Saturday, September 06, 2025

Fascism: A Word That Matters Here and Now

We call Trump a fascist because with each passing day, it rings increasingly true.



A protestor outside a Tesla showroom in Manhattan holds a sign that reads "Block fascism now."
(Photo by Michael Nigro/Pacific Press/LightRocket via Getty Images)

Robert Ivie
Sep 06, 2025
Common Dreams


Words matter in life generally and politics particularly. They are the medium of thought, the means of sensemaking, the vehicle of communication and persuasion. They shape us collectively and individually.

Words, political scientist Francis Beer writes, are “the defining framework for political authority” and “a primary means of motivating political actors.” Our physical and verbal worlds are interconnected and “inseparable,” thus “the political importance of language”: political rhetoric carries and constructs meaning that shapes conduct.

Verbal action “operates parallel to” nonverbal action in multiple ways, Beer notes, formulating and conveying perception, memory, history, story, myth, and message, differentiating friend from foe, articulating preferences, describing trends, developing plans, policies, and strategies, expressing feelings, structuring motives, and constructing identities, interests, and hierarchical relations. In these ways, words matter for citizens, not just political leaders.

Language is structured and structuring, settled and dynamic. It enables us to stabilize and communicate meaning but also to reflect thoughtfully on the key terms of our discourse, to describe, critique, destabilize, revise, and apply them productively as circumstances warrant. As linguistics professor Sally McConnell-Ginet illustrates in Words Matter: Meaning and Power (Cornell University Press, 2020), words are politically potent means of domination but also cooperation, of oppression but also resistance, because their significance can be unsettled and reassigned. Thus, we might come to see their application in new and unexpected ways.

The celebrated achievement of America’s “greatest generation” was their military victory over fascism in defense of democracy. Fascism was perceived as un-American, a threat from abroad, an alien and malevolent enemy of freedom and self-government.

The word "fascism" is a case in point. A label we are not accustomed to associating with American governance, it is increasingly featured in critiques of the Trump administration’s authoritarianism as a way of both describing and rallying resistance to Trump’s escalating overreach and oppression.

A conventional definition of fascism, drawn from the Merriam Webster’s Collegiate Dictionary (10th edition), is “a political philosophy, movement, or regime (as that of the Fascisti) that exalts nation and often race above the individual and that stands for a centralized autocratic government headed by a dictatorial leader, severe economic and social regimentation, and forcible suppression of opposition”; the same entry defines fascism succinctly as “a tendency toward or actual exercise of strong autocratic or dictatorial control.” (A Fascista refers to “a member of an Italian political organization under Mussolini governing Italy 1922–1943 according to the principles of fascism.”)

Benito Mussolini is the embodiment of fascism in our collective memory along with Adolph Hitler, Germany’s more brutal Nazi Führer, and to a lesser extent the Japanese militarists allied with Germany and Italy in World War II. The celebrated achievement of America’s “greatest generation” was their military victory over fascism in defense of democracy. Fascism was perceived as un-American, a threat from abroad, an alien and malevolent enemy of freedom and self-government.

Yet the seeds of fascism sprouted in US soil during the years leading up to World War II. One notorious example of American Nazi proclivity occurred on February 20, 1939, when over 20,000 people attended a Madison Square Garden rally sponsored by the pro-Hitler German American Bund, one of several pro-Nazi organizations in the US. Film footage of the event was compiled in 2017 by documentarian Marshall Curry “as a cautionary tale to Americans.”

The Bund, as Sarah Kate Kramer recounted in 2019 on NPR’s “All Things Considered,” was “one of several organizations in the United States that were openly supportive of Adolf Hitler and the rise of fascism in Europe. They had parades, bookstores and summer camps for youth. Their vision for America was a cocktail of white supremacy, fascist ideology, and American patriotism.”

