Thursday, July 09, 2026

 

Meta plans biggest AI data centre outside US in Canada with $9.1bn investment

FILE - FILE - A data centre is visible in Frankfurt, Germany, Aug. 22, 2025. (AP Photo/Michael Probst, File)
Copyright Copyright 2025 The Associated Press. All rights reserved

By Una Hajdari with AP
Published on


Meta will pour more than $9.1bn (€8.4bn) into a new artificial intelligence data centre in Alberta, Canada — its largest outside the United States — powered by a dedicated natural gas plant.

Facebook and Instagram parent company Meta said Wednesday it will invest more than $9.1 billion (€8.4bn) to build its first artificial intelligence data centre in Canada and its largest outside the United States.

The facility will be built in Sturgeon County, Alberta, and powered by a natural gas-fired plant being developed by a consortium that includes Calgary-based Pembina Pipeline Ltd.

Technology and Innovation Minister Nate Glubish called the project "a big deal for Alberta," saying the province had created a regulatory framework to attract data centre investment.

Alberta has been courting hyperscale data centres as demand for artificial intelligence infrastructure surges.

But the rapid growth of AI has fuelled concerns about the vast amounts of electricity and water such facilities require, as well as their strain on power grids and nearby communities.

Because Alberta's electricity grid cannot support multiple large AI data centres, the province is prioritising projects that build or secure their own power generation, as Meta plans to do.

Meta said the data centre will use a closed-loop cooling system that will not draw water from surrounding sources. The company also plans to invest $42 million (€37m) in local infrastructure, including roads and water systems.

Last week, Pembina Pipeline, Morgan Stanley Infrastructure Partners and Kineticor Asset Management announced they would proceed with the Greenlight Electricity Centre in Sturgeon County.

Meta was identified Wednesday as the customer. The 932-megawatt power plant is expected to begin operating in the second half of 2030.





 

Lithuania and Poland to jointly develop European AI gigafactory

Lithuania and Poland to jointly develop European AI gigafactory
/ Image by kp yamu Jayanath from PFacebook
By bne IntelliNews July 8, 2026

Lithuania's economy and innovation ministry has joined the European High Performance Computing Joint Undertaking (EuroHPC) initiative to build artificial intelligence (AI) gigafactories, submitting a joint proposal with Poland's digital affairs ministry to establish one of Europe's most advanced AI computing facilities, the ministry said on July 8.

AI gigafactories are a flagship initiative of the European Commission and EuroHPC to develop next-generation large-scale AI computing infrastructure across Europe. The EU plans to co-finance up to five facilities. Lithuania's and Poland's investment will proceed if a Polish business-led consortium secures European funding.

Economy and Innovation Minister Edvinas Griksas signed the joint procurement agreement on July 7, 2026.

"Investing in artificial intelligence means investing in the competitiveness and security of the entire region. Lithuania and Poland are demonstrating that, by working together, smaller European countries can become an important centre for AI development. We want the Lithuanian and Polish AI ecosystems to operate as one and compete globally," Griksas said.

The partnership follows a memorandum of understanding signed by the Lithuanian economy ministry and Poland's digital affairs ministry on 26 January 2026 covering cooperation on AI, including infrastructure. The agreement allows both countries to participate in the joint procurement process and access services developed by industry and research partners to meet regional needs.

Participation in the initiative will give Lithuanian institutions access to world-class AI computing capacity and related services, including pre-configured computing environments, specialised AI models and data services. The project will complement Lithuania's planned LitAI AI factory in Vilnius, linking national and regional AI infrastructure into a single ecosystem.

The first European AI gigafactories are expected to enter operation in 2028. The facilities will be financed, built and operated by private-sector consortia selected through the EuroHPC procurement process.

 

NATO's new €70bn Ukraine pledge repackages aid already promised

Nato's new €70bn Ukraine pledge repackages aid already promised
Alliance headline figure for 2026 largely bundles existing bilateral commitments and an EU loan, with the US absent from the funding / bne IntelliNewsFacebook
By Ben Aris in Berlin July 9, 2026

Nato pledged to provide Ukraine with €70bn ($80bn) in military equipment, assistance and training this year during the Ankara Nato summit on July 8, with a commitment to match that sum in 2027 — but little of the money is new.

