Saturday, June 20, 2026

SOS messages from Mideast seas plunge India-US ties into choppy waters


The US military killed three Indian soldiers last week when it fired on a vessel while enforcing a US naval blockade, the latest in a series of setbacks for US-India ties. As Prime Minister Narendra Modi meets President Donald Trump on the sidelines of the G7 summit this week, the two leaders will seek to reset bilateral relations. But for Modi, it might be too little, too late.

Issued on:  17/06/2026 
FRANCE24
By: Leela JACINTO

Indian Prime Minister Narenda Modi talks to US President Donald Trump before the plenary session at the G7 summit, June 16, 2026, in Evian-les-Bains, France. © Julia Demaree Nikhinson, AFP

The panic was audible in the sailor’s SOS message shortly after a US missile hit a tanker off the coast of Oman.

“We have fire on board. We have fire on board and vessel is sinking,” began the frantic call of the sailor on board the Marivex.

“Please help. Please help. We have fire on board … All crew Indian, 24 crew. All crew Indian. Please help quickly. Please, we need immediate help.”


The message to Indian authorities was released by an Indian seafarer’s union earlier this month, as the US military targeted commercial shipping vessels in the Gulf of Oman while enforcing a US naval blockade.
The Marivex crew were lucky. All 24 sailors were saved by the Omani navy on June 8. But a day later, the US military killed three Indian sailors on board the Settebello in the Gulf of Oman in the third such attack in a week, forcing India’s foreign ministry to lodge a “strong protest” with the US.

The US Central Command (CENTCOM) statement on the Settebello attack was brisk and arrived with aerial video of the tanker disappearing in black smoke as powerful munitions hit the vessel.

“US forces disabled an oil tanker in the Gulf of Oman for the second consecutive day after another vessel violated the ongoing blockade by attempting to transport oil from Iran,” said the statement. “A US aircraft fired precision munitions into the ship’s engine room after the crew repeatedly failed to comply with directions from American forces.”

As families grieved and Indian media provided wall-to-wall coverage of the latest tragedy on the high seas, the top US diplomat spoke to his Indian counterpart in New Delhi. But the phone call only increased the outrage. During his conversation with Indian Foreign Minister Subrahmanyam Jaishankar, US Secretary of State Marco Rubio “underscored that violations of the US blockade and the illicit transport of Iranian oil will not be tolerated”, the State Department readout said.

“US offers no regret over Indians killed in strike,” read news headlines as opposition politicians asked why the US military could not use non-lethal means to halt non-compliant commercial vessels.

“How can a 'friend' and strategic partner be so deeply insensitive?” asked Shashi Tharoor, a Congress Party MP and former UN under-secretary-general.



India-US ties have frayed since President Donald Trump returned to the White House. The once-celebrated “bromance” between Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi and the US leader – highlighted by exuberant “Howdy Modi” and “Namaste Trump” rallies in 2019 and 2020 – has since chilled.

The Iran war, with its blockade of vital shipping lanes, has brought the oil import-dependent nation of more than a billion people to the brink of an energy crisis. Trump has slapped India with punishing 50 percent tariffs, headlines decry the deportation of Indian students in the US for voicing support for the Palestinian cause, and opposition leaders now call Modi Trump’s “obedient servant”.

When Modi holds talks with Trump on the sidelines of the G7 summit on Wednesday, the Indian leader arrives with the baggage of a host of bilateral issues to be sorted. India is not a member of the G7, but is among the countries invited to join the summit. On Tuesday, the two leaders greeted each other ahead of a plenary session in the first face-to-face interaction between the two leaders since Modi’s February 2025 trip to the US to congratulate Trump on his re-election. Much has changed since, and analysts are questioning whether a desire for good optics will obscure the substantive issues at stake when the leaders of the world’s most powerful and most populous democracies meet.
Protecting the lives of civilians in conflict zones

India is no stranger to the fallout of conflicts and crises in the Middle East. With its massive workforce, impoverishment, and proximity to oil-rich Arab states, India has a long history of trade and labour ties with the region. In just the six Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) states – comprising of Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia and the UAE – India has more than 9 million workers. The country also accounts for around 12 percent of the world’s maritime workforce, making India among the world’s top three suppliers of seafarers.

