Saturday, October 02, 2021

As heat waves intensify, tens of thousands of US classrooms will be too hot for students to learn in


Paul Chinowsky, Professor of Environmental Design, University of Colorado Boulder
Thu, September 30, 2021, 

Climate change means more schools will need to install or upgrade cooling systems.
Bill Uhrich/MediaNews Group/Reading Eagle via Getty Images

Rising temperatures due to climate change are causing more than just uncomfortably hot days across the United States. These high temperatures are placing serious stress on critical infrastructure such as water supplies, airports, roads and bridges.

One category of critical infrastructure being severely affected is the nation’s K-12 schools.

Ideally, the nation’s more than 90,000 public K-12 schools, which serve over 50 million students, should protect children from the sometimes dangerous elements of the outdoors such as severe storms or extreme temperatures.

But since so many of America’s schools are old and dilapidated, it’s the school buildings themselves that need protection – or at least to be updated for the 21st century.

Twenty-eight percent of the nation’s public schools were built from 1950 through 1969, federal data shows, while just 10% were built in 1985 or later.

As a researcher who studies the impact of climate change, I have measured its effects on infrastructure and health for over a decade. During that time, I’ve seen little attention focused on the effects of climate change on public schools.

Since 2019, climate scientist Sverre LeRoy, at the Center for Climate Integrity, and I have worked to determine if the nation’s schools are prepared for the heat waves on the approaching horizon.

Comparing the climate conditions under which U.S. schools were built with the projected conditions over the next two decades, we looked at the vulnerability of all K-12 schools to increasing temperatures. We determined whether current schools have air conditioning or not and whether they would be required to add air conditioning in the future.

The results of our study, “Hotter Days, Higher Costs: The Cooling Crisis in America’s Classrooms,” show that by 2025, more than 13,700 schools will need to install air conditioning, and another 13,500 will need to upgrade their existing systems.


Excessively hot days are occurring more regularly during the school year
 than in previous decades. 

Hot classrooms

Research has shown that high classroom temperatures can make it harder to learn. Hot school days cause difficulty in concentrating, sleepiness, a decrease in energy and even reduced memory capacity.

Local school districts have policies for extreme heat events. However, rising temperatures mean these guidelines are no longer limited to rare occurrences.

Over the past several years, schools across the U.S. are increasingly forced to take “heat days,” cutting school days short because of classrooms that are too hot for students to effectively learn.

This is happening in places that range from Denver to Baltimore and Cleveland.

Compounding the increase in temperatures is the national trend that seasonal temperatures are rising in both the spring and the fall. For example, both Rhode Island and New Jersey have seen average spring and fall temperatures rise over 3 degrees Fahrenheit (1.7 Celsius). Rather than high temperatures only occurring when students are on summer break, these heat events now occur regularly during the school year too. Students today in a greater number of cities are beginning and ending the school year in classrooms that often exceed 80 F (27 C).

Expensive upgrades

The problem of more hot days is due to average temperatures increasing over the past 40 years. The number of days with high temperatures has risen across the country, with notable increases in large northern cities. For example, Chicago has seen the number of days over 80 degrees during the school year increase from 27 in 1970 to 32 in 2020 and a projected 38 by 2025. These increases affect schools in two distinct ways.

Schools in the traditionally cooler north – especially older schools – will need to be retrofitted with new air conditioning systems at an accumulated cost of US$40 billion by 2025. For schools in the traditionally warmer South and West, many existing systems will need to be upgraded at a projected cost exceeding $400 million.

Temperature increases are especially costly in large cities such as Philadelphia, Chicago and Los Angeles, where existing efforts and continued needs will result in outlays exceeding $500 million, $1.5 billion and $600 million, respectively. These large districts have a greater number of older buildings that require upgrades in electrical and structural systems to support new air conditioning systems.


For all schools – even ones that don’t require system upgrades – the additional costs of operating air conditioning systems to meet the new demands will exceed $1.4 billion per year.

