Wednesday, December 09, 2020

Pakistani film explores social media's role in anger over blasphemy

By Umar Farooq

ISLAMABAD (Reuters) - The creator of an animated film on blasphemy in Pakistan is hoping it will prompt discussion on tolerance at a time that rights advocates say hate speech on social media is increasingly triggering violence.


Screen grab from an animated short film SWIP, produced by the Puffball Studios, taken from an undated video, obtained by Reuters. Arafat Mazhar/Handout via REUTERS


The short film “Swipe” is about a boy obsessed with a hypothetical smartphone app that allows people to vote on whether someone should be killed for blasphemy and offers a glimpse of a stark future of what rights groups say is a worrisome present.

“The screen is what alienates people and what they say through a screen they probably wouldn’t say to another person in front of them,” Arafat Mazhar, the director of the 14-minute animated film, told Reuters.

Blasphemy is a crime in Pakistan and officially carries the death penalty. While no executions for blasphemy have been carried out, enraged mobs sometimes kill people accused of it.

Rights groups say the blasphemy law is often exploited to settle scores and increasingly it is accusations made on social media that have triggered violence.

The film, produced by a studio in the city of Lahore and released last month, shows what could happen if people could see photos of those accused of blasphemy on an app, and then had the option of swiping right to condemn them to death or left to forgive them.

If at least 10,000 people condemn someone, then members of the public go and kill them.

The boy protagonist scans the app checking out the accused, including a man who did not forward a religious message on social media and women accused of wearing too much perfume or being immodestly dressed.

Driven to score “points” on the app and enraged by the accusations, the boy goes on a right-swiping spree and in the frenzy accuses his own father of blasphemy.
RISK

Mazhar hopes the film should make people think about rash accusations. But taking a critical view, or even just questioning the blasphemy law, carries huge risk.

In 2011, the governor of Punjab, Pakistan’s largest province, Salman Taseer was shot dead by one of his police guards after he spoke out in defence of a Christian woman, Asia, Bibi, accused of blasphemy.

The guard, Mumtaz Qadri, was lionised by many and his arrest, sentencing and later execution lead to an outpouring of anger and even violence at huge protests.


Bibi spent eight years on death row. She eventually had to flee Pakistan after the Supreme Court acquitted her.

Mazhar says he wants to connect with the sort of ordinary people who hailed Qadri as a hero.

“I’ve been surrounded by people from the religious conservative community growing up,” Mazhar said.

“I’ve seen them as kind, compassionate people but with tendencies to endorse and empathize with people like Mumtaz Qadri from time to time, and it’s a very difficult process to try and empathize with these people but I have no choice, I have to relate to my own community.”

The film comes as cases of violence triggered by online accusations are becoming all too common.

“It’s happening almost every day,” Hassan Baloch, a researcher with the hate-speech monitoring group Bytes 4 All, told Reuters.

“What begins online is being translated offline, often in violent and dangerous ways.”

In July, a teenager shot and killed a U.S. citizen of Pakistani origin in a court where he was on trial after being accused of posting blasphemous messages.

In August, police filed a blasphemy case against an actor and singer over a music video they shot in a mosque after social media outrage.

The same month, hundreds of people, most of them members of the Shiite minority, were arrested after complaints of blasphemy were posted on social media.

Reporting by Umar Farooq; Editing by Robert Birsel



Don't swipe but see Arafat Mazhar’s hand-painted animated short film with crafty storytelling

The film tells the story of a young boy who is addicted to swiping on iFatwa, an app that crowdsources religious death sentences.


One of the dictionary definitions of the term ‘swipe’ is, “Move (one’s finger) across a touch screen in order to activate a function”. ‘Swipe left’ and ‘swipe right’ are also featured phrases in the dictionary now.

The former is described as, “(on the online dating app Tinder) indicate that one finds someone unattractive by moving one’s finger to the left across an image of them on a touchscreen.”

Pakistan is no place for such immoral swiping though. In September 2019, five dating apps including Tinder were banned in the country. Our impressionable youth is now safe from the indecent content on the said apps, and all this objectionable swiping.

Arafat Mazhar’s Swipe, a hand-painted animated short film, presents a different kind of swiping left and right. One that, at least in this fictional depiction of Pakistan, is more acceptable than the immoral apps that have been banned.