In the past, wars in the Middle East have triggered huge logistical operations in New Delhi to repatriate Indian nationals trapped in the conflict zone. When Iraq’s Saddam Hussein invaded Kuwait in 1990, for instance, India conducted one of the world’s largest airlifts, evacuating more than 170,000 nationals in less than two months to safety.

The killings of Indian sailors during the Iran war, however, have raised troubling questions on several fronts.

“The US is a strategic partner of India. The fact that, despite knowing that these vessels are manned by Indian sailors, the US military has targeted these vessels, raises questions about the nature of the India-US relationship,” noted Sushant Singh, a lecturer in South Asian studies at Yale University.

“The second question which it raises is about Mr. Modi's foreign policy, about the whole idea of strategic sovereignty. What does India's policy of strategic sovereignty or independence mean if it cannot really protect the lives of its own citizens?” he added.
Lack of ‘political will’

The problem, according to Singh, does not lie in India’s logistical capabilities. “The Indian capacity has not been lost,” he noted. “The bigger question is about the political will – and whether the current Indian government has the political will when a superpower like the United States is involved.”

At a G7 outreach meeting on Tuesday, Modi said the world today suffers from a “trust deficit” and warned about the recent disruptions in maritime trade through the Strait of Hormuz. “The safety of seafarers, who connect nations through global maritime trade, is our responsibility. We must ensure that sea routes remain secure and that seafarers can carry out their work without fear,” Modi said.

Trade is likely to dominate India-US discussions at Evian-les-Bains as the Modi administration engages in tough negotiations to get preferential tariff ​treatment as part of a bilateral trade agreement.

Trump arrives at the meeting after reaching a tentative deal with Iran aimed at ending the war, which will be signed at Switzerland’s mountainside Burgenstock resort on Friday. “I don't think Mr. Modi would want to say anything, including about the killing of these Indian sailors, that would offend President Trump,” Singh said.
In Israel, Modi chooses a side

India is not alone in having to manage an unpredictable and irascible president in the White House. What distinguishes New Delhi’s latest foreign policy bind from the others is that it stems, to a large extent, from Modi’s abrupt departure from India’s historic diplomatic positions. This rupture was presented to Indian domestic audiences as a personalised, triumphalist outcome of Modi’s visionary capacity to engage with the world’s strongmen.

But the Iran war has undermined the strongman narrative.

It started back in February, when Modi was warmly welcomed by Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu during a visit to Israel. Just days before Israel joined the US in declaring war on Iran, a country with historic ties to India, Modi addressed the Knesset on February 25 and declared that “India stands firmly with Israel”.

Modi’s Knesset address was delivered in the thick of a massive US military buildup in the region amid Trump’s promises to protesting Iranians that “help is on its way”.

“It reflected very poorly on the Indian government. Very few leaders have gone to Israel to support Benjamin Netanyahu, who is caught in a lot of controversies, including corruption scandals, and he's also charged with war crimes,” said Singh, referring to the International Criminal Court’s November 2024 arrest warrant for the Israeli leader.

“India under Mr. Modi had chosen a side. They clearly wanted to be seen on the side of Israel and the United States, and the UAE, rather than being seen as taking a more balanced position,” said Singh.
Pakistan in the spotlight, India on the sidelines

In the weeks and months after the visit, the fallout from the Modi administration’s break with a decades-old Indian foreign policy position of supporting the Palestinian cause was full display.

As India sat on the sidelines of a major crisis in its neighbourhood, its archenemy Pakistan rose to the challenge, engaging in a high-profile role to find a diplomatic solution to the Iran war.

“Pakistan seems to have hit a strategic sweet spot with whatever it has been able to achieve because of the very close ties that Field Marshal [Pakistani Defence Chief Asim] Munir has with President Trump, and the fact that the Iranians trusted them enough to go to Pakistan or to invite them to Iran,” Singh said.

The Modi administration’s policies have also made Pakistan’s diplomatic success difficult for India to digest.