The pledge was set out in a joint declaration issued at the close of the alliance's summit, adopted by consensus by all 32 member states.

"For 2026, Allies pledge €70bn in military equipment, assistance and training for Ukraine and affirm their sovereign commitments to sustaining at least equivalent levels in 2027," the statement read.

The first tranche of the EU’s €90bn loan for Ukraine of €3.2bn was received earlier this month and $15bn in international financial assistance in June. That has boosted its international reserves to a comfortable $51.3bn, solidifying Kyiv’s finances for the rest of this year. Since the start of the war the EU has sent a total of €215bn in budget and military support to Ukraine.

"A significant part of these funds is aimed at replenishing reserves, which made it possible to resume their growth," the NBU reported.

But behind the headline number, little of the €70bn package is new. Most of it consists of commitments already made rather than fresh cash. Of the total, €30bn is part of the €90bn loan agreed in December that was already earmarked for Ukrainian defence spending. The remaining €40bn is to be met through bilateral support from other allies, and largely reflects pledges first made at Nato's 2024 summit in Washington, according to Reuters and other reports.

That means almost none of the announced €70bn is new money. Current EU and bilateral commitments fall short of the mark, leaving Ukraine’s funding in 2027 and beyond in doubt.

Recycling previously made pledges matters because the two-year total of roughly €140bn is not expected to be covered in full by existing programmes. The €50bn shortfall from estimated needs for the next two year Ukrainian budget was two thirds covered by December’s €90bn loan but it was always intended to raise the missing money from the other non-European members of the G7. Those countries have yet to commit to making more funding available for Ukraine.

The joint statement did add some clarity to exactly which country has committed to how much. The US has sent no money to Ukraine since US President Donald Trump took over and will not participate in this latest funding pledge either. That has left Europe, Canada and Japan to shoulder the lion’s share of the burden. The declaration's denomination of aid priced in euros rather than dollars was read in Ankara as a deliberate signal that Washington remains out of the game, despite Trump’s promise to grant Ukraine a license to make Patriot missiles.

The statement  said that European allies and Canada, "now finance the vast majority of security assistance to Ukraine through bilateral and multilateral means." Support must be "equitable, predictable, and sustainable in the long-term."

What new money there is, is increasingly channelled into hardware and, above all, air defence — the overriding theme of this year’s Nato summit. Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskiy spent all his time in Turkey shuttling between nearly 20 bilateral meetings, trying to scrounge up more interceptor ammo to counter Russia’s relentless missile and drone attacks.

During the two-day event, Russian missile strikes on Kyiv killed at least three people and wounded 14, underscoring Zelenskiy's case for more interceptors. As IntelliNews reported, while Ukraine has mounted a spectacular and effective long-range drone campaign against Russia’s oil refineries that has caused a country-wide fuel crisis, in the drones vs missiles arms race, Russia has the overwhelming advantage. As Ukraine runs desperately low on interceptor missiles, Ukraine’s skies are once again open to Russian missile attacks. On the last day of the summit, Russia launched 29 missiles against Ukraine and all of them got through to hit their targets, according to local reports.

Appearing alongside Zelenskiy, in addition to announcing the Patriot licence Trump said the mega drones-for-weapons deal suggested by Zelenskiy last year will go ahead. The Ukrainian president said he has already secured fresh agreements with Estonia, the Netherlands and Denmark, with further drone deals expected with Germany, Norway, Finland and Canada. He also thanked South Korean President Lee Jae Myung for a $100mn support package and hailed Italy for "always [helping] in a principled way to protect life." Additional US weapons are expected to reach Ukraine indirectly, bought by European states under the Prioritised Ukraine Requirements List (PURL) scheme.

One of the main take outs from the Ankara summit is that increasingly Ukraine is being seen by the White House as a contributor to transatlantic security rather than merely a recipient of it. The 32 Nato leaders repeated they "stand united in our unwavering support for Ukraine in defending its freedom, sovereignty, and territorial integrity," in the statement. It retained wording from previous years describing Russia as a "long-term" threat to Euro-Atlantic security, more than four years after its full-scale invasion.