An equity issue

Since school districts are dependent on local taxes or bond measures to finance the school system, districts in affluent areas have a greater opportunity to obtain funds through tax increases or voter-approved bond measures.

In contrast, districts located in less affluent counties – including Bell County, Kentucky; Scott County, Tennessee; and DeKalb County, Alabama – face the challenge of creating safe learning environments without a financial safety net. With household incomes for the entire district in the bottom 20% of national averages, or less than $43,000 per year, these districts are unable to absorb significant tax increases.

In this regard, classroom environments become an equity issue. While the increase in temperature may affect all children, the relative impact of the increase and the ability to adapt is not equal.


Protesters in 2019 demand equity for Denver students who go to school in old buildings without air conditioning. 

Unsustainable solutions

Increasingly, school districts are turning to individual window units to address classroom overheating. However, window units do not cool interior offices, cannot circulate and exchange air within the classrooms, and will not meet expected lifespans due to extensive use. Furthermore, they create uneven cooling patterns and classroom disturbance due to noise. While these solutions are popular from an initial budget perspective, they ultimately fail to solve the hot classroom crisis.

Where mechanical systems are not an option due to budgetary constraints, school districts are looking at altering the school year to start later or end earlier. However, there are limits to this approach because there are minimum requirements for the number of days that are in the school year. Some schools are even experimenting with remote learning as a response when extreme temperatures are an issue.

The bottom line for schools and their surrounding communities is that rising temperatures from climate change are a growing threat to school infrastructure. Schools will need additional funding to install or upgrade air conditioning systems, pay for increased energy usage or redesign school buildings to enhance natural cooling. Various cities and states argue that fossil fuel companies have a duty to pay these infrastructure costs associated with climate change.

The only other choice is for America’s students to continue to endure classrooms where it’s simply too hot to learn.

This article is republished from The Conversation, a nonprofit news site dedicated to sharing ideas from academic experts. It was written by: Paul Chinowsky, University of Colorado Boulder.

Read more:
America’s schools are crumbling – what will it take to fix them?

Paul Chinowsky receives funding from the Center for Climate Integrity.
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez Teaches GOP Basic Female Anatomy During Abortion Hearing




Ryan Grenoble
Thu, September 30, 2021


Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez (D-N.Y.) stepped in to correct Republican legislators who argued Thursday that Texas’ new, highly restrictive abortion law doesn’t force women who have been raped to carry their pregnancies to term because they would know they’re pregnant before the law’s six-week cutoff.

The argument belies a fundamental misunderstanding about female anatomy — and the trauma of sexual assault. As she has had to do many times in the past, Ocasio-Cortez addressed the ignorance of her peers head-on.

“Once again we’re in a room of legislators who are attempting to legislate reproductive systems that they know nothing about,” Ocasio-Cortez said in a congressional hearing about the new law.

A person is considered six weeks pregnant when their period is just two weeks late, she noted. And a woman can miss or be late for their period for many reasons, including due to the stress of being sexually assaulted — once a survivor has even been able to come to terms with the fact that they have been assaulted.

“When you are raped, you don’t always know what happened to you,” Ocasio-Cortez said. “And I speak about this as a survivor. ... You are in so much shock at what happened to you, sometimes it takes years to realize what actually went on.”

She went on to say that her period could be inconsistent due to her weight as well, and that it was unrealistic for women to know they’re pregnant within that six-week window.

“You look at me funny, I’m two weeks late for my period. And you’re supposed to expect me to know that I’m pregnant?” she said. “Or the stress of a sexual assault — that makes you two weeks late for your period, whether you’re pregnant or not.”

Ocasio-Cortez also pointed out that rapes are “overwhelmingly” committed by someone the victim knows, even though some legislators would lead you to believe otherwise.

“This myth, that it’s some person lurking on a street or in a parking lot waiting to sexually assault you, that myth only benefits the abusers in power that want you to think that that’s how it happens,” she said, peering around the room. “It’s your friend. It’s a boyfriend. It’s a boss. It’s a legislator.”