“It reflects poorly on India, because Mr. Modi's government over the last ten years has followed a strategy of diplomatically isolating Pakistan – that Pakistan should be completely isolated diplomatically, that nobody should engage with Pakistan and it should be treated as a kind of a pariah country globally for sponsoring terror, et cetera. And that strategy has clearly failed,” Singh said.
‘Riding the US-Israel bandwagon without a seat belt’

The Iran war has also exposed the weakness of the Modi administration’s much-touted “multi-alignment” strategy that replaced New Delhi’s old, non-aligned foreign policy, which came to be viewed as a passive position of keeping rival superpowers at arm’s length.

Multi-alignment “was a dynamic engagement with nations and groups of nations guided by a transactional notion of the national interest”, explained Indian historian and novelist Mukul Kesavan in a recent op-ed. But “in effect, it implied a decisive re-orientation of Indian foreign policy towards the US and its allies, particularly Israel”, Kesavan noted. “Our predicament in the Gulf and our irrelevance to conflict resolution there are down to India riding the US-Israel bandwagon without a seat belt.”

When India continued to buy Russian oil after Moscow’s full-scale invasion of Ukraine, for instance, Jaishankar was a vocal proponent of New Delhi’s multi-alignment, swatting away Western remonstrations.

It could work while the going was good, Singh explained. “They were just seeing it as an opportunistic move, that we will take advantage of anything that comes our way without paying a price for it. While the times were good, you could do that. You could take advantage of your ties with Russia at some point in time, your ties with America at another point in time. But when things became bad, and when a situation emerged out of a war between the US and Iran, you could no longer play that game,” he said.

Modi’s meeting with Trump in France will be followed by a visit by US Trade Representative Jamieson ​Greer to India next week. That’s when some of the difficult, technical issues of a bilateral trade deal are expected to be tackled. There was a time when diplomacy could ease negotiations during tough trade talks. But times have changed.

“This whole crisis in the Middle East, including the war on Iran, has revealed that there are structural problems between India and the United States,” said Singh. “The kind of political costs that Mr. Modi is paying for the killing of sailors, the kind of economic crisis that India has faced, the importance of Pakistan, has all clearly showed that the rhetoric of a great strategic partnership is not what it is actually on the ground.”
SpaceX: Why Chinese investors are banned from the biggest IPO in history


Billionaire Elon Musk’s AI and aerospace giant SpaceX has banned investors from Hong Kong and mainland China from buying its shares as it goes public on Friday – a rarely seen restriction that shows just how geopolitically sensitive the world’s tangled financial markets have grown. But Chinese investors seem all too willing to make risky investments in cryptocurrencies allegedly backed by US companies to avoid letting the initial public offering (IPO) of the century pass them by.


Issued on: 12/06/2026 - 
FRANCE24
By: Sébastian SEIBT


Chinese investors will be restricted from buying SpaceX shares. © Studio graphique France Médias Monde

The biggest initial public offering (IPO) in history will happen without China. Billionaire tycoon Elon Musk’s aerospace and AI conglomerate SpaceX has decided that Chinese and Hong Kong investors will not be able to buy shares in the soon-to-be publicly traded company, which makes its Wall Street debut on Friday.

“Mutual funds, private equities, sovereign funds, family offices and high-net-worth individuals from the two jurisdictions will all be blocked from this highly anticipated IPO,” reported the China Daily, a major English-language newspaper owned by the Communist Party of China.


In the name of national security

First reported by Bloomberg last Friday, the ban on a whole country from buying shares quickly went into effect. Reuters reported that people based in Hong Kong or mainland China trying to sign up to buy shares through the official SpaceX site were treated to an “Error 1009” message.


“As far as I can recall, this is one of the first times an entire nation has been so explicitly excluded from an initial public offering,” said Grégoire Kounowski, an investment adviser at the Norman K group advisory firm.

SpaceX has justified the decision on national security grounds. More precisely, the future darling of Wall Street has alleged that letting Chinese investors buy its shares would put the company in the crosshairs of the US International Traffic in Arms Regulations (ITAR), which govern trade in sensitive aerospace and defence technology, Bloomberg reported.