The film tells the story of Jugnu, a young boy who is addicted to swiping on iFatwa, an app that crowdsources religious death sentences. Mazhar and his team paint some familiar scenes. Jugnu is on his phone, swiping away, even while at the dinner table. His mother slaps him on his head.

“Get off your phone you useless brat or I’ll gouge your eyes out,” she screams at him, while preparing the meal. “Tick tick tick... Always on your phone... Even when you’re on the dining table.”

Jugnu can still barely get his eyes off his screen. But in this fictionalised world, he is not playing a game or spending time chatting with his friend, he is deciding the fate of people who have been brought for trial in the court of public opinion on iFatwa.

Those familiar with Mazhar’s other work — his previous animated short Shehr-e-Tabassum, or his engagement with questions related to the blasphemy law — may start watching Swipe with certain expectations. The short film matches those expectations, and then some.

As expected, the film is well-executed and leaves the viewer with a lot to ponder over. It also features moments of dark humour — one case that appears on Jugnu’s screen says, 'Iss shakhs ne shaitaan ki baaton mein aakar WhatsApp forward message aagay nahin bheja [This person listened to the devil and did not forward a religious WhatsApp message].’

The film is expectedly immersive, with a beautiful sound design and powerful moments of silence. While the viewers witness many horrific things on screen, they are prepared for them all. They know what to expect from this kind of a fictionalised depiction, showing an exaggerated reality for effect.

But, thanks to the crafty storytelling, the audience gets a rude awakening, and is reminded that the reality they are living in is not that far from what they see on screen.

In the animated documentary Waltz with Bashir (2008), filmmaker Ari Folman, retells the story of the Lebanon War from his own memories of the war and the perspective of his fellow veterans. The Oscar-nominated film gets the audience fully immersed in the animated recreations of these events.

And then, at the end of the film, the filmmaker leaves viewers with some real footage from the war. Footage that would usually be innocuous to most audiences, accustomed to seeing similar — and, indeed, much worse — visuals. Folman’s storytelling forces us to look again.

Mazhar’s Swipe does the same. Expectedly, it exceeds expectations.

Published in Dawn, ICON, November 15th, 2020





Pakistan's Covid vaccine drive needs antidote to conspiracy theories
Reuters 08 Dec 2020

A man wears protective mask as he rides a bicycle loaded with supplies amid the outbreak of the coronavirus in Karachi on November 16. — Reuters


Helping to lead a mass trial for a Chinese-made Covid-19 vaccine in Pakistan, a country where anti-vaccine sentiment can turn lethal and conspiracy theories are endemic, Dr Mohsin Ali has heard all kind of questions from anxious, prospective volunteers.

"Is this going to take away my reproductive ability? Is this going to kill me? Is there any 5G chip in this? And, is there a conspiracy to control people en masse?” he said, recounting the sometimes bizarre doubts clouding people's minds.

“I get many questions like this," he told Reuters at Islamabad's Shifa International Hospital, before adding: “I try to answer them with logic and on the level of the individual asking them. Some still refuse.”

The hospital is one of a number in Pakistan where phase III trials are underway for Chinese vaccine developer CanSino Biologics' Ad5-nCoV candidate.

The government last week announced it had begun the vaccine procurement process, though it has not said whether it will purchase CanSino's candidate or an alternative.

Worryingly, a Gallup Pakistan poll conducted last month showed 37 per cent of Pakistanis would not get a vaccine once one became available.

"Given the history of vaccine resistance, this is an alarming number and not just for Pakistan but also for the world, which depends on universal vaccine coverage to control spread," Bilal Gilani, the pollster's executive director, said.

Countering anti-vaccine sentiments is a worldwide problem, but in Pakistan it is more dangerous than almost anywhere else.

Dozens of people have been killed in attacks on polio vaccination teams over the years, and the fear and mistrust that spawns such violence has made Pakistan one of two countries, including neighbouring Afghanistan, where the crippling disease has still to be eradicated.

Several times every year, polio vaccination drives aim to inoculate millions of children, but in some areas they are often met with refusals from parents who believe conspiracy theories about the vaccine.

In more volatile parts of the country, Islamist militancy played a role in attacks on polio immunisation teams, notably after a doctor was accused of running a fake vaccination campaign to help the US Central Intelligence Agency track down Osama bin Laden in Pakistan in 2011.

Disbelief


Yet the dangers of polio have been well known for decades, whereas Covid-19 is a new disease, and authorities have struggled to communicate the urgent need to stamp it out.