Watch the exchange here:




Need help? Visit RAINN’s National Sexual Assault Online Hotline or the National Sexual Violence Resource Center’s website.

This article originally appeared on HuffPost and has been updated.




Texas Gov. Won't Budge On Abortion Exceptions When Chris Wallace Grills Him On 15,000 Rapes



Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez Says She Feared Being Sexually Assaulted On Jan. 6



Ocasio-Cortez Gives Gov. Greg Abbott A Biology Lesson After ‘Disgusting' Rape Claim



Texas Gov. Greg Abbott Promises To 'Eliminate All Rapists'


ARACHNOPHOBIA TRIGGER

Palm-sized, invasive spiders 

are spinning golden webs 

across Georgia in 'extreme numbers'

A colorful, invasive species of spiders known for spinning gold-colored webs has been spreading across Georgia for years now, and scientists say they aren't going anywhere.

The Joro spider, a palm-sized arachnid with yellow stripes, is native to Asia, but has been out en masse this year in northern Georgia, less than a decade after they were first discovered there.

Reports from the University of Georgia peg the first sightings of the spider between 2013 and 2014. Scientists used genetic analysis to confirm those sightings as Joro spiders in 2015, and Georgia Museum of Natural History collections director Rick Hoebeke tracked them as they spread throughout the state.

University of Georgia entomologist Nancy Hinkle compares an adult female Joro spider to the size of her hand.
University of Georgia entomologist Nancy Hinkle compares an adult female Joro spider to the size of her hand.

Hoebeke told the University of Georgia his "best guess" for how the spiders made it to the U.S. is by shipping container.

The spider has since grown to "extreme numbers" in Georgia, with sightings in about 25 counties, according to Michele Hatcher of the University of Georgia Department of Entomology. The creepy crawlers have also been spotted in parts of South Carolina.

'Pest control'

With a length of almost three inches and eye-catching colors, the spider may seem a bit intimidating, but experts say they aren't interested in biting humans.

Entomologist Nancy Hinkle interacts with an adult female Joro spider, which she says provides "free pest control."
Entomologist Nancy Hinkle interacts with an adult female Joro spider, which she says provides "free pest control."

Rather, they can serve as valuable "pest control," says University of Georgia entomologist Nancy Hinkle.

“Joro spiders present us with excellent opportunities to suppress pests naturally, without chemicals," Hinkle said. "I’m trying to convince people that having zillions of large spiders and their webs around is a good thing."

The spiders feed on insects like mosquitoes, flies and even stink bugs.

“I think people need to make peace with Joros and accept the spiders because they are not going anywhere," Hoebeke said.

And despite their invasive species tag, Joro spiders don't need to be killed. In addition to the benefits they provide as pest control, experts believe their rapid population growth will soon be naturally suppressed.

The spiders will mostly die off in November, Hinkle says, but not before laying sacs full of eggs, possibly adding to their population come the springtime.

A female Joro spider is shown in Winterville, Georgia. The invasive spider is harmless to humans, and researchers are examining their impact on local ecology.
A female Joro spider is shown in Winterville, Georgia. The invasive spider is harmless to humans, and researchers are examining their impact on local ecology.

In their relatively short time in the U.S., scientists from the University of Georgia have not discovered any negative effects on local, native species, which was a concern about the Joro spider's arrival. Experts at Clemson University said they did not know if the species would bring negative impacts to the local ecology of nearby South Carolina.

DECLARE INDEPENDENCE, NATIONALIZE POWER CO.
Puerto Rico is on the brink of a power supply crisis. Protesters demand answers.



Nicole Acevedo
Fri, October 1, 2021, 

Puerto Rico residents will see another increase in their electricity bill, even though they already pay twice as much as mainland U.S. customers for unreliable service.

The increase comes the same week in which hundreds of thousands of Puerto Rican power customers were subjected to blackouts several days in a row.