ITAR puts strict limits around the sale and sharing of information concerning products included on a list of technology sensitive for US national security such as weapons, certain software or even technical data needed to build rockets.


SpaceX definitely fits the bill.

“It is much more than just a private player in the aerospace industry,” said Louise Girard, a market analyst at XTB brokerage. “The company works with the Pentagon and intelligence agencies, and some of the technologies used by SpaceX in its Falcon and Starship launch vehicles are considered by the US government to be critical military equipment.”

SpaceX is also developing the Starshield military satellite programme – a programme tailor-made for the needs of the US intelligence agencies.
Getting in good with Donald

Certainly, these projects seem sensitive in terms of US national security. But how would random Chinese investors buying shares in SpaceX actually put Americans’ safety at risk?

“A company that goes public is required to share financial data with its shareholders, but not its technology or trade secrets,” Kounowski said. “Becoming a shareholder in SpaceX will not give investors access to the most sensitive information.”

Perhaps more concretely, it’s a decision that will likely meet with warm approval in the White House.

“The USA is cautious about letting China have too much exposure to key companies due to national defence worries,” said Alex Dryden, a specialist in financial markets at the SOAS University of London.

Analysts said that SpaceX’s decision would likely help Musk win credit with US President Donald Trump.

And likely at little cost to the world’s richest man.

“SpaceX doesn't need Chinese or Hong Kong investors because the offering has generated such a buzz that overall demand already far exceeds supply,” Girard said.

Despite this, most corporations preparing to go public try to draw in all the investors they can to raise as much money as possible. Indeed, the idea of cutting off a country of almost 1.5 billion people – of which, the China Daily reports, some 250 million have already invested in publicly traded stocks – might seem tantamount to suicide.

Whether or not the ban can actually be enforced once the company goes public is another question.

SpaceX “has the right to refuse to sell directly to Chinese investors, but it is much harder to prevent Chinese investors from participating in this initial public offering”, Girard said.

In other words, investors from Asia’s leading economic powerhouse who want to “will always find ways to get around this ban”, Kounowski said.

Will the banks that handle this massive IPO be able to verify that the offshore trading accounts buying up bundles of shares aren’t fronts for Chinese investors? And what about more complicated financial products that fold slivers of SpaceX in with other securities? Unpicking the tangled skein of globally traded financial vehicles could quickly prove maddening.

At all costs

But some would say that SpaceX is saving Chinese investors from putting money on a bad bet. For Dryden, “being blocked from this IPO might be a blessing in disguise for Chinese investors”.

He pointed to reports that the massive valuation that SpaceX has put on its offering – a staggering $1.77 trillion – may have little relation to the company’s real value.

Kounowski agreed that the gamble risked “ending badly for some unsuspecting investors”.

The problem is that the Chinese seem ready to take significant risks to access SpaceX shares, according to the Financial Times – for example, buying cryptocurrencies promoted as being backed by shares in publicly traded US companies such as Musk’s conglomerate.

The rush to buy up such assets has reached such a pitch that some investors have snapped them up without waiting to do the due diligence to make sure the investments are actually safe.

READ MOREMusk loses landmark lawsuit against OpenAI after jury finds he filed his claim too late

Other investors have turned to anything that looks even a little like SpaceX, the South China Morning Post reported. Investments in China’s own aerospace companies have risen dramatically, as has the purchase of shares in subcontractors who could conceivably be called upon to work for SpaceX in the future, such as satellite antenna manufacturers.

“The lengths they are going to in order to get exposure to the stock is troubling,” Dryden said.

And Friday’s IPO may mark the beginning of a new age of restricted investment.

After SpaceX, AI giants OpenAI and Anthropic will take their own first steps onto the stock market – and likely be walking on the same geopolitical eggshells as Musk’s corporation.

“I strongly suspect that Anthropic, in particular, will be politically contentious,” Dryden said. “Some of the tools that they have developed would be very dangerous in the wrong hands – I suspect it will be hit by the same geopolitical concerns.”