At the Madison Square Garden rally, swastikas were on full display complete with a 30-foot tall portrait of George Washington (modeling him as America’s first fascist), US and Nazi flags, Nazi arm bands and salutes, martial drummers and music, the American national anthem, a German-accented pledge of allegiance, and a “vigilante police force dressed in the style of Hitler’s SS troops.” Speakers called for a return of the country to the rule of true American white gentiles. Fritz Kuhn, the Bund’s leader, opened his speech with the call to “Wake up! You, Aryan, Nordic and Christians, to demand that our government be returned to the people who founded it!”



New Yorkers, numbering 100,000, protested the event; the US government took steps to suppress the Bund after the rally; and the Bund met its demise with Germany’s declaration of war on the US. Yet, as Kramer concludes, “the white supremacist ideology they championed remains.” Indeed, the 1939 Bund rally has been cited as precedent for the violent August, 2017 “Unite the Right” white-nationalist rally in Charlottesville, Virginia. The Nazi outburst in pre-war Depression years grew out of a history of American authoritarianism. The Bund rally in Madison Square Garden is one of the country’s own fascistic precedents.

Trump was President in 2017 when the Charlottesville rally occurred, a rally that turned violent and that the Virginia state police declared unlawful. It consisted of neo-fascists, neo-Nazis, white nationalists, Klansmen, and far-right militias. Some carried weapons, some chanted racist and antisemitic slogans, some carried Confederate battle flags. Violence occurred when the protesting marchers engaged counter protesters. A white supremacist drove his car into a group of counter protesters, killing one woman and injuring 35 other people. Trump condemned “the display of hatred, bigotry, and violence on many sides” and subsequently said there were “very fine people on both sides” and “blame on both sides,” suggesting an equivalency between the two sides for which he was roundly criticized. (See “Unite the Right Rally” on Wikipedia for a detailed account of the rally.)

There has been no hedging by Trump since he took office for a second term on January 20, 2025. He stated during his campaign that he intended to be a dictator on Day 1, an intention that has extended in quick order from Day 1 forward. An onslaught of executive power overwhelming Constitutional checks and balances and assaulting democratic principles was immediately recognized by critics as the work of an authoritarian and increasingly is seen as fascistic.

The difference between authoritarianism and fascism is largely a matter of degree. An authoritarian expects blind submission and a concentration of power unhampered by responsibility to a people who are allowed only restricted political freedoms. A fascist is an extreme right-wing authoritarian with totalitarian propensities, pursuing total control over the state while propagandizing a racist brand of nationalism and viciously suppressing dissent. Acting as a right-wing populist, the fascist demagogue claims to “represent” the people and actively mobilizes their sometimes-violent support.

As Robert Longley recently put the matter of fascism:
The foundation of fascism is a combination of ultranationalism—an extreme devotion to one’s nation over all others—along with a widely held belief among the people that the nation must and will be somehow saved or “reborn.” Rather than working for concrete solutions to economic, political, and social problems, fascist rulers divert the people’s focus while winning public support by elevating the idea of a need for a national rebirth into a virtual religion. To this end, fascists encourage the growth of cults of national unity and racial purity.

Further, Longley and others report, fascist (or neo-fascist) dictators typically extol militarism and promote military readiness, assert dominance over other countries, undertake aggressive military actions, engage in territorial conquest and expansion, suppress domestic opposition (with police and military force, propaganda, and/or mass violence), attack universities, advance state-controlled corporate capitalism with protectionist policies such as tariffs, aim for national self-sufficiency, portray themselves as defenders of traditional Christian family values, manipulate elections to remain in power, and cultivate a cult of personality in which the dictator symbolically embodies the nation.




By this account, Trump—followed by his MAGA cult—is no less than an aspirational neo-fascist pursuing policies that closely resemble fascism. Some experts have maintained that he is better described as an authoritarian; other experts, including Yale University historian Timothy Snyder, have fled to Canada in the belief that the US is becoming a fascist dictatorship. Serena Dash, writing for the Fordham Political Review, concluded that “after the first month of Trump’s second term, no doubt should remain of whether or not the ‘fascist’ label applies.” It does.