Europe boosts spending, but fiscal space tightening 

In addition to funding for Ukraine, much of the discussion in the Turkish capital was also given over to the allies' own defence spending. At last year’s Nato summit in the Hague the European Nato members promised to increase their defence spending from under 2% to 5% of GDP by 2035, although most of them will struggle to hit that target.

European allies and Canada have increased their core defence investment by more than $139bn in 2025, with some members expected to hit the goal well ahead of schedule. Poland and the Baltic states are already spending just under 5% of GDP and all the other members have now crossed the Welsh summit threshold of 2% of GDP. The alliance also announced "more than $50bn in new procurements," pledging to expand collective manufacturing capacity, with planned investment spanning integrated air and missile defence, deep-precision strike, uncrewed systems and a shared transatlantic military cloud. Rutte said Europe would be able to manufacture 4mn shells in 2026, after it failed to meet a pledge to make one million shells for Ukraine in 2023.

The summit ran alongside allied disputes over defence spending and the fallout from the recent conflict between the US and Iran — tensions. 

An increasingly dysfunctional European economy is finding it harder and harder to find enough funds for Ukraine. Dutch Prime Minister Rob Jetten said this week that the Netherlands had run out of money for Ukraine. As IntelliNews reported, as Russia continues to fund its war effort with cash earned from oil exports, and increasingly Europe is finding it support with debt, European governments are starting to run out of fiscal space as the cost of borrowing inextricably rises.

Finnish Defence Minister Antti Hakkanen also told the Kyiv Independent that Finland was reaching the limits of what it could provide from its military stockpiles after more than four years of supporting Ukraine.

"Of course, I think that there's two pillars: what can you give from stocks or from industry, and how much can you give financial aid," Hakkanen said on the sidelines of the summit. "We already also have challenges to give from stocks anymore."

At the same time, after Trump’s withdrawal of support last year, Europe has struggled to offset the end of US military funding and year-on-year weapons deliveries to Ukraine fell for the first time last year, since the war started.

The meeting’s key quote came not from Trump, but from US Secretary of State Marco Rubio, who suggested that Washington is counting on Ukraine negotiating with Russia from a position of strength, rather than relying on plans stemming from the Trump-Putin Alaska summit last August, which has defined the negotiations until now.

"We are currently engaged in a dialogue that takes into account Ukraine's capability to strike deep inside Russia, aren't we?" he said. "I think that is precisely the dynamic that has changed the picture of the war in recent months. Russia is finding it difficult to defend even its own airspace. But we hope this will create an opportunity for negotiations to end this war."

Based on signals given by Bankova and reports of ongoing backchannel talks between the US and Russia, analysts speculate a formal attempt to restart ceasefire talks may be launched in August.

 

Western funding for Ukraine

Facility

Size

Period

What it is / pays for

Ukraine Support Loan newest

€90bn

2026–27

New EU loan agreed April 2026. Split €60bn military / €30bn budget. Repaid only if Russia pays reparations. €7bn out so far.

Ukraine Facility

€50bn

2024–27

EU recovery, reconstruction & reform fund, tied to conditions. €42bn mobilised; €24bn paid into the budget.

G7 ERA loans

$50bn

2024–onward

Extraordinary Revenue Acceleration — loans repaid from interest on frozen Russian assets, not the assets themselves. $35bn delivered; EU share €18.1bn now fully disbursed.

NATO Ankara pledge

€70bn/yr

2026 (+2027)

Military equipment, training & assistance. Mostly repackages existing bilateral aid + the EU loan. US not contributing; 31 allies carry it.

Reparations loan stalled

up to €210bn

proposed

The Commission plans to tap the frozen Russian assets themselves. Blocked by Belgium over legal risk; unresolved.

IMF Extended Fund Facility

$8bn

2026–29

New IMF programme underpinning macro-financial stability, unlocked once the EU loan secured Ukraine's financing path.

Reconstruction need gap

€197bn

post-war

Estimated cost to rebuild Ukraine. The EU has budgeted only €89bn — leaving a €108bn hole, separate from war-fighting needs (bne IntelliNews).

Sources: European Council/Commission, G7, IMF, NATO Ankara declaration. Figures rounded and current to mid-2026; disbursed amounts change month to month. The frozen-asset facilities (ERA, reparations loan) rely on €193bn of Russian assets immobilised at Euroclear in Belgium.