This article has been translated from the original in French.
'Major discovery': France's National Library brings forgotten Mozart manuscript back to life


A long-forgotten manuscript by composer Wolfgang Amadeus Mozart will be brought to life this weekend in Paris. The newly rediscovered work – composed in 1778 when the Austrian prodigy was just 22 – will be performed in public for the first time ever at France's National Library.


Issued on: 19/06/2026
By: FRANCE 24

A composition notebook by Wolfgang Amadeus Mozart containing seven pieces for harp and flute is displayed at the National Library of France (BnF) in Paris on June 15, 2026. © Kenzo Tribouillard, AFP

Musicians this weekend will for the first time publicly interpret music for flute and harp that Wolfgang Amadeus Mozart wrote as a 22-year-old while teaching an aristocratic French student.

The unprecedented concert on Sunday at France's National Library (BnF) comes after what it has called a "major discovery".

Francois-Pierre Goy, a curator in the library's music department, stumbled across the treasure as he examined a pile of anonymous manuscripts he wanted to get through before retirement.

"I never imagined what I was about to find," he told AFP.


The 44-page notebook includes a dozen daily exercises the Austrian prodigy gave Marie-Louise-Philippine de Bonnieres de Guines from May to July 1778, as well as seven pieces for flute and harp, he said.

She was an excellent harpist and the daughter of the Duke of Guines, himself a renowned flautist.

"It just so happened that I had been looking at some of Mozart's teaching material a few weeks earlier," Goy said.

Soon he noticed similarities – including "the treble clefs that are quite rounded and tilted slightly forward", and bass clefs drawn in the opposite direction from how they usually are in France, he added.

"Could it be him?" Goy said he thought to himself.

Comparisons with Mozart's other handwritten works, the French paper used, and stamps on the notebook identical to those on a French copy of Mozart's "Concerto for Flute and Harp" that the Duke of Guines had commissioned all seemed to indicate he was right.

Armin Brinzing, director of the Austria-based Mozarteum Foundation, authenticated the document in April.

The manuscript "is part of two bundles of music that were confiscated from the home of the Duke of Guines in 1794" during the French Revolution, and eventually ended up at the BnF, according to the library.

Mozart died in 1791 aged 35.

Discoveries like this "for such a famous composer are almost unheard of", said Mathias Auclair, director of the BnF's music department.

Several Mozart compositions have been rediscovered in recent years.

READ MORE  Mozart Foundation discovers two new compositions

In one case, in 2012, someone found a Mozart piano piece composed when he was 11 in an Austrian attic.

For harpists and flautists, who have "very little repertoire" available to them, the discovery at the BnF is a wonderful surprise, he said.

BnF president Gilles Pecout said the new music sheets shed light on Mozart as a young teacher and documented his last stay in Paris in 1778 – on which there is scant information.

(FRANCE 24 with AFP)
France's Louvre museum 'running out of steam', new director says

The world's largest museum is having a hard time securing investments to upgrade its decaying infrastructure, the Louvre's new director Christophe Leribault told a Senate committee Wednesday. The museum has been hit by a series of public scandals including a water leak, a large-scale ticket fraud operation and the daylight theft of nearly $100 million worth of imperial jewellery.


Issued on: 17/06/2026 
By: FRANCE 24

Building-related emergencies are piling up at the Louvre, its new director has said. © Stéphane de Sakutin, AFP


The Louvre museum is struggling to find funding to upgrade its ageing facilities, its new director said Wednesday, following a litany of problems that included a brazen $100-million jewellery heist.

"Despite its imposing majesty, despite the daily commitment of its staff, the Louvre is running out of steam," Christophe Leribault told a Senate committee.

"Its equipment and infrastructure are reaching the end of their life cycle."

Leribault, an art historian and museum director specialising in 18th-century art, took the helm in February, after his predecessor stepped down following an embarrassing daylight theft of imperial jewels in October that laid bare severe security failings.

Home to iconic pieces of art including Leonardo da Vinci's "Mona Lisa", the Louvre is the world's most visited museum, receiving around nine million visitors a year.

It is housed in a vast palace in central Paris on the banks of the Seine River, built over centuries by various French monarchs who at times used it as their official residence.