“Many people still don't believe it is a real disease,” said Tauqeer Hussain Mallhi, an assistant professor at Al-Jawf University, in Sakakah, Saudi Arabia, who studies vaccine effectiveness in Pakistan.

A national lockdown was quickly abandoned a few weeks into the virus' spread as too many of Pakistan's more than 207 million people were economically vulnerable, and social distancing remained difficult as the public continued to gather in markets and mosques.

Infection numbers have continued their morbid ascent with 2,885 new cases and 89 deaths reported on Monday — taking the total infections to over 423,000 and fatalities close to 8,500. Experts say Pakistan is only doing a fraction of the testing it should be doing.

Cleric Qibla Ayaz, the head of the Council of Islamic Ideology, which advises the government on social and legal issues, said many of the conspiracy theories about Covid-19 are coming from Western countries, spread by social media.

“For now, the majority of scholars have said the vaccine and other treatments are important [...] but there are always extremists as there are with polio,” Ayaz told Reuters.

“Given the kind of 'Westphobia' we have in Pakistan, it might be better to obtain a vaccine from Russia or China, instead of the US or UK.”
World will emerge from pandemic at terrible cost: Chomsky

Professor Noam Chomsky said that no crisis that the world is facing is inevitable. — AFP/File

Peerzada Salman 
Updated 08 Dec 2020 

KARACHI,PAKISTAN: No crisis that the world is facing is inevitable. There are feasible solutions, and they are in hand. But it’s not enough to just have academic knowledge of what to do. Somebody has to take the knowledge and work with it.

This was said by internationally renowned scholar Professor Noam Chomsky in his talk titled ‘Reflections on the future of democracy: nuclear threat and the looming environmental catastrophe in a post-Trump world’ organised online by Habib University here on Monday evening.

Prof Chomsky said the election that took place in the United States recently was not over. He said eminent scientists and thinkers had tried to encapsulate their conception of the world security situation by a clock called the doomsday clock. When the clock reaches midnight that means termination of the species. The clock was set in motion shortly after the dropping of the atomic bombs in 1945; then it was set on minutes to midnight.

Every year that President Trump has been in office the minute hand has moved closer to midnight. Two years ago, it moved to the closest that it has ever been. Last January the analysts abandoned minutes and moved it moved to seconds. They [scientists] mentioned three crucial issues — the threat of nuclear war, the threat of environmental catastrophe and the deterioration of democracy. The scholar then added a fourth — the pandemic.

At an online talk, renowned scholar terms US presidential election total disaster

Prof Chomsky said the Trump administration continued with its project of dismantling the arms control regime which was of some protection against the threat of nuclear war. Any war [for example] between Pakistan and India will be essentially terminal. The Trump administration is also continuing to open up new areas in the country to fossil fuel exploration, continuing to dismantle the regulations which impose some constraints on fossil fuels and protect the people from emissions which can extremely harmful to health, particularly in this period when people are facing respiratory diseases.

On deterioration of democracy, Prof Chomsky said the Trump administration had purged the executive branch of the government of any independent voices. The Congress installed inspectors general to monitor the performance of the executive offices for corruption. He [Trump] took care of that by just firing them.

The scholar said the election on Nov 4 was a total disaster. The Republicans are not that different from Trump. They have drifted off the political spectrum years ago. They are ranked alongside the parties in Europe with neo-fascist origins. They are a party of environmental denialists, ultranationalists, evangelical Christians, militarists, xenophobic, racist and white supremacists.

On the mismanagement of the pandemic, Prof Chomsky said the world was suffering from it severely but it was the least of the four crises. “We will emerge from the pandemic at a terrible and needless cost. We can see that some countries have dealt with it. By Jan 10, Chinese scientists had identified the virus rapidly. By Jan 10, virologists all over the world knew what they’re facing, knew the kinds of measures that had to be taken. Some places the measures were taken, others not.

“We can see the difference. In China, life is pretty much back to normal. South Korea dealt with it expeditiously and effectively. Europe waited too long but finally most of Europe began to take significant measures. Others didn’t. India, Brazil, France and the US didn’t. These are the countries in the lead in facing the pandemic catastrophe.

“In the US the government has simply given up. The public has been inundated with propaganda from the right wing which says it’s a hoax. China has a vaccine which is in the advanced stage of testing. It hasn’t even been mentioned in the US.”

