location of their school.”

Lang is a Ph.D. candidate in Northwestern’s Department of Earth, Environmental and Planetary Sciences at the Weinberg College of Arts and Sciences. She is advised by the study’s senior author Daniel Horton, an associate professor of Earth, environmental and planetary sciences. Insights from members of the Respiratory Health Association, Warehouse Workers for Justice, Little Village Environmental Justice Organization and other NET-Z coalition members helped inform the study.

ACTing on air pollution

Exposure to traffic-related pollutants is associated with a myriad of substantial negative health outcomes, including asthma, emphysema, chronic bronchitis and ultimately premature death. To combat these issues, California adopted the ACT policy in June 2020. Several other states have since followed suit. The intervention policy aims to gradually replace approximately 50% of on-road medium- and heavy-duty vehicles, like trucks and buses, with ZEVs by the year 2050.

“ACT aims to reach an approximately 50% ZEV fleet by 2050 because trucking companies have economics to consider,” Horton said. “They can’t cost effectively replace their diesel fleets overnight. But, as the vehicles age and companies need to renew their fleets, ACT incentivizes gradual adoption of zero-emission vehicles.”

Wondering if a similar policy might help curb pollution-related health risks in the Chicago area, members of NET-Z Illinois approached Horton’s laboratory at Northwestern. Horton’s group previously modeled air-quality scenarios in which 30% of current on-road heavy-duty vehicles in the Chicago region shifted to electric versions. His lab also previously examined how pollution varies from neighborhood to neighborhood. After reviewing these studies, members of the community noticed some critical gaps in the data.

“The community asked us if we could simulate the effects of the ACT policy, so they could advocate for it in Illinois,” said Horton, who leads Northwestern’s Climate Change Research Group. “But they also suspected we were getting the emissions data wrong in certain areas of the city. So, first, we had to figure that out.”

Community groups fill in the blanks

In Horton’s air-quality models, his team pulls data from the EPA, which provides essential national-scale emission estimates. Because these estimates are designed for broad applicability, however, they may not capture localized variations in emission patterns.

“To determine emissions on a national scale, the EPA selects representative counties that may or may not include Chicago,” Horton explained. “They assign typical emission levels based on factors like traffic volume, road type and population density. It’s useful but not custom-designed for Chicago.”

“The default EPA model also uses a coarser resolution,” Lang added. “We run our model at one-kilometer resolution, allowing us to capture local impacts at the neighborhood scale. However, some assumptions used at coarser resolutions may not translate as well to higher-resolution applications.”

Community partners living in Chicago’s West Side noticed the emissions included in earlier models seemed low. To explore this intuition, citizen scientists deployed 35 truck-counting cameras at intersections along the I-55 corridor. The cameras revealed that communities along I-55, southwest of downtown Chicago, frequently experience thousands of truck passages per day. Beyond roadways, heavy-duty trucks also often idle — in driveways, pick-up lines and while loading and unloading freight — for extended periods of time. These idling episodes were underrepresented in the data.

“We tried to align our model with those lived experiences,” Lang said. “We found the EPA simulates short-duration idling from heavy-duty vehicles by distributing them across the entire city. We knew that wasn’t representative of where these vehicles operate, which is predominantly near warehouses and distribution centers, such as those on the west side of Chicago. We modified the spatial distribution of that short-duration idling to better represent real-life operations.”

Health and economic benefits of ZEV adoption

After augmenting their model with this new information, the researchers ran a baseline simulation to create a full high-resolution snapshot of current air pollution in Cook County and its surrounding collar counties — DuPage, Kane, Kendall, Lake, McHenry and Will. According to this baseline simulation, tailpipe exhaust from medium- and heavy-duty vehicles contributes to about 22% of NO2 pollution, which is linked to 1,330 premature deaths and 1,580 new cases of childhood asthma per year.

To simulate pollution after adopting ACT regulations, the team removed tailpipe emissions from nearly 50% of medium- and heavy-duty vehicles. Then, the researchers compared current pollution to 2050’s projected pollution levels under the ACT policy. If Illinois adopted the policy, then by 2050, NO2 levels would decrease by 8.4% across the whole region, they found. This reduction would result in roughly 500 fewer premature deaths per year and about 600 fewer new cases of childhood asthma annually.