"Building-related emergencies are piling up, and we're facing a wall in terms of investments," Leribault said.

French President Emmanuel Macron last year announced a sweeping overhaul for the Louvre that would include a new space for the Mona Lisa and a new museum entrance.

Macron's aides have said the project is expected to cost from €700 million to €800 million ($730 to 830 million). But the French Court of Auditors has put the price tag at €1.15 billion.

Under the plan, Leonardo da Vinci's masterpiece – which attracts around 20,000 visitors a day – will be independently accessible from the rest of the museum, with a separate ticket to see it.

The museum has recently struggled with repeated strikes causing loss of revenue, a ticket fraud scheme that may have cost the museum €10 million ($11.7 million), a water leak and other maintenance issues.

(FRANCE 24 with AFP)

 

A cosmic tribute: Asteroid named after beloved singer Elliott Smith

A cosmic tribute: Asteroid named after beloved singer Elliott Smith
Copyright AP Photo - Canva

By David Mouriquand
Published on


More than two decades after his death, Elliott Smith has been immortalized with an asteroid named after him. The celestial honour came from a fan listening to his song ‘Shooting Star’...

It has been nearly 23 years since we lost Elliott Smith, the wonderful American indie singer-songwriter behind songs like ‘Waltz #2 (XO)’, ‘Between The Bars’ and ‘Son of Sam’.

The highly influential musician died in October 2003 at age 34, after suffering two stab wounds to the chest.

Now, Smith has been immortalised in the stars with an asteroid named after him – specifically a minor planet discovered in 2014 which is officially named “(861969) Elliottsmith”.

The tribute came at the initiative of Edinburgh-based independent filmmaker Orlando Campopiano, and has been approved by the International Astronomical Union’s Working Group for Small Body Nomenclature (WGSBN).

As reported by Stereogum, Campopiano got the idea while listening to the song ‘Shooting Star’ off of Smith's posthumous album ‘From A Basement On The Hill’ - the singer’s sixth and final studio album which was released one year after his death.

The filmmaker reached out to Smith’s estate, and their proposal was later accepted by the International Astronomical Union (IAU).

“We just received official approval, and the designation is now live: Asteroid (861969) 2014 OS439 is officially "Elliottsmith",” said Campopiano. “Something very interesting about this is that the catalogue number for the asteroid is 861969, directly mirroring (Smith’s) birth date of 8/6/1969!”

He added: "I hope this introduces at least one new person to Elliott's brilliant discography, and I'm happy to see a permanent legacy in the stars!”

An official citation was published in the IAU’s bulletin, confirming that the asteroid has been named in honour of the “American musician and songwriter [who was] born Steven Paul Smith on August 6, 1969”.

You can check out the asteroid's location, courtesy of NASA and the California Institute of Technology’s Small-Body Database Lookup:

Elliottsmith
Elliottsmith NASA / California Institute of Technology

Elliott Smith is not the only musician to have an asteroid named after them. Others include David Bowie, Stevie Wonder, The Beatles, Freddie Mercury, Aretha Franklin and Bob Dylan.

If you’re not familiar with Smith and his stellar discography, we recommend you start with his third album, 1997’s ‘Either / Or’, and go from there.

You may recognise three tracks in this album as they featured in Gus Van Sant’s film Good Will Hunting: ‘Between The Bars’, ‘Angeles’ and ‘Say Yes’. Smith also contributed a new song, ‘Miss Misery’, for the soundtrack - song which earned him an Oscar nomination.

Mexican archaeologists unearth ancient ruins with unique Mayan features

Mexican archaeologists have uncovered ancient ruins bearing signs of Mayan culture and previously unseen architectural features in the eastern state of Veracruz, a discovery officials described as unique and potentially significant for understanding the region's pre-Hispanic past.


Issued on: 20/06/2026 - 
By: FRANCE 24

Ancient ruins in Veracruz had signs of Mayan culture but also 'never before seen' pre-Hispanic characteristics. © Marco Antonio Martinez, AFP

Mexican archaeologists unearthed ancient ruins with signs of Mayan culture as well as "never before seen" characteristics in the eastern state of Veracruz.