Trump offers Ukraine Patriot production licence in major policy about-face

Trump offers Ukraine Patriot production licence in major policy about-face
US President Trump has done an about face on Ukraine and offered Zelenskiy significant support in his war with Russia, including the right to make desperately needed Patriot missiles. / bne IntelliNewsFacebook
By Ben Aris in Berlin July 8, 2026

After being distracted by the Iran war and cutting off Ukraine’s financial and military aid, US President Donald Trump is back in the Ukraine peace game. In a major policy U-turn, the Trump administration has promised to give Kyiv a licence to make its own desperately needed Patriot missile weapons to fend off Russia’s relentless missile attacks that are destroying the country, Trump said during a press conference at the Ankara Nato summit on July 8.

Trump also did an about face on a mooted drone deal. Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskiy offered Washington a $50bn mega drones-for-weapons deal last year but was rebuffed by Trump who dismissively said “We don’t need any help” at the time. However, after being pounded by Iran’s drones in the first month of the Gulf war it seems that the White House has woken up to Kyiv’s prowess at drone warfare. Now Trump says he wants to buy Ukrainian-made drones, signalling a clear shift in his administration's approach as the US becomes actively involved again in trying to revive peace negotiations with Russia that collapsed in March.

Trump made the twin announcements sitting alongside Zelenskiy at the Nato summit, in what has been described as their “warmest” meeting to date and stands in stark contrast to Trump's confrontational Oval Office meeting with the president of Ukraine last February, when he famously told the Ukrainian leader that he had "no cards". This time round, Trump repeatedly praised Ukraine's technological innovation, described its drone industry as "an amazing ability" and suggested Kyiv had become a defence-industrial “partner” rather than simply an impoverished cousin looking for handouts.

Patriot production

The headline announcement came when Trump confirmed that the US was considering allowing Ukraine to manufacture Patriot interceptors itself, addressing one of Kyiv's most pressing military problems as Russian missile and drone attacks intensify.

Much has been made of Ukraine’s rapid development of drones, but in the drones vs missiles arms race, Russia still has the overwhelming advantage. Ukraine has repeatedly warned that supplies of Patriot interceptor missiles are critically constrained, while US production capacity remains constrained and after the Iran war the backlog in orders has stretched into years. With winter looming, it is widely assumed that Russian President Vladimir Putin will again use his advantage in missile production to try and freeze Ukraine into submission by repeating last winter’s missile attacks on what remains of Ukraine’s power sector. Pre-war Ukraine had just under 60GW of generating capacity. Now it has 10GW left and some regions have already been forced to introduce rolling blackouts during this summer’s heatwave. Kyiv’s skies are open again forcing thousands of residents to shelter in the metro system each night.

"We're going to give a licence to you to make Patriots," Trump said. "Make them yourself."

Trump said Washington would work with the manufacturer to transfer production know-how, adding that Ukrainian engineers possessed the expertise to master the complex system quickly.

"Most countries couldn't do that," Trump said. "This is a very ingenious group."

Calling Patriot "the best" air-defence system in the world, Trump stressed that he preferred defensive weapons to offensive ones but acknowledged the US itself had limited stocks.

"We have Patriots, but we don't have that many. We need them for ourselves too," he said.

If implemented, licensed production would represent one of the most significant transfers of advanced US military technology to Ukraine since Russia's full-scale invasion.

From weapons aid to industrial partnership

Trump also confirmed that Washington wants to purchase Ukrainian drones in another major volte-face. He embraced an idea Zelenskiy floated last year when he proposed a large-scale drones-for-weapons industrial partnership that the White House showed little interest in pursuing.

"We would buy their drones," Trump said. "They have an ability to make a lot of them... It's an amazing ability. In a war situation, they make them in basements. They make them wherever the hell you have a little shelter."

The remarks reflected growing recognition in Washington that Ukraine has become one of the world's leading innovators in low-cost military drone production after more than four years of war in the asymmetrical war that has now become the norm since Russia invaded Ukraine.

Rather than simply supplying weapons to Ukraine, in contrast to the Biden administration, the Trump administration has launched a new direction where it is willing to exchange technology with Kyiv, licensing advanced American air-defence systems while seeking to acquire Ukrainian expertise in mass-produced unmanned systems. This is a significant promotion for Kyiv in its foreign relations standing with the White House.