The fascistic trajectory of Trump’s rule is manifested in his actions since Day 1. Some glaring examples include military occupation of cities governed by elected Democrats; deployment of masked ICE agents by the massively funded Immigration Enforcement and Customs agency and its growing prison system; defying court orders; attacking universities to undermine academic freedom, dictate curriculum, and bar student protests; aggressive gerrymandering and other election maneuvering to retain power; repressing news media for unfavorable news coverage, editorials, and programing; targeting critics for federal prosecution; imposing his will on key industries in the private sector, including keeping track of which corporations are loyal to him and therefore candidates for tax and regulatory benefits and exclusion from federal lawsuits; enriching himself at the public’s expense; and so on.

Fascism is no longer a word relevant only to other countries and applicable to a threat from abroad. As Serena Dash observes:
The discourse around Donald Trump being a fascist is not just an academic exercise; it is essential for recognizing and addressing the potential dangers he poses to democratic institutions and social equality and knowing how to combat it. The utility of using a term like “fascism” is that it has successfully been thwarted and fought before.Words matter. And right now, the words we use to describe Trump’s rule matter greatly. There is a reason why growing numbers of commentators, activists, and political leaders are calling Trump a fascist—because with each passing day, it rings increasingly true. The remnant of the country’s founding aspirations of liberty and self-governance “seems now to be shrinking day by day,” writes political scientist Jeffrey Isaac. “Whether it will survive the next few years [of Trump’s repression] is an open question.”


Our work is licensed under Creative Commons (CC BY-NC-ND 3.0). Feel free to republish and share widely.


Robert Ivie is Professor Emeritus in English (Rhetoric) and American Studies at Indiana University, Bloomington. His latest book, with Oscar Giner, is After Empire: Myth, Rhetoric, and Democratic Revival (2024). Others books include: Hunt the Devil: A Demonology of U.S. War Culture (2015), with Oscar Giner; Dissent from War (2007); and Democracy and America’s War on Terror (2005). For additional information and blogposts see his website and blog.
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Submarine cable damage may degrade internet services during peak hours: 
Pakistan Telecommunications Limited 

Umaid Ali 
September 6, 2025 
DAWN


The Pakistan Telecommunications Limited (PTCL) announced on Saturday that cuts to submarine internet cables in Saudi waters may impact internet services in the country during peak hours.

In a statement shared on X, the telecom giant said the submarine cable cuts near Saudi capital Jeddah had impacted the partial bandwidth capacity SMW4 (South Asia-Middle East-West Asia) and IMEWE (India-Middle East-Western Europe) networks.

“Internet users in Pakistan may experience some service degradation during peak hours,” the PTCL statement read. “Our international partners are working on priority to resolve the issue while our local teams are actively arranging alternative bandwidth to minimise the impact.”

The Ministry of Information Technology has not issued any statement on the development yet.

This is not the first time that damage to undersea internet cables has affected services in Pakistan.

Internet users across Pakistan complained of slow internet and hindered access to services throughout 2024. On January 3 this year, PTCL said teams were “diligently” working to resolve the matter of disruptions faced by users after a fault in the AAE-1 subsea internet cable connecting Pakistan slowed down the network speed in the country.

On January 16, PTCL announced that internet services were “now fully operational” after the complete restoration of the Asia-Africa-Europe-1 (AAE-1) undersea internet cable.
NCSW calls for standardising minimum marriage age across Pakistan

The Newspaper's Staff Reporter 
Published September 6, 2025 
DAWN

ISLAMABAD: National Commission on the Status of Women (NCSW), in collaboration with UNFPA and Legal Aid Society, convened a consultation on Friday to address the pressing issue of child marriage in Pakistan.

Opening the session, Ume Laila Azhar, who is NCSW chairperson, stressed the urgent need to standardise the minimum age of marriage across Pakistan, highlighting persistent gaps in the implementation despite Sindh pioneering law.