President Claudia Sheinbaum called the discovery "very relevant" during her morning press conference on Friday, saying her government would allocate resources for the investigation and restoration of the site.

The site includes a circular stone platform unlike any other unearthed in that part of Mexico.

Researchers also discovered a monolith depicting a figure with potential Mayan features, the National Institute of Archaeology and History (INAH) said.

"It's a unique, unprecedented finding," said Lino Espinoza Garcia, an archaeologist for the INAH and one of the coordinators for the Campo Viejo site near the town of Coatepec.

Dating back to the Early Classic period between 200 and 600 AD, the pre-Hispanic ruins include a flagstone and limestone platform adorned with almost squared lines or figures as well as the circular stones.

These attributes have never been recorded in this region of Mexico, the INAH said in a statement.

It's "a very particular structure," said Alberto Vazquez, the other archaeologist responsible for the site.

"We don't have any records so far of a correlation with other (ancient) sites."

The monolith stands 1.88 meters (6.16 feet) high, 1.47 meters (4.82 feet) wide at its broadest point and 68 centimeters (2.23 feet) at the narrowest.

The stone depicts a scene of a symbolic character, according to experts.

"They are two characters who are requesting something, they have a bowl and are receiving something, we think it's a liquid. Obviously, in that context, it's a divine liquid, we think it would be water," Espinoza detailed.

The archaeologist believes the image could reflect the era of a great drought in the region, which could explain why two members of the elite, one of them with Mayan traits, are depicted receiving the fluid from a divine entity.

(France 24 with AFP)

'Explosive cocktail': El Niño raises fears of summer wildfires in Portugal

Fire in the Sever do Vouga area in 2024
Copyright Bruno Fonseca / AP

By Ricardo Figueira
Published on

The European Commission has confirmed that El Niño is almost certain this year, which could affect Europe. Speaking to Euronews, climatologist Carlos da Camara warns of a possible heatwave and major wildfires in Portugal.

El Niño is on the way, but its direct effects on Portugal will be very limited, according to information from the Portuguese Institute for Sea and Atmosphere (IPMA).

The European Commission, through the Joint Research Centre (JRC), is the latest international body to say it is "virtually certain" the phenomenon will recur this year, probably lasting until 2027.

According to the JRC report, El Niño is expected to reach a "very high" intensity, probably hitting a "very strong" level and potentially surpassing historical precedents such as the event 12 years ago. The European Commission warns in particular of the food risks associated with drought, which comes on top of already high energy and fertiliser prices and could put "hundreds of millions of additional people at risk". Adverse weather conditions could hit key crops such as durum wheat, which may be the most affected, as well as maize, rice, soya and winter wheat.

Woman drying fruit in Zimbabwe during the drought and food shortages caused by El Niño in 2024 Aaron Ufumeli / AP

The World Meteorological Organization (WMO) issued a warning earlier this month (source in Portuguese), saying there is an 80% probability that an El Niño event will develop between June and August this year, meaning an abnormal rise in sea surface temperatures in the Pacific Ocean, with direct consequences for tropical and subtropical regions worldwide and possible indirect effects in many other parts of the globe. More recent forecasts say the consequences of this event, which is expected to have "moderate to strong" intensity, have a 90% probability of lasting until the end of the year.

The WMO information was also disseminated by the UN (source in Portuguese), accompanied by a video from Secretary-General António Guterres, who said: "The world must treat this threat as a climate alarm bell. El Niño will further intensify global heating. Its impacts will be more severe, will reach further and will cross borders at devastating speed."

Portugal is far from the Pacific, but that does not mean it is shielded from the impact El Niño has on temperatures. A hot summer means the need for heightened vigilance, not only regarding the health effects of heat, especially for people working outdoors, but also in relation to wildfires.

According to the IPMA, in a note released (source in Portuguese), "although El Niño occurs in the Pacific Ocean, it can influence climate patterns on a global scale. However, its effects in Portugal are neither direct nor straightforward to predict."

What impact will it have on Portugal?