Putin wants peace

Underlying his changes is an apparent change in attitude by the Trump administration in its assessment of Ukraine’s chances of defeating Russia. Following Trump’s tête-à-tête with Putin at the Alaska summit last August, Trump aggressively promoted Putin’s demands culminating in his “final offer” proposal at a London summit. Trump demanded Zelenskiy accept most of Putin’s demands, which Zelenskiy refused in his counteroffer that started with a call for an unconditional ceasefire before talks could begin. Eventually negotiations started in Riyadh last February, brokered by the US, but went nowhere. That process culminated in the Moscow meeting on December 3 where a 27-point peace plan (27PPP) was thrashed out that Putin said was “almost acceptable.” In parallel, it emerged that Trump had brokered the so-called Dmitriev package of business deals with Russia worth a reported $12 trillion – around five-times more valuable than the entire Russian economy.

Trump seems to have abandoned this mercantile approach to the Ukraine war entirely and is now offering real long-term support to Bankova to keep it in the war as Putin comes under increasing pressure thanks to Ukraine's more aggressive drone attacks on Russian oil refineries. Trump also struck a markedly more optimistic tone on diplomacy than in previous months, insisting that both Vladimir Putin and Zelenskiy now wanted to end the conflict. He spoke to both presidents by phone on the eve of the Nato summit.

"I think he wants to make a deal," Trump said of the Russian president. "I know when people want to make a deal... I think he wants to make a deal."

Asked why he believed Putin was serious, Trump replied simply: "Because I talk to him."

He also acknowledged that Moscow was under increasing strain.

"There's a lot of pressure on President Putin to get it done," Trump said. "I don't think he likes what's going on."

As IntelliNews reported, tensions in the Kremlin are rising between the Kremlin’s doves and the hawks, who both want the conflict to end as the economy comes under increasing pressure, but can’t agree on how to end it: the doves want to declare victory now and stop; the hawks want to call a general mobilisation in the autumn, flood Ukraine with soldiers and rapidly capture the rest of the Donbas.

Trump nevertheless cautioned that wars often become most dangerous immediately before negotiations begin.

"Sometimes you have two kids in a park and they don't like each other and they start fighting," he said. "Sometimes you have to let them fight."

He estimated that around 25,000 Russian soldiers died last month and 35,000 the month before, "more Russians", describing the conflict as "brutal".

Reality on the battlefield

Trump's optimism came against a complex military backdrop. In the run up to the Nato summit, Ukraine’s backers have been guilty of threat escalation, suggesting that Russia is getting ready to attack Poland and the Baltics. At the same time they hype the slowdown of Russia’s advances and have talked of the conflict reaching a “turning point”.

The reality on the battlefield paints a different picture. Russian forces appear close to consolidating control over Kostiantynivka, one of the three key towns in Ukraine's Donbas "fortress belt" and an important step towards Putin’s stated war goal of capturing the remainder of the Donetsk region. Ukrainian troops are reported still to hold isolated positions inside the city, but several analysts believe Russia has effectively established control over most of the urban area while preparing to push towards Druzhkivka, Sloviansk and Kramatorsk – the last holdouts in the fortress belt.

Journalist and military analyst Leonid Ragozin argues that the apparent capture of Kostiantynivka demonstrates that Russia continues to make "slow but steady" territorial gains despite Ukraine's increasingly successful long-range strike campaign against Russian refineries and logistics. Mark Galeotti, the CEO of Mayak Intelligence, argues that this is why Putin remains on the fence between the doves and the hawks as the military situation could still swing either way.

Most tellingly, former Ukrainian commander-in-chief Valerii Zaluzhnyi cautioned against drawing simplistic conclusions from either side's battlefield successes and not to assume that Russia has lost the war.

"Modern warfare no longer rewards tactical victories in the way it once did," he wrote this week in an op-ed for the Telegraph. The war, he argued, had become one of "mutual denial rather than decisive victory", with success increasingly determined by industrial production, logistics, drone warfare and societal resilience rather than movements of the front line.