Key insights were shared by government representatives, law enforcement, civil society and community stakeholders emphasising on more female station house officer (SHOs) and specialised training for handling child marriage cases.

Reforms in nikah registration through digitisation and mandatory CNIC verification were also emphasised by participants. Among other demands was on strengthening Sindh Child Protection Authority’s role with resources and awareness. Participants also emphasised on government ownership to ensure sustainability and real improvements.

Shaheena Sher Ali, who is Minister Women’s Development Department Sindh, reaffirmed strong government commitment, stating, “We have been personally taking on cases of child marriage, abuse, and abduction, and we know firsthand challenges survivors face.”

The consultation concluded with a joint call to action on strengthening CMRA implementation, scaling up community awareness, engaging religious leaders, and ensuring coordinated government and civil society efforts. Participants stressed on wearing team jackets to protect the rights of girls and ensure a safer future for every child.

Published in Dawn, September 6th, 2025
HPV vaccine


Editorial 
Published September 6, 2025
DAWN



BY and large, it is the low-income countries that face the greatest burden of disease. Several factors contribute to this sobering reality including poor access to healthcare and inadequate resources. Which is why regular vaccine campaigns, undertaken to prevent the onset of many of the illnesses seen mostly in developing nations, are absolutely crucial in a country like ours. In this context, the planned addition of a new vaccine to the Expanded Programme on Immunisation is a welcome development. The campaign for the phased rollout of the human papillomavirus vaccine to prevent cervical cancer is set to begin on Sept 15. In Sindh, the aim is to immunise 4.1m girls from nine to 14 years against the virus — although once incorporated fully in the EPI, the focus will shift to nine-year-olds and hopefully become part of a school-outreach programme. The campaign will be rolled out in Punjab, ICT and AJK at the same time; in KP in 2026; and in Balochistan and GB in 2027.

Without regular screening cervical cancer can go undetected in females, especially as symptoms may be absent in the early stages. And in a country like Pakistan, where routine pelvic examinations are not actively recommended, negligence can cost lives. Around 5,000 women in the country are diagnosed with cervical cancer each year; 60pc of them succumb to the disease. And these are only the numbers recorded. It is safe to assume that the actual number of cases for this cancer — the second most common one among women of child-bearing age — is far higher. By including the vaccine in the EPI, then, it is hoped that awareness levels are heightened — perhaps, the mothers of the young girls that the HPV vaccine will target under the EPI will learn enough about the risks of cervical cancer to take precautionary steps themselves through inoculation or regular screening. It appears to be a goal worth pursuing.

Published in Dawn, September 6th, 2025
PAKISTAN

Power shift

Raza Ahmed Khan | Jamshed Ali 
September 5, 2025 
DAWN

PAKISTAN is in the grip of another extreme monsoon season. Once again, cloudbursts and flash floods in KP and parts of Punjab have damaged infrastructure, displaced communities and laid bare the country’s deep vulnerability to climate change. We no longer need to ask whether climate disasters will strike. They are here and they are escalating. What we must ask instead is: how do we redesign our systems to survive these shocks and reduce the risks that fuel them?

The answer begins with how we produce and use energy. While attention often falls on fuel prices, power plants, or the national grid, one major sector remains overlooked: industry. Factories are seen as consumers of energy, but they can become a key part of the solution. Cleaner, more efficient industrial systems will make Pakistan more self-reliant, cost-efficient and climate-resilient.

The textile and apparel sector alone accounts for over half of Pakistan’s export revenues. So if just one segment of industry carries that much weight, imagine how deeply the entire export base depends on stable, reliable energy for industrial production. Power outages and unstable supply lead to missed deadlines, rising costs and lost contracts. If we want to keep our economy afloat and our exports competitive, we must start treating industrial energy security as a national priority.