On the US presidential election, Prof Chomsky said the Republicans won the election at every level; the only office they didn’t win was the presidency. That was just hatred of Trump, not love of Joe Biden. Signs suggest that Trump will never concede that he lost by six million votes. He will presumably leave office on Jan 20, without conceding.

On the subject of democracy under threat from reactionary forces, the scholar said one of the developments in the past couple of years had been the growth of a reactionary international. It’s not formalised but is taking shape with Trump in the White House. It includes the most reactionary states in the world, the ones most bitterly attacking and destroying democracy. In the western hemisphere the leading member is Bolsonaro of Brazil. In the Middle East it includes the most reactionary states — the Gulf emirates, Saudi Arabia, Egypt and Israel. Israel has gone very far to the right. It is maybe the only country in the world where Trump’s popularity was overwhelming. It’s maybe the only country where the younger population is more reactionary than the older one.


To the east, he added, Narendra Modi’s India was destroying the remnants of Indian secular democracy, crushing Muslim rights, placing Kashmiris under a vicious and brutal rule. Pakistan is not too far behind.

On what will happen when the Biden administration comes in, the professor said it’s not very clear. The Democratic Party is torn between two groups. One is the management of the party. Then there’s the popular base, mostly younger people, who are in the American context called the radical Left.

With reference to the Panama papers, he said there’s been an enormous robbery of the general public. It’s not going to the top 10 per cent, most of its going to the top 0.1pc tiny fraction of the population which has doubled the share of their wealth over the last 40 years. This has had a harmful effect on the functioning of democracy.

After the talk, Habib University president Wasif Rizvi, who co-hosted the event with Christopher Taylor, the university’s academy affairs president, put a question about the possibility of a strike on Iran. Prof Chomsky said it’s a possibility. The sanctions against Iran have absolute no legitimacy. So what’s the threat of Iran?

The threat is that it’s a possible deterrent. Countries that want to rampage freely in the region don’t want deterrents, and there are two of them — the US and Israel. The US doesn’t want the Israeli nuclear weapons to be inspected. It doesn’t even officially recognise that Israel has nuclear weapons.

“Will there be a strike? Nobody knows. The Trump administration is in a state where it is willing to do almost anything. If the US were to attack Iran it won’t be an invasion; it would be an attack from a distance. It’s possible that Iran could respond. It has ways to respond. Weak military, but they do have missiles. The missiles can reach northeast Saudi Arabia. If they attack [it], the results are extraordinary not just for Saudi Arabia but for much of the world. If that happens it will be a massive war and then we’re basically finished,” he added.

Published in Dawn, December 8th, 2020

POSTMODERN ALCHEMY
how we created diamonds  in minutes, without heat — by mimicking the force of an asteroid collision

The next challenge for us is to lower the pressure required to form the diamonds.













Dougal McCulloch | Jodie Bradby Updated 30 Nov, 2020 

In nature, diamonds form deep in the Earth over billions of years. This process requires environments with exceptionally high pressure and temperatures exceeding 1,000℃.The

Our international team has created two different types of diamond at room temperature — and in a matter of minutes. It’s the first time diamonds have successfully been produced in a lab without added heat.

Our findings are published in the journal Small.

There’s more than one form of diamond

Carbon atoms can bond together in a number of ways to form different materials including soft black graphite and hard transparent diamond.

There are many well-known forms of carbon with graphite-like bonding, including graphene, the thinnest material ever measured. But did you know there’s also more than one type of carbon-based material with diamond-like bonding?

In a normal diamond, atoms are arranged in a cubic crystalline structure. However, it’s also possible to arrange these carbon atoms so they have a hexagonal crystal structure.

This different form of diamond is called Lonsdaleite, named after Irish crystallographer and Fellow of the Royal Society Kathleen Lonsdale, who studied the structure of carbon using X-rays.

The crystal structures of cubic diamond and hexagonal Lonsdaleite have atoms arranged differently.

There is much interest in Lonsdaleite, since it’s predicted to be 58% harder than regular diamond — which is already considered the hardest naturally-occurring material on Earth.

It was first discovered in nature, at the site of the Canyon Diablo meteorite crater in Arizona. Tiny amounts of the substance have since been synthesised in labs by heating and compressing graphite, using either a high-pressure press or explosives.