Zaluzhnyi has bucked the trend and undermined Bankova’s rhetoric before when he gave a controversial interview to the western press saying that the war had reached a stalemate after the AFU’s failed summer offensive in 2023. Those comments brought down a storm of protest and denials from Bankova and led to a personal clash between the president and the highly popular general. Zelenskiy later sacked Zaluzhnyi, who is now his main political rival and likely to defeat Zelenskiy in mooted elections this autumn. As it turned out, Zaluzhnyi was right about the war being stalemated.

Instead of being close to a Russian collapse, Trump seems to think that the war is in another stalemate. Questioned about Ukraine's increasingly effective strikes deep inside Russia, Trump acknowledged that "Russians are finding it more difficult to defend their own airspace", while Secretary of State Marco Rubio argued that the campaign had "changed the dynamics" of the conflict and could help create conditions for negotiations. European leaders are almost universally spinning Ukraine’s position as being one of strength and calling for an “increase in pressure” on Russia to bring Putin to the negotiating table and offer better terms.

Zelenskiy arrived in Ankara visibly a lot more confident than he had been for much of the last four years and argued that Ukraine had seized the technological initiative.

"We are trying to move this war to the sky from the battlefield," he said. "We found another way... to cut their logistics for their army," he said of the highly successful campaign to use Ukraine’s new medium-range drones to attack Russia’s supply lines behind the frontlines.

Security guarantees

The Trump administration seems to have abandoned the 27PPP as a formula to end the conflict and is going back to basics if ceasefire talks resume this summer. The biggest obstacle to any settlement remains coming up with a real security deal. Trump acknowledged that Ukraine would require assurances that Russia would not simply resume the war after any ceasefire is struck.

"We're going to work on some kind of a security package," he said. "I think if we make a deal, Russia is going to be very happy... I don't see it happening again."

In keeping with America’s new National Security Strategy (NSS) introduced in December, Europe, he suggested, would play the principal role, with the US supporting whatever arrangement emerged.

Zelenskiy has consistently argued that credible Western security guarantees are essential if Kyiv is to contemplate any territorial compromise in negotiations with Moscow. Zelenskiy can’t give up any Donbas territory – a key sticking point in the talks with Moscow – unless he can be sure Russia won’t simply reinvade a few years later. That means one of Nato membership, joining the EU and cover from the European’s Article 42/7 collective security guarantee, or at the very least, strong bilateral security deals with the US and leading EU nations. None of these have been forthcoming so a US offer to provide a real deal would be a breakthrough.

Asked whether peace talks could take place in Moscow, Trump said Putin had suggested the Russian capital as a venue.

"I said you're not going to meet in Moscow," Trump recalled.

Zelenskiy has already rejected a Moscow meeting on December 3, countering with a suggestion that Putin comes to Kyiv for talks. During the press conference with Trump he played down the idea of a Moscow meeting again with a wry comment: "It's difficult. There are a lot of Ukrainian drones there. It's dangerous."

Whether Trump's renewed optimism proves justified remains uncertain. But his remarks suggested a White House that increasingly sees the war not simply as a contest of territory, but as one of industrial capacity, technological innovation and endurance—an assessment that increasingly resembles Kyiv's own view of how the conflict is evolving.

More funding for Ukraine

The Ankara summit also delivered a second important win for Kyiv. Nato Secretary General Mark Rutte said allies had pledged €70bn ($80bn) in military assistance for Ukraine in 2026, with a commitment to maintain at least equivalent support in 2027.

The pledge is not an EU budget line but a commitment by individual Nato members, many of which are already struggling to reconcile support for Ukraine with rising domestic defence bills and weak public finances. Its significance is therefore political as much as military: after months of doubts over whether Europe could sustain the war effort, allies have again promised to keep Ukraine funded.

The new package comes on top of the €90bn EU loan agreed in December and covers an expected shortfall this year due to higher than expected military spending.

Even so, the burden is becoming harder to carry in an increasingly dysfunctional European economy. Several governments are warning that they are running out of fiscal space, while calls for higher Nato defence spending are competing with the cost of supporting Kyiv. For example, on the same day as the press conference, the government of the Netherlands announced it has run out of money to support Ukraine. At the same time the EU has just cut its long-term 2028-2034 funding for Ukraine in its next Multiannual Financial Framework (MFF) budget plan due to the growing lack of cash.

For Ukraine, however, the commitment would help cover part of this year’s expected military financing gap and strengthen Zelenskiy’s position as he argues that Russia can still be forced into serious negotiations.