Beyond health benefits, adopting ACT regulations in Illinois would have significant benefits for the economy and for addressing longstanding systemic pollution exposure disparities. The study authors estimate Illinois could save $731 million annually in avoided health costs and climate damages. Communities of color — who often live closer to major roadways and warehouses where truck traffic is heaviest — are disproportionately affected by current pollution levels. So, these communities would experience the greatest improvements.

As the Illinois Pollution Control Board considers a proposal to adopt the ACT policy, this new research underscores the tangible importance of adopting ZEVs to improve public health for Illinois residents. Northwestern Pritzker School of Law Professor Robert Weinstock serves as lead counsel for the community groups urging the Board to adopt the measure, and Horton provided expert testimony on the projected public health benefits from vehicle electrification in Illinois. This work demonstrates the uniquely powerful real-world impact of community-academic collaborative research.

“Ultimately, it’s up to individual states to adopt the ACT standard,” Horton said. “This is an opportunity for Illinois to lead — by adopting a policy that is good for both Illinois residents’ health and for global climate.”

The study, “Assessing air quality, public health, and equity implications of an Advanced Clean Trucks policy for Illinois,” was supported by the National Science Foundation and Environmental Defense Fund.

 

New fossil discovery reveals how volcanic deposits can preserve the microscopic details of animal tissues



University College Cork
Preserved fossilised feather 

image: 

A Fossilized feather preserved with the volcanic rock.

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Credit: Edoardo Terranova



An analysis of a 30,000-year-old fossil vulture from Central Italy has revealed for the first time that volcanic rock can preserve microscopic details in feathers - the first ever record of such a preservation.

An international team, led by Dr Valentina Rossi (University College Cork, Ireland), discovered a new mode of preservation of soft tissues that can occur when animals are buried in ash-rich volcanic sediments.

The new research, published in the scientific journal Geology, reveals that the feathers are preserved in a mineral phase called zeolite, a mode of preservation of soft tissues never reported before.

The fossil vulture was found in 1889 near Rome by a local landowner who recognized its remarkable preservation. The entire body was preserved as a three-dimensional impression, with fine details such as the eye lids and wing feathers. The new research shows that preservation of feathers extends to tiny microscopic feather pigment structures.

Dr Rossi said: “Fossil feathers are usually preserved in ancient mudrocks laid down in lakes or lagoons. The fossil vulture is preserved in ash deposits, which is extremely unusual. When analysing the fossil vulture plumage, we found ourselves in uncharted territory. These feathers are nothing like what we usually see in other fossils”.

By analysing tiny samples of the fossil feathers using electron microscopes and chemical tests, the team revealed that the feathers are preserved in the mineral zeolite, a mode of fossil preservation never reported before.

“Zeolites are minerals rich in silicon and aluminium and are common in volcanic and hydrothermal geological settings” Rossi explains “zeolites can form as primary minerals (with pretty crystals) or can form secondarily, during the natural alteration of volcanic glass and ash, giving the rock a “mudrock-like” aspect”. The alteration of the ash due to passage of water induced the precipitation of zeolites nanocrystals that, in turn replicated the feathers to the tiniest cellular detail.

"The fine preservation of the feather structures indicates that the vulture carcass was entombed in a low temperature pyroclastic deposit."

Prof. Dawid A. Iurino (University of Milan), coordinator of the study said: “We are used to think that volcanic deposits are associated with hot, fast-moving pyroclastic currents that will destroy soft tissues. However, these geological settings are complex and can include low temperature deposits that can preserve soft tissues at the cellular level.”

Prof. Maria McNamara (UCC) said “The fossil record is continually surprising us, be it new fossil species, strange new body shapes, or in this case, new styles of fossil preservation. We never expected to find delicate tissues such as feathers preserved in a volcanic rock. Discoveries such as these broaden the range of potential rock types where we can find fossils, even those preserving fragile soft tissues.”