The entities in charge of the island’s power supply, Luma Energy and the Puerto Rico Electric Power Authority, have blamed the outages on their inability to generate enough electricity to meet consumer demand, the electrical grid’s lack of proper maintenance and other unforeseen circumstances, including a “sargassum event“ where seaweed clogged the water filters for condensers.

Against this backdrop, over 30 community groups that are part of the Puerto Rican coalition Todos Somos Pueblo gathered in Old San Juan Friday evening to call attention to the ongoing energy crisis, and urge the government to cancel its contract with Luma, a private company working with the power authority, a public corporation.

“It’s not normal to have blackouts, it’s not normal that our students cannot study properly, it’s not normal to have to live with generators, it’s not normal to have to throw away groceries because the refrigerator can’t work without power," Ricardo Santos, a spokesperson for Todos Somos Pueblo at the protest, told Telemundo Puerto Rico in Spanish. "None of this is normal and it’s not normal that our electric bill goes up all the time. That's why we have to go to the streets."

“Cacerolazo” protests, consisting of the banging of pots and pans, echoed in Calle de la Resistencia (Resistance Street) as hundreds of people chanted "Fuera Luma" (Luma Out).


Luma and the power authority originally requested to charge customers 16 percent more for electricity. They argued the increase was necessary to make up for additional expenses attributed to an increased use of less efficient power plants that operate with fuels that are more expensive.

But the Puerto Rico Energy Bureau, an independent government office tasked with regulating both energy entities, only approved a 3 percent increase Thursday night after determining they can't "indiscriminately pass down unwise spending to consumers." The bureau also said the practice has contributed to "an inability to lower rates and improve service quality."

"I think the government felt the indignation of the people and they limited themselves to just a small increase. But we must remain vigilant," Santos said.

People in Puerto Rico will start paying an additional 1 cent per kilowatt of power they use, meaning that a customer who uses about 800 kilowatts will see an increase of roughly $5.60 on the monthly bill.

This increase is preceded by three others so far this year. Between January and September, consumers saw the price of electricity go up by nearly 33 percent.


These increases have greatly contributed to the U.S. territory’s high cost of living.

“The cost of electricity is one of the expenses straining most citizens and small businesses,” José Caraballo-Cueto, an economics expert and an associate professor at the University of Puerto Rico’s graduate business school in Rio Piedras, previously told NBC News.

In June, Luma took over the transmission and distribution operations of the power authority, which has struggled with blackouts after Hurricane Maria decimated the island's antiquated electric grid in 2017 — triggering the world's second longest blackout. Additionally, corruption and mismanagement within the power authority contributed to the island's decadelong financial crisis by racking up $9 billion in public debt, more than that of any other government agency in Puerto Rico.

Officials hoped Luma would spend billions of dollars in government funds to upgrade the battered electrical grid. But two months into the grid’s partial privatization, Puerto Ricans have experienced longer service restoration times, poor customer service, and voltage fluctuations that often damage appliances and other home electronics, according to an analysis from the Institute for Energy Economics and Financial Analysis, a nonprofit group that conducts research and analyses on financial and economic issues related to energy and the environment.


We’re tired of excuses and technical explanations. The Luma company has to go,” Pedro Ortiz, a Catholic priest who is part of Todos Somos Pueblo, said in Spanish during a press conference Thursday.

The power authority is still in charge of controlling power generation units on the island.

Todos Somos Pueblo is planning a follow-up protest Oct. 15 on Expreso Las Américas, Puerto Rico's busiest highway.

"We need the people of Puerto Rico, who have asked us to be a voice and to organize a greater combative presence, to voice their outrage," Ortiz said. "This campaign to sell our country, to privatize it, it's not going to stop. We, the people of Puerto Rico, are the ones who are going to stop it."
Nikola signs deal to build hydrogen fueling stations across North America


Igor Bonifacic
·Contributing Writer
Thu, September 30, 2021

EV automaker Nikola has signed a memorandum of understanding with Opal Fuels to build and operate hydrogen fueling stations across North America. Under the preliminary agreement, the two companies will work to co-develop the technology necessary to accelerate the adoption of fuel-cell electric vehicles. They also plan to explore the use of renewable natural gas.