Currently, the industrial sector consumes more than 37 per cent of Pakistan’s total energy. Less than 30pc of that energy comes from renewable sources. This lack of diversification exposes industries to global fuel price fluctuations, rising import bills and tightening international emissions standards. In 2023 alone, Pakistan’s energy import bill crossed $11.9 billion, while industrial emissions continued to climb.

Other countries have shown what’s possible. China has steadily electrified its manufacturing sector, improving efficiency while maintaining growth. Germany helped its industries switch to renewables by offering long-term contracts and guaranteed grid access. These transitions improved both environmental and economic outcomes.

Pakistan has set clear targets for renewables: 20pc of electricity by 2025 and 30pc by 2030. But these goals are unlikely to be met without industrial participation. Ambition on paper will not drive change unless it is backed by financing, implementation, and accountability.

Industrial energy security should be a national priority.


There are some encouraging signs. By mid-2025, Pakistan’s industrial zones were sourcing over 1,800 megawatts from wind and more than 500 MW from solar. The textile, cement and agro-processing sectors are beginning to lead this transition. Biomass plants in sugar and rice mills are also starting to show commercial and environmental promise. Still, significant barriers remain. Much of Pakistan’s industrial infrastructure is outdated. SMEs, which make up over 90pc of all businesses, often lack the capital to invest in cleaner technologies. Compliance with energy efficiency standards is inconsistent and energy audits are often overlooked.

To accelerate change, Pakistan must mobilise targeted financing. Green bonds, concessional loans and public guarantees can reduce risk for industrial investment. Tax credits for solar, biomass and energy-efficient upgrades would send a strong market signal and make clean choices more viable.

The transition also depends on people. Pakistan needs a new generation of engineers, auditors, and energy managers trained in efficiency solutions and renewable technologies. Partnerships with universities, vocational institutes and the private sector can help build this critical ca­­pacity. Public-private partnerships can ex­­p­and the scale of cha­n­­ge. Under CPEC, joint ventures have already supported large solar and wind projects. Similar models could accelerate rooftop solar and biomass adoption in industrial zones, particularly if they are aligned with green priorities. Development partners like the Asian Development Bank, International Finance Corporation and GIZ continue to support Pakistan’s energy goals. But their contributions will only go so far without domestic clarity, consistency and political will.

This transition is not just about climate targets. It is about energy security, cost competitiveness, and economic survival. Cleaner energy reduces costs, builds supply chain resilience and opens new markets. For Pakistan’s industries, this is an opportunity to lead, while the rest of the world catches up. The country’s energy future will not be shaped in power plants alone. It will be shaped in factories, where decisions about energy, innovation and investment will determine whether Pakistan powers ahead or falls behind.

Raza Ahmed Khan is Research Economist at the National Energy Efficiency and Conservation Authority. Jamshed Ali is Joint Director Policy at Neeca.

Published in Dawn, September 5th, 2025
PAKISTAN

COMMENT: WHY THE INDUS WATERS TREATY MATTERS GLOBALLY

September 6, 2025
DAWN



A view of the River Indus near Skardu in the Gilgit-Baltistan region of Pakistan | Creative 


Picture this: the United States, the United Kingdom, Germany, Canada, New Zealand, Pakistan, India and the World Bank sitting around the same table with a shared mission — creating one of the world’s most successful examples of international cooperation. This isn’t diplomatic wishful thinking; it’s exactly what happened in the 1950s when these nations came together to forge the Indus Waters Treaty (IWT).

While headlines today focus on border skirmishes and political discord between India and Pakistan, this remarkable partnership of countries quietly built something extraordinary: a regional public good that has fed 300 million people, powered two economies, and survived the Cold War and border skirmishes for over 60 years.

THE STAKES — THEN AND NOW

When Pakistan gained independence in 1947, potential water wars in the Subcontinent posed a global threat. Rather than leaving it to chance, the international community acted decisively. Each country brought different strengths — financial resources, technical expertise, diplomatic capital and local knowledge — to build infrastructure and institutions that have lasted over six decades.