The discovery of a new mode of preservation of soft tissues potentially specific of volcanic rocks indicates that these deposits can contain remarkable fossils and should be the focus of new research.

 

ENDS


‘The Doom of the Alban Hills’ a digital painting representing a possible scenario of the moments before the vulture carcass was entombed in the pyroclastic current.

Credit

Dawid A. Iurino

Dr Valentina Rossi preparing a fossil sample to be analysed in the lab.

Credit

Dirleane Ottonelli



 

Internal displacement in Syria used to reshape the country’s political and social landscape, new study shows





University of Exeter





Internal displacement in Syria was used by the Assad regime to reshape the country’s political and social landscape, a new study shows.

The forceful movement of people was systematically employed alongside indiscriminate violence, the research says.

This was not just a consequence of war, but a strategy to depopulate key areas and repopulate them to create new political and social realities. This tactic extended the impact of displacement beyond the immediate conflict, embedding it as a long-term political tool with lasting post-war consequences.

The study is by Samer Bakkour and Rama Sahtout, from the University of Exeter.

Dr Sahtout said: “The immediate goals of internal displacement were military and concerned with the imperative of confronting well-armed and tenacious opposition fighters in tightly-confined urban spaces. Here, the displacement of the population essentially functioned as a way of separating ‘friend’ and ‘foe’: indiscriminate bombardment and targeting of whole areas compelled civilian movement, and those who remained in the aftermath were presumed to be ‘foes’, irrespective of their age, ethnic identity and/or political loyalties.

“The regime permitted those who fled to enter its territory, on the presumption that this sufficiently illustrated their political loyalty.”

The study highlights how the Syrian regime gradually incorporated displacement into an integrated military-political strategy.

Dr Bakkour said: “Indiscriminate violence inflicted on targeted populations in opposition-controlled areas became an essential part of a strategy that sought to achieve the large-scale removal of resident populations.

“Through this study we hope to underscore the significance of recognizing internal displacement as a political strategy, not just a humanitarian crisis. Addressing displacement-related grievances is essential for any meaningful post-conflict reconciliation process.

“We aim to bring greater awareness to the strategic use of internal displacement and we call on policymakers to engage with it beyond a protection-based approach. Understanding its role in conflict and post-conflict settings is vital to shaping just and lasting stability in post-conflict societies.”

 

Building a safer future: Rice researcher works to strengthen Haiti’s earthquake resilience



Rice University
Marc-Ansy Laguerre 

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Marc-Ansy Laguerre presenting his research.

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Credit: Rice University.




Over the past two decades, Haiti has endured the devastation of two catastrophic earthquakes — first in 2010 and again in 2021. Each disaster left behind widespread destruction: buildings reduced to rubble, entire communities displaced and an overwhelming loss of life. A major factor in the severity of these tragedies was the widespread structural failure of poorly designed buildings, many of which were not constructed to withstand the powerful tremors.

Marc-Ansy Laguerre, a postdoctoral associate in civil and environmental engineering at Rice University, is determined to change that.

Having grown up in Haiti, Laguerre witnessed firsthand the devastation caused by these natural disasters. He says living through the 2010 earthquake, which claimed an estimated 300,000 lives, reinforced his commitment to helping build a safer future for his country.

His academic path has been laser-focused on this mission. Before attending Rice as a graduate student and now a postdoc, Laguerre earned a bachelor’s degree in civil engineering from the State University of Haiti then attended the University of Pittsburgh as a Fulbright Scholar, earning a master’s degree in civil engineering and a graduate certificate in Latin American studies. Laguerre said he hopes to work in earthquake mitigation and education to protect vulnerable communities from future disasters.

At Rice, Laguerre has found a mentor in Reginald DesRoches, an internationally recognized structural engineer and earthquake resilience expert. Now the university’s president, DesRoches previously served as the William and Stephanie Sick Dean of Engineering at the George R. Brown School of Engineering and Computing, the role he held when Laguerre arrived at Rice.