Initially, they say they plan to focus on infrastructure for private shipping companies before looking at whether it makes sense to make something similar available to the public. To date, Opal has built more than 350 renewable natural gas stations.

“Today marks another important step forward in Nikola’s stated energy infrastructure plans and its focus on providing hydrogen fueling services to customers,” said Pablo Koziner, the president of Nikola’s energy and commercial operations.

The announcement comes just months after federal prosecutors indicted Nikola founder and former executive chairman Trevor Milton of fraud. Among other allegations, the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) accused Milton of falsely claiming the company was producing hydrogen at four times less than the market rate.





Phi Nhung, Vietnamese American musical icon, passes away from COVID-19



Bryan Ke
Fri, October 1, 2021

On Tuesday, Vietnamese American singer Phi Nhung passed away after a month-long battle withCOVID-19 at Cho Ray Hospital in Saigon.

Heartbreaking news: Before she passed away, the 51-year-old singer was undergoing multiple different treatments, including extracorporeal membrane oxygenation (ECMO) intervention, for COVID-19, according toVN Express.

Many Vietnamese celebrities shared positive messages and prayers for Nhung days before her death, including Vietnamese -American singer Trizzie Phuong Trinh, Morning Express reported.

Trinh posted a picture of her and the late singer with the caption: “Phi Nhung, you must not give up! I said that if I want to be like you, I must be strong. Wendy and her children really need you, do you understand??”

Upon hearing about her death, fans took to social media to mourn the loss of the Vietnamese music icon.

Nhung was supposed to travel to the U.S. to reunite with her daughter but had delayed her plans in order to volunteer in Vietnam to help the Southeast Asian country's battle against the pandemic.

Doctors described Nhung as being a fearless fighter until her final breath. Before her death, she worried for her adopted children living in a pagoda in Southern Binh Phuoc Province. Nhung has a daughter in the U.S. and 23 adopted daughters in Vietnam

About the Vietnamese-American icon: Nhung came from a family with no background in music. She was born in April of 1972 to a Vietnamese mother and an American serviceman father.

The then -17-year-old Nhung moved and settled with her relatives in Tampa, Florida, where she struggled to make a living working as a waitress. However, she did not let her passion as a singer fade.

She eventually moved to California to start her singing career after being persuaded by Trinh. Nhung was reportedly a single mother and working as a seamstress when she relocated with only $300 in her pocket, according to Morning Express.

Nhung sent her daughter to stay with an acquaintance while she lived with Trinh in California. She worked at a CD store during the day and as a waitress at night, all while learning how to sing with a northern Vietnamese intonation.

Nhung then released her first singles “Noi Buon Hoa Phuong” (“Phoenix Flower’s Sadness”) and “Noi Lai Tinh Xua” (“Rekindled Old Love”) two years later. Her 1999 music video for “Ly Con Sao Bac Lieu” (“Song About Bac Lieu Blackbird”) became a massive hit on release.

She was also a frequent performer on the wildly popular “Paris by Night” musical variety series.

Besides being an iconic singer in Vietnam, Nhung also became known for her philanthropy in her last years as she sought to help a lot of people from mountainous areas and flooded regions. Nhung also cooked and gave food to the poor in Ho Chi Minh City during the pandemic.

Featured Image via HƯƠNG TÌNH XƯA (left), Morning Express (right)



SPIRIT ANIMAL
'Nobody knows how rare it is': Mississippi woman encounters blond timber rattlesnake

Brian Broom, Mississippi Clarion Ledger
Fri, October 1, 2021

A Mississippi woman was collecting berries in the woods on Sept. 25 when she came across a venomous snake so rare there really aren't statistics on it.

Now, the blond timber rattlesnake is safe in captivity, and soon the public will be able to see it.