Today, both India and Pakistan stand at critical economic junctures. India races to realise its potential as a global economic powerhouse. Pakistan struggles with economic stability amid mounting climate threats, economic instability and regional tensions that have begun eroding half a century of development gains.


Forged by an unlikely alliance of world powers, the treaty is a stunning example of international cooperation that has survived wars and nuclear stand-offs. Now, it faces a new enemy in political collapse and climate change…

For India, continued cooperation isn’t diplomatic nicety. It is an economic necessity. The country’s ambitious manufacturing and technology sectors depend on stable agricultural supply chains and regional trade routes. Water conflicts would disrupt these foundations just as India seeks larger shares of global markets.

Pakistan faces starker realities. Climate change has intensified flooding and drought cycles, making predictable water flows guaranteed by the treaty literally lifesaving. The country’s economic recovery plans depend heavily on agricultural exports and energy generation, both impossible without the water security the IWT provides.

Regional trade between these nuclear neighbours remains far below potential, partly due to political tensions. This precarious situation is exactly what the treaty’s architects sought to prevent, building a system so robust it has defied the odds for over six decades

WHY THE TREATY WORKS

The IWT represents something unique in international relations: a genuine multilateral success story, where developed and developing nations pooled resources to create lasting regional prosperity. What economists call a “regional public good” — a resource that benefits everyone in a region regardless of contribution — was deliberately constructed through unprecedented international cooperation.

The scale of commitment was extraordinary. The founding partners, working through the World Bank (WB), invested what amounts to $8 billion in today’s money. This wasn’t charity. It was strategic investment in regional stability and economic development that has paid dividends for decades.

The treaty succeeded because it aligned individual national interests with collective regional benefits. Every participating country gained something valuable: India and Pakistan secured predictable water access, contributing nations advanced regional stability objectives, and the WB established a template for successful development cooperation.

The numbers demonstrate the treaty’s economic impact. The Indus basin supports the world’s largest contiguous irrigation system, feeding millions directly. The Green Revolution that transformed South Asia from food-deficit to food-surplus was built on the foundation of reliable water-sharing provided by the treaty. Rice paddies in Punjab, wheat fields in Sindh, and cotton farms across the basin all depend on this cooperative framework.

This ingenious treaty not only serves as an economic engine, but also functions as a bulwark against a shared and devastating failure.

THE COST OF FAILURE

Without this framework, agricultural collapse would trigger food insecurity across South Asia and beyond. The treaty prevents what economists call “tragedy of the commons” — destructive competition over shared resources that leaves everyone worse off.

Beyond immediate economic benefits, the Indus Basin represents something more profound: a piece of humanity’s shared heritage that transcends national boundaries. The Indus Valley was home to humanity’s earliest civilisations, where agriculture, cities and trade first flourished 5,000 years ago. The river system that sustained those ancient societies continues to support one of the world’s most densely populated regions today.

The scientific community increasingly recognise major river systems, such as the Indus, as global commons — ecosystems whose health affects the entire planet — joining other critical systems such as the Amazon Rainforest, the Congo Basin, the Great Barrier Reef and Antarctica, which are viewed as a common heritage of humankind. The Indus basin’s glacial systems help regulate regional climate patterns. Its wetlands provide crucial biodiversity habitat. Its agricultural output contributes to global food security.

The treaty’s importance will only grow as climate change intensifies. The Himalayas, source of the Indus system, are warming faster than the global average. Glacial melt patterns are shifting. Monsoon cycles are becoming less predictable. Extreme weather events are increasing in frequency and intensity.

These changes don’t respect national borders. India and Pakistan must adapt together or fail separately. The treaty’s existing framework for data sharing, joint technical committees and dispute resolution provides institutional foundation needed for emergent issues. Article VII of the treaty provides the legal foundation for “future cooperation” and “optimum development” of the rivers, yet it has remained largely unutilised.

Forward-looking economists argue that disaster-resilient infrastructure and cooperative resource management will be key competitive advantages in the coming decades. Countries that maintain stable agricultural production, reliable water supplies and peaceful regional relationships will attract investment and trade partnerships.