Our research shows both Lonsdaleite and regular diamond can be formed at room temperature in a lab setting, by just applying high pressures.
The many ways to make a diamond

Diamonds have been synthesised in laboratories since as far back as 1954. Then, Tracy Hall at General Electric created them using a process that mimicked the natural conditions within the Earth’s crust, adding metallic catalysts to speed up the growth process.

The result was high-pressure, high-temperature diamonds similar to those found in nature, but often smaller and less perfect. These are still manufactured today, mainly for industrial applications.

The other major method of diamond manufacture is via a chemical-gas process which uses a small diamond as a “seed” to grow larger diamonds. Temperatures of about 800℃ are required. While growth is quite slow, these diamonds can be grown large and relatively defect-free.

Nature has provided hints of other ways to form diamond, including during the violent impact of meteorites on Earth, as well as in processes such as high-speed asteroid collisions in our solar system — creating what we call “extraterrestrial diamonds”.

Scientists have been trying to understand exactly how impact or extraterrestrial diamonds form. There is some evidence that, in addition to high temperatures and pressures, sliding forces (also known as “shear” forces) could play an important role in triggering their formation.

An object being impacted by shear forces is pushed in one direction at the top and the opposite direction at the bottom.

An example would be pushing a deck of cards to the left at the top and to the right at the bottom. This would force the deck to slide and the cards to spread out. Hence, shear forces are also called “sliding” forces.
Making diamonds at room temperature

For our work, we designed an experiment in which a small chip of graphite-like carbon was subjected to both extreme shear forces and high pressures, to encourage the formation of diamond.

Unlike most previous work on this front, no additional heating was applied to the carbon sample during compression. Using advanced electron microscopy — a technique used to capture very high-resolution images — the resulting sample was found to contain both regular diamond and Lonsdaleite.

In this never before seen arrangement, a thin “river” of diamond (about 200 times smaller than a human hair) was surrounded by a “sea” of Lonsdaleite.

This electron microscope image shows a ‘river’ of diamond in a ‘sea’ of Lonsdaleite.

The structure’s arrangement is reminiscent of “shear banding” observed in other materials, wherein a narrow area experiences intense, localised strain. This suggest shear forces were key to the formation of these diamonds at room temperature.
Tough nuts to crack

The ability to make diamonds at room temperature, in a matter of minutes, opens up numerous manufacturing possibilities.

Specifically, making the “harder than diamond” Lonsdaleite this way is exciting news for industries where extremely hard materials are needed. For example, diamond is used to coat drill bits and blades to extend these tools’ service life.

The next challenge for us is to lower the pressure required to form the diamonds.

In our research, the lowest pressure at room temperature where diamonds were observed to have formed was 80 gigapascals. This is the equivalent of 640 African elephants on the tip of one ballet shoe!

If both diamond and Lonsdaleite could be made at lower pressures, we could make more of it, quicker and cheaper.

This article was first published in The Conversation and has been reproduced with permission.


Dougal McCulloch is a Professor in Physics within the School of Science at the Royal Melbourne Institute of Technology.


Jodie Bradby is Professor of Physics at the Australian National University.


POST FORDIST OUTSOURCING; PAKISTAN 

Lucky Motor Corp CEO Asif Rizvi
Lucky Motor Corp CEO Asif Rizvi

Nobody expected that the re-entry of a Korean auto assembler after more than a decade along with the well-established Lucky Group would change the dynamics of the local auto market that has been dominated by Japanese assemblers for over three decades.

Kia Sportage and Picanto can now be seen running side by side with Toyota, Honda and Suzuki vehicles. The Lucky Group’s auto sales figure for the first quarter of 2020-21 was Rs20.5 billion, markedly up from Rs3.84bn a year ago. Its operating profit in the same period was Rs1.54bn as opposed to an operating loss of Rs332 million in the same period of the preceding fiscal year. The Rs20bn Kia complex in Bin Qasim Industrial Park employs 1,400 people versus 450 last year.

Speaking to Dawn in a recent interview, Lucky Motor Corporation (LMC) CEO Asif Rizvi said his product strategy revolves around providing consumers with more and better choices. The company plans to introduce more vehicles, including advanced specification vehicles, superior customer experience and aggressive localisation, he said.

“The newest and third addition to our locally assembled range will be Kia Sorento, a mid-sized seven-seater SUV built for comfort on a car platform with a V6 3.5 litre 276 HP engine. It will be available in three variants. In addition, a fully revamped imported Carnival passenger vehicle is also being launched this month. We will start bookings in January 2021 and deliveries in February 2021,” he said.