"Me and my friend Matt Brewer and my twin girls were picking up muscadines," said Danielle Ladner of Yazoo County. "I was going to make muscadine jelly.

"We were fixing to leave and loading up, and I bent over to pick up the muscadines and I looked up and there he is — 2 feet from my face at eye level. He was right there."


While not a true albino, a rare genetic condition caused this timber rattlesnake found by Danielle Ladner of Yazoo County to almost appear white and the snake is considered so rare, the odds of encountering one aren't known.

Ladner said her reaction was terror.

"I don't do good with snakes," Ladner said. "I screamed.

"I'm scared of them. One of my twins is fearless so I went into mama-mode to get her away from it."

Ladner grabbed her adventurous 4-year-old daughter and jumped in the nearby utility vehicle; the other girl was scared and already inside. Ladner said the blond snake was like nothing she'd ever seen and decided to photograph it, even though she could barely hold her phone steady because of her shaking.

Protecting the rare snake

Ladner said the photos were sent to a herpetologist who explained it was very rare. When she realized what an unusual encounter she was involved in, the animal began to grow on her.

"I spent all Saturday night talking with my daddy about what was best for the snake," she said. "It's not like a normal snake. I didn't want him to die."

Ladner called the Mississippi Department of Wildlife, Fisheries, and Parks to report the snake and personnel came the following afternoon to find it, but were unsuccessful. After feeling certain it was still in the area, Ladner and her father continued the search and within minutes, it was located and agency personnel returned to retrieve it.

Snake is not a true albino

Herpetologist Terry Vandeventer of Terry, Mississippi, explained the snake has one of two possible genetic conditions; T positive albinism or hypomelanism. Both cause a limited range of colors in a snake's skin. So, the snake is not a true albino because other colors remain. Regardless of which condition it is, he said the odds of encountering one are so low they can't be calculated.

"It's absolutely a rare thing," Vandeventer said. "Several thousand babies would be born before one pops up."

So, the odds at that point are one in several thousand, but they drop from there because the snake isn't wearing camouflage like its normal siblings and is more susceptible to predation.

"In a normal litter, most don't make it," Vandeventer said. "The vast majority of baby snakes don't make it, but this one did. Nobody knows how rare it is."
Where and when to see the snake

The snake was taken to the Mississippi Museum of Natural Science in Jackson where the cold-blooded reptile received a warm welcome.

"He's very docile," Jamie Merrill, associate conservation biologist with the museum, said. "Since he's been here he hasn't rattled once.

"He's very inquisitive and watches what we do. I'm already in love."

Although it's at the museum, it will be several weeks before the public can see it.
Limiting Energy Emissions Is Crucial to Avoid the Worst of Climate Change


Fatih Birol
Fri, October 1, 2021

Fatih Birol, executive director, IEA 
Credit - Simon Dawson—Bloomberg/Getty Images

Scientists tell us that if we want to have a livable planet in coming decades, then emissions need to come down to net zero by 2050. As around three-quarters of the emissions that cause climate change come from energy, we at the International Energy Agency have turned this net-zero target into a road map for the energy sector. What needs to happen? We have described more than 400 milestones: for example, in 2030, 60% of cars sold should be electric vehicles, compared with 5% today. By 2040, half of all flights should be using sustainable fuels and the world needs to have phased out all coal and oil power plants where emissions aren’t captured.

If we do these things, are we sure we will keep the global temperature rise to 1.5ºC? The answer is, I’m not sure. But, even if we don’t succeed entirely, if we do our best and follow this road map, we will still help avoid the worst of climate change. If we cannot reach 1.5º, then 1.6º or 1.7º is still far better than 3.5º, where the consequences for our planet will be catastrophic. This is a race, not between countries, but a race against time. —As told to Justin Worland
Exxon Rejected Net Zero Pitch After Proxy Loss, Citi Banker Says



David Wethe and Kevin Crowley
Thu, September 30, 2021, 

(Bloomberg) -- Exxon Mobil Corp. rejected a pitch from a Citigroup Inc. senior investment banker to commit to a target for net zero emissions even after shareholders staged a revolt over the company’s climate policy.

