Friday, March 13, 2026

The Middle East Is in Flames. Will the Israeli-American Attackers Resort to Nukes?


 March 13, 2026

Photograph Source: U.S. Navy photo – Public Domain

It may be pointless to keep repeating that the U.S. attack on Iran was inane, but let me mention this: the U.S. attack on Iran was idiotic.

As British politician and commentator George Galloway posted on X March 9: “The U.S.-Israel attack on Iran is the greatest military-political disaster since Operation Barbarossa – the Nazi invasion of the USSR.” Yes indeed it is, as any normal person with eyes in his or her head could have seen coming decades ago. Iran has made clear it will only accept Israel’s unconditional surrender and the complete eviction of the U.S. and U.S. military from the region, two titanic developments that were, prior to this insane adventure, unthinkable. Well, they’re no longer unthinkable. With Tel Aviv and Haifa incinerated and bombed to smithereens, ALL Americans advised to quit the Gulf forthwith and the hospitals at Ramstein military base in Germany awash in the blood of hundreds of dead and wounded American soldiers, it’s not a moment too soon to ask whether the psychotics running Israel, confronted with an existential threat, would resort to a tactical nuke. I think the answer is yes. And that’s where two things come into play: first, the extent of damage at the Israeli nuclear site, Dimona, and second, China and Russia. Let’s start with China and Russia. Because this is the moment when it becomes very important for nuclear armed Moscow and Beijing to step in and put an end to this lethal lunacy.

Pakistan offered nukes to Iran, should Israel threaten it with atomic Armageddon back during the 12 Day War. Things have changed since then. They got worse. Not just the deranged Israeli rulers, but also Washington under Trump may itch for an atomic final solution rather than cleanly losing a war and losing face. Russia and China, as historian Tarik Cyril Amar posted on X, must enter the chat, with their own nukes, to stop this pathology before the insane asylum inmates, who happen to run much of the world, decide to irradiate it. Russia and China are the only ones who can – and they have good reason to do so. Iran is an ally. Moscow has assisted its Persian friend with targeting of U.S. troops and bases, while Beijing has given Tehran scads of satellite intelligence on U.S. bases. Furthermore, Russia announced in early March that it supports Iran in this fight. Days later, Kremlin foreign minister Sergei Lavrov blasted Gulf potentates as the cowards they are regarding the U.S. In short, the Kremlin boldly took a side; and it wasn’t the psychopathic Empire’s. So did Beijing, with its dozens of military cargo planes landing in Tehran and unloading who knows how much weaponry and air defense.

Next up: the apocalyptic damage at Dimona. One thing we learned in the Ukraine War is that Russian statistics are unassailable. Well, the Russian stats, released March 9, coming out of the Iran War, are devastating to Israel: In the first 72 hours of the war, Israel lost 700 military, intel and nuclear experts. This is a shocking kill list, and there’s no reason to doubt Moscow’s info. At this rate – because who knows how many more such people Israel has lost since – Jerusalem might wanna consider an unconditional surrender. Why? Well, according to Russian intelligence, one for instance: Israel has completely lost control of Dimona, its most essential nuclear site and the key to its supposedly nonexistent nuclear arsenal. If this is accurate and Israel now lacks its atomic insurance policy, we don’t need to worry about Jerusalem deploying a tactical nuke. But Washington could still be a problem. Presumably, Moscow and Beijing, both armed to the teeth with atomic weapons, can make the would-be Beltway Bombers see reason.

Meanwhile, Iran has rejected several ceasefire offers from Trump. Why? Because it doesn’t want a repeat of what followed the 12 Day War. Tehran knows very well that a truce would just be a break during which the Israeli-American Fourth Reich would simply rearm for another assault. Tehran wants to deal with the problem once and for all, and that means now. Though it has nearly exhausted U.S. and Israeli air defense interceptors, Iran is just warming up with its ballistic and hypersonic missiles. Estimates were that in the 12 Day War, Iran burned through 20 percent of those missiles; it rebuilt and imported from its Russian and Chines allies more than enough to compensate for that 20 percent. So now it’s firing hypersonics, for which we in the west and thus Israel have zero, zip, nada, zilch defense. And of course ,we ourselves completely lack hypersonics and have been unable to develop them. You’d think smart pentagon leadership would have avoided confrontation with a regional power bristling with weapons we can’t match and able to shut of the world’s energy spigot at the drop of a hat; you’d think that, but you’d be wrong.

Because just like they warned, Iran’s military men shut the Strait of Hormuz. For the first time in living memory 20 percent of the world’s oil and 30 percent of its LNG is bottled up in that waterway. The price of oil is shooting up, the stock market drops, and Americans can soon expect to pay $5 per gallon at the pump. This was an entirely preventable catastrophe. How? I’ll tell you how: just don’t freakin’ declare war on Iran. Was that too much to ask of the megabrains in the white house? Apparently yes. Cause they did it. They risked the entire world economy on an idiotic assault on a country the size of Europe, protected by numerous mountain ranges, with 92 million people and enough hypersonic missiles to obliterate Israel and the Gulf states. This is stupid on steroids.

Late on March 9, the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps announced: “Any Arab or European country that expels the Israeli and American ambassadors from its territory will be granted full authorization and freedom of passage through the Strait of Hormuz starting tomorrow.” This offer came in response to imbecilic white house threats about opening the Strait of Hormuz. The arsonist in the white house had made noises about U.S. Navy ships accompanying tankers, suggesting this naval suicide amid complaints about the Strait’s closure. Well, the IRGC’s response was not conciliatory. It was cantankerous.

No wonder the U.S. and Israel are “studying the possibility” of ending the Iran War without regime change in Iran. That amounts to declaring victory and running away, but hey, it works for me. This whole fiasco, from the moment it debuted on the world stage decades ago out of the revolting mouth of Benjamin Netanyahu, was enough to make you want to puke – and keep puking till it actually happened, the anti-nausea meds kicked in, and you could stop paying attention to the news. Because if there’s one thing the U.S. war on Iran does is it proves the terminally nauseating idiocy of the American ruling class. Nitwits are in charge. Nitwits and psychopaths, and these mentally imbalanced people have guns and bombs and loads of money; but at last you can take some satisfaction – they bit off more than they can chew. They picked on someone who can fight back and destroy them financially. Someone who has big, scary allies, allies who are unimpressed with the bluster of white house dimwits; someone whose power is measured in unbeatable hypersonic missiles and impenetrable air defense. Russia has the best AD in the world. It’s battle-tested and it doesn’t miss. You can bet your paycheck that now Iran’s got some of that too.

The IRGC has made its goals clear: unconditional Israeli surrender, eviction of the U.S. from the Middle East. Russia and China back Iran and you don’t want to underestimate the lengths they’ll go to to support their ally. So as Berlin on the Potomac’s jig ends in the Middle East, who benefits? The Lebanese, the Gazans, the Houthis, Hezbollah (much more powerful than the demented Israeli-American tyranny estimated), Palestinians in the West Bank, Iraqi Shia and indeed Shia everywhere. It’s a horror and a tragedy that some many Iranians had to die, but at least if the IRGC attains its goals, there might be some justice for the dead.

Eve Ottenberg is a novelist and journalist. Her latest novel is Booby Prize. She can be reached at her website.

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