LMC began its sales operations in the first quarter of 2019-20. Completely knocked down (CKD) kits had been ordered on a start-up basis as the company did not anticipate a huge number of bookings. But KMC was well-prepared in the first quarter of 2020-21 with ramped-up production and CKD kits.

‘The new entrant policy should not be extended beyond its stipulated date,’ says Lucky Motor Corp CEO Asif Rizvi

Still the company was unable to meet the unexpected response after the Covid-19 lockdown. Orders for CKD kits had been rationalised owing to the unpredictable post-pandemic scenario.

The bounce-back of approximately 20 per cent within two months of the lifting of lockdowns was higher than expected, Mr Rizvi said.

“The outlook for 2021 is very buoyant with a year-on-year expected growth of over 50pc. We are fully geared to take advantage of the expected rapid market growth. We will top it up with some phenomenal new products,” he said.

When asked as to who the main buyers of Kia Sportage are — as big growers from Punjab and Sindh still prefer Toyota Fortuner, Hilux and Revo — he said Kia’s SUV is making inroads into all segments, including the rural areas.

“The competitor’s products are not in the same category. Sportage is a compact SUV built on a passenger car platform for comfort. Others’ products are mid-sized SUV/pick-ups built on a truck platform and hence not quite comparable,” he explained.

It’s a general perception that Kia Sportage and Hyundai Tucson (launched by another new entrant Nishat Motors) are produced under one banner in South Korea. It means different models of one Korean auto group are pitted against each other in Pakistan.

But the LMC CEO insisted Kia Motor Company and Hyundai Motor Company are two independent entities and are listed separately on the Korea Stock Exchange. Sportage and Tucson are produced in separate factories and compete fiercely with each other even in Korea, he said.

“Kia products are fully capable of taking on the best mass-produced brands in Pakistan,” he said confidently.

As for introducing locally produced electric vehicles (EVs) or completely built-up unit (CBU) Kia EVs in Pakistan, Mr Rizvi said the government is aggressively working on introducing an EV policy. He expressed hope that concessions given for manufacturing EVs will augur well for the industry and bring in new technology.

“It is never too early to introduce a new technology. EVs have been around for some time. Their penetration even in developed countries has been slow with a wait-and-watch attitude from consumers as the infrastructure develops and battery life improves,” he said. Pakistani consumers will take some time before accepting EVs owing to a lack of charging infrastructure as well as constraints on battery charge for intercity travel. Sounding a note of caution, he said that EVs cost 30-40pc higher than cars with traditional fuel engines.

About rising car prices by Japanese assemblers despite the rupee’s recovery against the dollar — from Rs168.43 on August 27 to around Rs160 today — he said he is concerned about customers. They have seen three to four price hikes during the past year, he said. “We have not raised the prices since our launch over 15 months ago,” he added.

He said the impact of low localisation has been offset in part by the new entrant concessionary duties.

In the first phase, LMC’s priority has been to build customer confidence through a warranty of four years/100,00 kilometres through a network of 30 dealerships. “Profitability is a by-product of customer confidence and the resultant volume,” he said.

The current Automobile Policy 2016-21 has been successful as it has attracted eight active new entrants and over 20 new models of vehicles. The existing policy has also helped increase the installed capacity in the country from 250,000 units per year to approximately 450,000 units.

Mr Rizvi said the current auto policy envisaged a production of 350,000 units by the end of 2021. The current volume is 130,000 (cars and LCVs). It had risen to 330,000 in 2018, but dropped in 2020 due to additional government taxes, rupee devaluation and the pandemic. “The government must provide incentives to ensure growth in the sector known as the ‘mother of all industries’. It has a multiplier effect of eight for direct and indirect employment,” he said. The industry accounts for up to 4pc of all Federal Board of Revenue (FBR) revenues.

Mr Rizvi said LMC has recommended to the government that it should eliminate the federal excise duty (FED) of 2.5-7.5pc and additional customs duty of 7pc. It should also reduce the 5pc customs duty equitably in all existing import structures to grow the industry and fuel its expansion.

Under the existing auto policy, incentives given to new entrants will end on June 30, 2021. Under this policy, the installed capacity in the country has almost doubled and exceeds maximum demand by 40pc.

“The new entrant policy should not be extended beyond its stipulated date. The existing and new players, totalling more than 10, should be allowed to operate undeterred under a stable policy. Frequent changes in the policy lead to uncertainty and a concern in the minds of foreign partners,” the LMC CEO said.