Stephen Trauber, co-head of the bank’s newly created natural resources and clean-energy transition group, said he met with the oil giant’s executive committee right after it lost three board seats in June. Activist investor Engine No. 1 ran a successful proxy campaign as it pushed for a net zero target. Trauber said he urged the oil giant to reconsider its position.

“They looked at me and said, ‘That’s great, but we don’t know how we would get there. We can’t commit to that if we don’t have a plan to get there,’” he said Thursday during the webcast of an event hosted by Rice University’s Baker Institute for Energy Studies and law firm Baker Botts LLP. “I assured them most companies today who have committed to net zero don’t have a plan on how to get there, but they’re working to get there.”

Trauber’s comments offer a rare glimpse inside Exxon’s inner sanctum as it grapples with intense external pressure to follow the example of European rivals Royal Dutch Shell Plc and BP Plc, which have pledged to eliminate on a net basis not only their own emissions of greenhouse gases but those of their suppliers and customers as well.

Asked to respond to Trauber’s account, Exxon said in a statement that it routinely evaluates its climate pledges and will provide updates on its strategy “to reflect the changing landscape.” The company hasn’t committed to any net zero goals but has previously announced various emission-reduction plans including the reduction its so-called methane intensity by as much as half by 2025.

According to Bloomberg’s Environmental scores, Exxon scores 3.5 out of 10 on greenhouse gas emissions management, which measures performance on metrics including gas flaring and emissions from its own operations. A score of 10 indicates the highest possible performance. Bloomberg’s environmental, social and governance scores are based on company-reported data.

Trauber also criticized the divestment of assets by major oil companies in order to achieve lower emissions. He said the largest companies have the lowest cost of capital and thus are best equipped to tackle the lowering of emissions from those operations, rather than just passing on the problem to another owner.

“There’s lots of dialog about should we create ‘Good Co’ and ‘Bad Co,’ like the banks used to do after the financial crisis,” Trauber said, describing a possible way in which oil companies could manage their dirtiest assets.

“Greenhouse emissions and carbon emissions don’t go away just because you sell off that asset,” he said. “I think we need to find other ways to do this where we’re not pushing the burden to companies that least are able to handle that burden.”

(Updates with comments from Trauber in last paragraph)

Most Read from Bloomberg Businessweek
What you need to know about China’s power crunch

Jane Li
Thu, September 30, 2021,

A molten salt solar tower stands behind electricity pylons at a power station near Dunhuang, Gansu province, China April 13, 2021. Picture taken April 13, 2021. REUTERS/Carlos Garcia Rawlins

Intermittent electricity cuts with no prior notice for hours or even days. Dimmed traffic lights that cause chaos. Half-cooked rice in rice cookers. For many residents in northeastern China, the power cuts of the past week have felt like a return to the 1980s, when China had acute power shortages due to the stunning pace of its economic growth.

“In terms of wide-spread power rationing, I would say this is the worst in a decade,” said Lauri Myllyvirta, lead analyst for the Centre for Research on Energy and Clean Air. In addition to residential use, the shortages are affecting businesses and factories, including suppliers to global tech giants such as Apple and Tesla.

Energy and economic analysts worldwide are now watching to see how Beijing plans to tackle the shortage—caused by increased demand, higher coal prices, and president Xi Jinping’s climate goals.

What are the reasons for the power crunch?