US To Let Ukraine Build Own Patriot Missiles, Trump Says


Patriot missiles. Photo Credit: NATO

July 9, 2026 
EurActiv
By Kjeld Neubert


Key Takeaways

Trump Approves Ukraine Producing Patriot Missiles — The US will grant a license allowing Ukraine to manufacture its own Patriot air defense systems to address critical shortages.

Response to Ukraine’s Urgent Needs — Zelenskyy has long requested more Patriots to counter Russian ballistic missile attacks, as allied stockpiles are depleted and production cannot keep up with demand.

Practical Next Steps — A US team is expected to travel to Ukraine to help transfer the technology, with Trump expressing confidence that manufacturers Raytheon and Lockheed Martin will support the move.



(EurActiv) — US President Donald Trump said on Wednesday that Washington will allow Ukraine to build their own Patriot missiles for its air defence.

Over the last year, Ukraine’s President Volodymyr Zelenskyy has been asking his allies for more of these missiles as they are crucial to defend against Russia’s air attacks.


“A little birdie told me this, about the fact that we’ll give them the right to make Patriots,” Trump said during a joint press event with Zelenskyy at the NATO summit in Ankara. “We are going to give a license to you to make Patriots.”

“This way, you can’t complain that we’re not giving them enough,” Trump added.

The US and allies’ stockpiles of such interceptors were rapidly shrinking when the US and Iran launched their operation against Iran. American stocks depleted fast during the first six weeks of the conflict as Iran attacked neighbours and Western bases throughout the Middle East.

“Today’s wars have shown that current Patriot production is not enough to meet the growing demand for protection against ballistic missiles,” Zelenskyy said on Tuesday, stressing that Ukraine is very much self-reliant in its current defence against Russia, except for anti-ballistic missile systems.

In the joint presser with his Ukrainian counterpart, Trump admitted that he has not informed the companies that produce these missiles – US weapon manufacturers Raytheon and Lockheed Martin – yet.

“But that’ll work out alright,” he said. “I am sure they will be thrilled.”

The US president projected that a team will soon travel to Ukraine in order to show the country’s industry how to build the Patriot missiles themselves.

Kyiv has received multiple Patriot batteries from the US and European allies but arsenals are wearing thin and ammunition donations are becoming rarer at a time when Russia is increasing its attacks with ballistic missiles.

Some international orders of the system have also been pushed back, with Switzerland now considering buying a European alternative instead.


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NATO’s Ankara Summit: The Rearmament Drive And The Critical Minerals Impasse – OpEd

NATO Commits to Major Rearmament — At the 2026 Ankara Summit, the Alliance is pushing forward with the goal of raising defense spending to 5% of GDP by 2035, backed by new procurement contracts and industrial efforts.

Critical Minerals Are the New Bottleneck — China dominates 60–90% of the supply or refining of most of NATO’s 12 critical raw materials needed for defense (lithium, cobalt, rare earths, etc.), creating a major strategic vulnerability.

New Initiative Launched for Supply Security — NATO announced a “High-Visibility Project” involving 12 allies (plus partners like Australia and Japan) to secure procurement, stockpiling, and management of these minerals, aiming to reduce dependence on Beijing.


Ankara’s long-neglected avenues were overnight transformed into smooth asphalt roads for diplomatic guests. Unsightly views along potential protocol routes were concealed behind large canvases. For two days, city residents were left suffocated by overwhelming security measures. Media channels once again chose to focus on the window-dressing: for days, the public agenda was occupied by which park would be closed for the morning jog of French President Emmanuel Macron, who never took off his sunglasses throughout the summit. Headlines were dominated by photographs of Donald Trump presenting an intimate front with President ErdoÄŸan, while experiencing visible friction with Spanish Prime Minister Pedro Sánchez and Italian Prime Minister Giorgia Meloni.

Yet, behind the political theater projected onto screens lay the highly austere agenda of the 36th NATO Summit, held on July 7–8, 2026. Attended fully at the level of heads of state and government from 32 member countries—with Australia, Japan, South Korea, New Zealand, Ukraine, and the European Union also at the table—the summit represented a critical threshold for the Western bloc’s military power projection.