Born in Port-au-Prince, Haiti, DesRoches said he felt an immediate connection with Laguerre and recognized his potential early on. Even after assuming the presidency in 2022, he has remained actively involved as Laguerre’s adviser.

“Marc is deeply committed to building a more resilient Haiti, and his passion for earthquake mitigation is both inspiring and essential,” DesRoches said. “His dedication to using engineering to protect communities from future disasters reflects the kind of leadership and innovation we need in this field. I have no doubt that his work will make a lasting impact.”

Haiti’s seismic vulnerability

Together with Mohammad Salehi of the engineering firm Simpson Gumpertz & Heger, Laguerre and DesRoches conducted a comprehensive numerical analysis to assess the seismic vulnerability of reinforced concrete (RC) structures in Haiti. Their research, recently published in Earthquake Spectra, explores cost-effective retrofitting solutions that could help fortify buildings against future earthquakes.

“The level of destruction from these earthquakes is a reminder of the urgent need for stronger, safer construction practices in Haiti,” Laguerre said. “Unfortunately, many buildings, especially those constructed before 2010, were not built with seismic resilience in mind.”

The study focused on common structural weaknesses in Haitian RC buildings, which are prevalent in both residential and commercial construction. Many of these buildings suffer from insufficient column reinforcement, poor concrete quality and a lack of lateral load resistance — design flaws that make them highly vulnerable to collapse.

“Haitian buildings were largely constructed without seismic codes in place,” Laguerre said. “Many of them rely on weak columns with minimal reinforcement, which means they cannot properly absorb earthquake forces. When the ground shakes, these structures collapse instead of flexing or redistributing energy.”

Engineering solutions

To determine the most effective retrofitting methods, Laguerre, DesRoches and Salehi created detailed 3D computer models of four common Haitian building types ranging from single-story homes to multistory commercial structures. Using advanced engineering software, they simulated earthquake forces and tested five different retrofitting techniques:

● RC jacketing — adding reinforced concrete around existing columns to strengthen them.

● RC shear walls — thick concrete walls that provide additional lateral support.

● Steel braces — rigid frames that help buildings absorb seismic forces.

● Buckling-restrained braces (BRBs) — specially designed braces that flex without breaking.

● Prestressed high-strength steel cables — tensioned cables that reinforce structures.

The goal of these retrofits was to bring buildings to a Life Safety Code performance level, meaning that while structures could sustain damage during a major earthquake, they would remain intact and prevent catastrophic collapse.

“To evaluate the effectiveness of each retrofit strategy under real seismic conditions, we applied 11 simulated ground motions — one of which was recorded in Haiti — representing the Earth’s surface movement during an earthquake,” Laguerre said.

The team found that all five retrofitting techniques improved seismic performance, but their effectiveness varied depending on the building type.

For residential buildings, the best results came from using steel braces combined with RC jacketing, which significantly reduced structural movement during an earthquake.

“Steel braces are a practical and relatively low-cost way to strengthen homes,” Laguerre said. “When combined with RC jacketing, which reinforces the existing columns, it creates a much stronger structure.”

For larger, nonresidential buildings, BRBs and shear walls proved to be the most effective solutions. These reinforcements helped distribute earthquake forces more evenly, reducing the risk of collapse.

“For schools, hospitals and government buildings — places where structural failure would be disastrous — adding BRBs or shear walls should be a priority,” Laguerre said. “These global retrofit techniques substantially reduced interstory drift demands, decreasing the risk of collapse.”

A roadmap for a safer Haiti

The study’s findings have significant implications for Haiti’s disaster preparedness strategy. With limited resources, the country needs retrofitting solutions that are both effective and cost-conscious.

“We can’t prevent earthquakes, but we can prevent buildings from collapsing,” Laguerre said. “This research provides a roadmap for making existing structures safer while keeping costs manageable.”

Beyond engineering solutions, the team stressed the importance of policy changes and education initiatives to promote safer construction practices.

“These findings can inform building codes and guide engineering practices for safer construction,” Laguerre said. “We want to create lasting changes so that when the next earthquake strikes, Haiti will be better prepared to withstand it.”