The demand for power is rising. China has been experiencing a strong recovery in exports, intensified by seasonal orders for Christmas, prompting factories to extend their work hours and increase power consumption. The hot weather this summer also pushed up residential power usage, especially in coastal province Guangdong. “The pandemic has driven China to become the world’s factory again. So even though traditional power plants are running at full capacity, electricity demand cannot be met,” wrote Xia Chun, managing director and chief economist of wealth management firm Noah Holdings International, in a column for Chinese financial news outlet Caixin. High coal prices. China’s curbs on coal mining for environmental and safety reasons, as well as heavy rain in Indonesia, disrupted coal production, pushing up its price. Given China’s tight control on electricity prices, for many power plants the high coal prices means it’s unprofitable or even loss-making to operate, according to Myllyvirta. Last October, China also decided to stop importing coal from Australia over political disputes. Although China managed to make up some of the void created by its boycott by importing from countries like the US, it has to pay higher prices for it due to the longer transportation distance. Through August this year, China imported 10% less coal that it did last year. Climate goals. Many energy analysts including Myllyvirta have argued that this is a more minor reason compared to other factors that are driving the power crisis. But in a country where local officials are mostly measured on their ability to meet state goals, the pressure from Beijing for provinces on fulfilling energy targets cannot be ignored. In August, China’s National Development and Reform Commission, which sets energy consumption and economic targets, in a rare move named and shamed nine provinces for not meeting their energy intensity reduction targets, prompting the provinces and other regions to scramble to set curbs on power use. Such pressure will likely become more significant in time.

When did China begin limiting electricity use?


As early as May, some factories in the wealthy southern manufacturing hub Guangdong province began shutting a few days a week, but the shortage seems to have seriously worsened since last week. As of Tuesday (Sept. 28), power rationing and industrial production cuts have been reported in at least 20 provinces, which account for 71% of China’s industrial production, according to a note from analysts at BofA Securities.

While earlier power curbs mostly affected manufacturers, around Sept. 23 some cities in three northeastern Chinese provinces—Jilin, Heilongjiang, and Liaoning—cut electricity for some residential use, causing panic among citizens. After waves of complaints under the hashtag #northeast power cut on microblog Weibo, state media People’s Daily on Sunday urged local governments to ensure residents’ power use, and to avoid “stimulating conflict and transferring responsibilities.”

Today, Liaoning issued a new warning about the “acute” electricity shortage the province faces and revealed more restrictions, while the southern hubs Shenzhen and Guangzhou announced the cancellation of light shows for the upcoming Oct. 1 National Day holiday.

How is it affecting China’s economy?


The energy crisis is seen as an equally huge, if not bigger shock to China’s economy compared to the financial woes of embattled Chinese developer Evergrande, which is mired in around $300 billion of liabilities and struggling to make interest payments. Economists at Nomura and Goldman Sachs have lowered their estimates for China’s GDP growth this year, with the latter citing Beijing’s increasing pressure to meet environmental targets for energy consumption and energy intensity.

Some suppliers to Apple and Tesla have halted their production due to the crunch, while more than 20 China-listed companies, ranging from bread makers to furniture producers, have announced that they have to suspend or limit their production. This could push up consumer goods prices in China.
What China is doing to fix its electricity crisis

On Wednesday, the National Development and Reform Commission laid out plans for tackling the power crunch. They include an orderly increase in coal imports, ensuring power generation of coal and gas plants, and urging plants to prepare coal inventories before the winter to above “safety levels,” and allowing prices to reflect demand and costs. The country might consider raising power prices for industrial or even residential users, according to Bloomberg, perhaps linking tariffs to the price of coal. Last month, it also said it had temporarily restarted some shuttered coal mines.

“In the slightly longer term, the rational response would be to dramatically increase investment in clean energy,” said Myllyvirta. China has set a goal of increasing the share of non-fossil fuels, such as wind and hydropower, in primary energy generation to 25% by 2030. But as those energies are highly reliant on weather conditions, and until related storage and transport infrastructure exists, they will not be able to replace coal as a stable source for power generation in the foreseeable future. Lower hydropower production contributed to power shortages in southern China this year.

The crunch has “no sign of abating in the near term,” according to the BofA Securities analysts’ note, pointing out that peak electricity use in this part of China usually takes place in winter, which is looming.

“Power crunch is usually observed in [the] summer or winter, when household power consumption peaks. The September outage raises question on how bad things could go in two months’ time when winter heating starts,” they wrote.