When asked about the curbs on the import of used cars that have opened new avenues for new entrants, he said such imports were never allowed commercially and their large numbers in the past have been a result of misuse. “Even today, the legitimate import of used cars under the baggage and transfer of residence schemes is still going on,” he said.

Published in Dawn, The Business and Finance Weekly, December 7th, 2020

Punjab’s Smoking Basket


The hazardous effects of smog and what countries can do to produce cleaner air for the future.
Published about 2 hours ago

Long considered to be the ‘food basket’ of South Asia, Punjab is the most agriculturally productive region in the Indo-Gangetic plain. Unlike the spring harvest which brings beautiful colours and festivals such as the Baisakhi Mela, the autumn harvest results in a gloomy ambience, which engulfs the region in hazardous smog.

The R-Smog Report of 2018 indicates that air pollution in Punjab originating from vehicular traffic and industrial emissions is reaching its peak - emanating from agricultural sources and meteorological conditions during the October and November harvests, giving rise to low hanging air pollution.

Prior to mechanised harvesting, farmers in the region (as late as the mid-eighties) used to leave the crop residue to naturally decompose and enrich the soil for four to six weeks. Contrary to manual harvests, combined harvesters leave root‐bound, foot-high stalks that cannot decompose naturally until the sowing season. Furthermore, rice crop residue was previously used for cooking and home insulation purposes, animal hay and even in construction. However, with the intrusion of modern lifestyles and the disappearance of traditional, kacha villages, these practices are becoming obsolete - making it more likely for farmers to burn the excessive residue

The adverse health effects of smog are well-known. The Air Quality Life Index produced by the University of Chicago warns that the average Pakistani’s life could be reduced by more than two years because of the current air quality. WHO recorded 60,000 smog related deaths in Pakistan in 2015 and the Ministry of Health reported 1,000 new patients per day in Lahore during the smog season at major public hospitals.

Owing to this threat, governments on both sides of border have made crop residue fires illegal. However, smog conditions during the current season are a testament to the fact that regulations pushed hastily, without considering the ground realities are futile in solving the predicament. To achieve a permanent resolution, a detailed inquiry into current practices needs to be undertaken before asserting guidelines on rural livelihoods. Such a resolve can only come from providing financially viable alternatives that may render burning unnecessary.

Indian researchers claim to have developed a low cost microbial liquid that turns crop stubble into compost. Such products and awareness about them can be made available to farmers through initiatives like Bakhabar Kissan (BKK) (a collaboration with Jazz aimed at developing a farmer centric platform to bring together all stakeholders in the agriculture value chain). Another factor that makes agricultural fires appealing for farmers is that they burn pest eggs from the prior season. Therefore, any clean air initiative must ensure the availability of sustainable and cost-effective pesticides to farmers. Alternatively, crop reduce can be made into marketable by-products. This approach is essentially about mirroring traditional usages and adjusting them to modern needs. For instance, the ban on plastic bags is an opportunity to use rice reduce in manufacturing disposable paper items (using wood alternatives in the paper industry is beneficial on multiple levels). Furthermore, investments in the Thermal and Biogas energy sectors with easily accessible collection points can prove to be a feasible option.

Unfortunately, agricultural fires are an issue faced in many parts of the world, including China, India, Indonesia, Nepal and Pakistan. China has employed a micro solution called Smog Free Tower on an experimental basis. These towers use ion technology to produce clean air that can benefit people breathing the air in close proximity to these towers. However, at the end of the day, countries need to work together to find workable and permanent solutions. For instance, the ASEAN Haze Agreement, a legally binding environmental agreement signed in 2002 by all member states aimed at reducing haze pollution in Southeast Asia for the breathing rights of their future generations.

PUNJAB
Rahim Yar Khan: riding the cane bandwagon
Ahmad Fraz Khan Updated 07 Dec 2020



Located on the extreme southern edge of Punjab, Rahim Yar Khan is a geographically diverse district. It is spread across a vast desert and enormous riverine area with three canals that water its farmlands. This natural endowment gives it enormous tapped and untapped potential for agricultural and livestock production.

The district has benefitted a great deal from this natural gift. It is known for the finest quality cotton. It has helped Pakistan meet its milk and meat requirement. It is now sustaining the sugar industry by producing high-yield sugar cane.