For climatologist Carlos da Camara, the occurrence of the phenomenon in the context of climate change could be an explosive cocktail and have consequences for Portugal, albeit indirect ones.

For this senior researcher at the Dom Luiz Institute, the effects of El Niño can be compared to throwing a large stone into a pond, creating concentric ripples that gradually lose strength as they spread: "The phenomenon starts in the central Pacific. The disturbance extends over the American continent, both north and south, then reaches Indonesia and continues from there. It eventually has an influence on southern Africa and then spreads over Canada before it starts to die out, meaning the direct influence on the European continent is small, very small. In particular on the Iberian Peninsula, it is smaller still," he explains.

However, even if the direct consequences are scant or virtually nil, the phenomenon’s "butterfly effect", combined with current conditions, could have indirect consequences for Portugal this summer, especially in terms of wildfires.

Burnt area in Castro Daire after a wildfire in September 2024 Bruno Fonseca / AP

In Mediterranean Europe, which he considers one of the parts of the world where climate change is being felt most intensely, the impact could be amplified. "My concern is that there may be a heatwave like the one in 2003, which was the most severe heatwave ever recorded in Europe," the scientist says. "If that happens, given that we had that sequence of storms linked to the Kristin depression which brought down millions of trees, we know we now have much more biomass available to burn, not only because we had a very rainy spring, but also because of this excess biomass from fallen trees. We could, for example, see a large-scale wildfire, and that in a very tricky time of year," he explains.

Could such a heatwave arrive as early as next week? The IPMA is forecasting very high temperatures from the weekend, with values that could exceed 40°C in several inland areas. Some private models even predict that thermometers could reach 50°C. For Carlos da Camara, "that figure represents an upper threshold with a high degree of uncertainty".

As for whether the 2003 level could be reached in the coming days, the climatologist says he does not yet have enough information to say.

My concern is that there may be a heatwave like the one in 2003, which was the most severe ever recorded in Europe. If that happens, given that we had that sequence of storms linked to the Kristin depression which brought down millions of trees, we know we now have much more biomass available to burn. (...) We could see a large-scale wildfire.
 Carlos da Camara 
Climatologist

Carlos da Camara sums up the possible effects as follows: "Will El Niño have direct influences? No. Indirect influences? Very probably, yes. Indirect influences on top of a background that has been worsened and degraded by climate change, which can lead to much greater impacts? The answer is yes, certainly. Ultimately, the problem is not El Niño itself – for other regions it is, for north-eastern Brazil it certainly will be, for South Africa it certainly will be, for Indonesia too. For Europe probably not, but indirectly it very well might be."

What is El Niño?

Contrary to what some people think, this phenomenon is neither new nor recent, and it is not caused by climate change, although global warming can amplify its effects. The term was first used in the late 19th century in Peru to describe the warming of Pacific currents that frequently occurred around Christmas.

More recently, meteorologists have begun linking this phenomenon to a whole range of extreme weather events that can occur at the same time as "El Niño". One example came in 2014 and 2015, when the "El Niño" confirmed by the WMO was accompanied by severe droughts in several regions of the world, which badly affected agriculture and increased the risk of food insecurity in parts of the globe that were already particularly fragile.

According to scientists, the "El Niño" expected to begin this summer could have consequences as serious as, or even more serious than, the one that occurred 12 years ago.

The phenomenon began to be studied in more detail by meteorologists with the creation of a scientific framework known as ENSO, short for "El Niño Southern Oscillation", which measures temperature fluctuations in Pacific waters and predicts both El Niño and the opposite phenomenon, the cooling of the currents, known as "La Niña".

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Gun violence soars in Canada as illegal weapons from the US flow in

Cover image: FOCUS © FRANCE 24
Issued on: 19/06/2026 -
05:49 min

Over the last decade, gun murders have jumped by nearly 90 percent in Canada. This increase is fuelled by a never-ending stream of illegal weapons acquired across the border in the United States. According to data from the Toronto Police, 88 percent of the guns seized in crimes last year originated in the US. Canadian police and elected officials are demanding tighter controls at border crossings. FRANCE 24's Francois Rihouay, Joanne Profeta report, with Fraser Jackson.