From The Hague to Ankara: The 5% Pledge and Rearmament Momentum

The core axis of the meetings in Ankara was anchored in the radical decision made at the North Atlantic Council in The Hague in June 2025: Alliance members pledged to raise their defense expenditures to 5% of their GDP by 2035. Driven further by the pressure of the Trump administration, the Ankara Summit turned into a platform where operational steps for this massive rearmament drive were taken, military-industrial capacities were showcased, and billion-dollar defense procurement contracts were signed.

However, this aggressive budget expansion and rearmament momentum simultaneously harbor a deep structural vulnerability. In today’s world, having massive defense budgets yields no meaning if your adversaries on the field control your industry’s supply chains. Indeed, NATO’s push to augment its defense capacity is hitting a critical raw materials bottleneck carefully managed and increasingly restricted by Beijing. To expand its defense capabilities, the Western military-industrial complex is currently more dependent on China than ever before in history.

A Predictable Crisis: The 12 Critical Minerals

On the other hand, this structural dependence is by no means a sudden surprise for the Alliance. In June 2024, NATO Defense Ministers approved the “Critical Supply Chain Security Roadmap for the Defense Sector,” mandating that allies build strategic raw material stockpiles, enhance recycling capabilities, and investigate alternative material substitutions. Subsequently, on December 11, 2024, NATO published an official list of 12 critical raw materials, including aluminum, cobalt, graphite, lithium, and rare earth elements. These minerals constitute the fundamental inputs for the Western bloc’s defense industry, spanning from ammunition production to missile navigation systems, aerospace fuselages, and advanced radar technologies.

However, China holds a crushing market share ranging from 60% to 90% in either the mining production or refining processes of at least 10 of these 12 critical minerals defined as vital by NATO; in some, it enjoys an absolute monopoly. Furthermore, Beijing’s share increases year by year, consequently heightening the risk for NATO.

Beijing has proven repeatedly in recent years that it can use this monopoly over critical minerals not merely as a commercial advantage, but directly as a coercive foreign policy instrument. Through export restrictions, China possesses the leverage to slow down or entirely paralyze NATO’s rearmament drive.

The Ankara Initiative: A New Project for Critical Mineral Security


Recognizing that supply security equates directly to military sovereignty, NATO Secretary General Mark Rutte announced during the Ankara Summit the launch of a new “High-Visibility Project” focusing on critical raw materials for defense. Bringing together 12 allies—including Belgium, Canada, Denmark, Finland, Greece, Italy, Luxembourg, the Netherlands, Norway, Spain, Sweden, and Türkiye—this initiative will focus on the procurement, stockpiling, transportation, and management of critical raw materials required for the defense industry.


While the absence of certain “Eastern Flank” members with notable mineral reserves, such as Poland, Romania or Czechia, is an eye-catching omission, the presence of the “Asia-Pacific Four” (Australia, Japan, South Korea, New Zealand) and critical mineral-rich Ukraine in Ankara reflects the West’s resolve to forge an alliance aimed at breaking the Chinese monopoly.

In conclusion, in this new era where global power competition is evolving from conventional deterrence into an industrial and technological war of attrition, military power can no longer be measured solely by the size of allocated financial budgets. Unless the security of critical mineral supply chains is guaranteed, NATO’s multi-billion-dollar rearmament drive will remain a vision built on sand. Consequently, critical mineral supply security will inevitably be one of the top priorities of every subsequent NATO summit.



About Dr. Nejat Tamzok
Dr. Nejat Tamzok received his bachelor's and master's degrees in Mining Engineering from the Middle East Technical University, and his doctorate degree in Political Science and Public Administration from the Ankara University. He also graduated from the Anadolu University Department of History. He has worked at the Turkish Coal Enterprises since 1985, where he has held the positions of Planning Director and Strategic Planning Coordinator. He has participated in the construction of numerous engineering projects throughout his career. He also served as the Editor-in-Chief of the Scientific Mining Journal, a peer-reviewed publication of the Chamber of Mining Engineers of Turkey, from 2016 to 2023. Dr. Tamzok is a member of the Chamber of Mining Engineers of Turkey, the Turkish National Committee of the World Mining Congress, the Turkish National Committee of the World Energy Council, and the Middle East Technical University Alumni Association.
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