The success, however, has its flipside. The district morphed from being a cotton champion to the sugar industry’s sustainer. It is now persistently blamed for failing cotton crop and hurting textiles at a most critical juncture of our economic journey.

For the last one and a half decade, the district is known, at least in the agricultural sense, for jettisoning cotton and embracing sugar cane. The trend seems irreversible at least for now. The sugar industry not only led the change but also cemented its success both at policy and commercial levels to an extent that a reversal looks almost impossible.

The commercial success of the sugar industry has been so comprehensive that traditional landlords are now sugar mill owners as well


It has helped farmers improve seed. It has helped them lease out vast tracts of land at double the normal rate. It has helped farmers introduce latest machines and techniques. Most importantly, the cut-to-crush time has gone down to less than 24 hours, securing huge financial benefit in the process.

At the policy level, sugar cane production has been incentivised with a two-pronged strategy: steadily increasing the minimum indicative price and ensuring ample water for this water-guzzling crop. The five-year acreage chart further clarifies the situation. As per the data of the Punjab Crop Reporting Service, the area under cultivation of sugar cane increased from 310,000 acres in 2014-15 to 430,000 acres this year. In 2017-18, it touched 477,000 acres before sliding down a bit subsequently. Its production rose from 10.56 million tonnes to 13.2m tonnes in the same period. Six sugar mills — two plants of JDW, RYK Group, Hamza, Ittehad and Gulf — in the district led and rode the cane bandwagon.

Fed from the Panjnad barrage, supply data shows how water helped ensure the cane success in Rahim Yar Khan. Three canals — Panjnad, Abbasia and Abbasia Link — irrigate over 1.5m acres in the district that is mainly a brackish aquifer although there are a few sweet water pockets.

Their joint allocation (both for Kharif and Rabi) as per the Irrigation Department data is 5.05m acres feet (maf) a year. The district received 6.96maf in 2014-15, 7.11maf in 2015-16, 5.96maf in 2016-17, 4.99maf in 2017-18, 6.67maf in 2018-19 and 6.27maf last year. During these years, the province has suffered up to 40 per cent seasonal shortages. Yet water supplies to Rahim Yar Khan remained impervious to these troubles mainly because of flood supplies during the monsoon.

The commercial success of the sugar industry was so comprehensive that traditional landlords, including many branches of the Makhdoom family, are now sugar mill owners as well. New entrants like Chaudhry Munir and Jahangir Khan Tareen earned a place in national politics on the back of their successes in the sugar industry.

The decline of cotton happened alongside the rise of sugar. During the period mentioned above, cotton acreage dropped from 511,000 acres to 474,000. The dip was sharp in 2017-18 when its acreage dropped to 389,000 acres. Its production came down from 743,000 bales to 621,000 bales during the same period. Cotton has had many problems of its own. It was not the only crop rolled over by sugar cane: many mango orchards that dotted the district also lost their battle to cane.

Apart from the cotton-cane battle, the district has been a livestock success story because of rangelands in the Indus catchment. Livestock is a result of the nomadic lifestyle of the Cholistan tribes, which also feeds it. As temperatures start rising in the desert, many tribes and their huge herds follow rains — feeding their animals along the way — to the river catchment. This is in addition to over 200 cattle farms (of more than 50 animals) and over 400 buffalo farms and individual livestock farming in the district.

Eleven districts in South Punjab meet 60pc beef and meat requirements of the province. Rahim Yar Khan alone contributes 12-14pc of the supply chain, according to data released by the Livestock Department.

As for milk production, the district produces over 500,000 litres daily and is a major supplier to multinational corporations that sell milk to consumers. Of late, low fat and more nutritious camel milk has carved out a niche market for itself, thanks to some local initiatives by the University of Veterinary and Animal Sciences that connect producers to major city markets.

The district has historically been dominated by the Makhdooms, Qureshis, Legharis and Rais families. It has also been helped a lot by the United Arab Emirates whose ruler, the late Zayed bin Sultan Al Nahyan, started making yearly sojourn to the area to hunt houbara bustard and deer in the 1960s and ’70s. He and his sons helped build roads, hospitals, schools and colleges in the area that helped achieve close to a 40pc literacy rate in a predominantly rural district.

Of late though their interest seems to be waning, but the infrastructure investment in the area still reflects the attention it once received from the Arab world.

Published in Dawn, The Business and Finance Weekly, December 7th, 2020


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