The model that averted failure — and managed complex pressures — now serves as a blueprint for the world.

THE GLOBAL BLUEPRINT

The WB’s role demonstrates how international institutions can facilitate regional public goods, while maintaining neutrality. Despite governance structures that give major donors significant voting power, the WB keeps treaty functions strictly neutral and technical. This preserves credibility as an honest broker, while ensuring stakeholders maintain oversight.

The Bank served as both architect and guarantor of the IWT, channelling international contributions while maintaining operational independence necessary for neutral facilitation. This governance model — combining board oversight with institutional neutrality — has proven remarkably durable, surviving multiple wars, political crises and leadership changes in all participating countries.

This model has global implications. From the Mekong River in Southeast Asia to the Nile in Africa, transboundary water systems worldwide face similar pressures. The IWT offers a template for how international coalitions can facilitate regional public goods that benefit entire regions while respecting national sovereignty.

THE PATH FORWARD

The IWT stands as proof that international partnerships can create enduring regional public goods when they commit sufficient resources and design proper institutions. The choice facing the original coalition partners isn’t about water allocation — it’s about preserving a mechanism that has served global stability for over six decades.

The smart economic choice, the environmentally responsible choice and the globally minded choice all point toward protecting this remarkable achievement. In a world seeking models for successful multilateral cooperation, this eight-nation vision offers a blueprint for the kind of collective action that will define prosperity and stability in the 21st century.

However, the original leadership now faces a critical choice. Their investments in regional stability, their stake in South Asian prosperity, and their share in global trade and resilience all depend on preserving this cooperative framework. As nuclear tensions rise and climate pressures mount, these eight partners must actively intervene to protect not just a treaty, but their own strategic interests in regional peace, economic stability, and the multilateral cooperation model they pioneered.

The IWT isn’t just South Asia’s treasure — it’s proof of what the international community can achieve when it commits to building something bigger than itself.

The writer is a climate change and sustainable development expert


Published in Dawn, EOS, September 6th, 2025

Floods and fertility — a necessary crisis
September 1, 2025
DAWN


Several boats carrying fishermen are seen downstream at Kotri barrage on August 30, which has remained in low floods for the past several days. — Umair Ali

The magnitude of damages caused by the recent floods in southern Punjab is huge. People of the area are reeling from floods triggered by the release of water from dams by India. Painful scenes are being televised showing human and livestock displacements at a large scale.

The situation in Sindh, however, is different. Those dependent on the Indus River find themselves in a kind of euphoria. Riverine floods — provided they pass safely from three barrages — are always considered a positive sign by people for their socioeconomic conditions, especially in deltaic regions.

A riverine flood is in fact a volume of water passing safely between two dykes of the river into the Arabian Sea. Such volumes of water are also described as environmental flows necessary for reviving the otherwise dying Indus delta that once used to thrive in terms of agriculture and other resources.

Come every summer cropping season, growers always paint a gloomy picture as far as water flows at Kotri Barrage are concerned for the cultivation of Kharif crops. For most of the period during early summer, water flows remain unavailable till May. It is only in monsoon-cum-flood season when flows start showing improvement and water becomes available.

As Punjab grapples with the harsh reality of urban flooding, Sindh’s riverine dwellers rejoice over the abundance of fish, fertile silt and soil, and a recharged groundwater table

Similar shortages were seen earlier in 2025 when mango orchards were hit by unavailability of water at critical growing times, and water shortages were recorded as high as 65 per cent at Kotri Barrage and 85pc at Guddu barrage. This year Sindh lost 35pc of its cotton acreage, as per agriculture department figures, due to severe water shortages in critical times.

Flows do start improving around June-July when Kotri barrage starts receiving adequate flows in August after the Guddu and Sukkur barrages. Kotri barrage was in low floods until Saturday amidst reports that discharges from eastern rivers would increase flows in Sindh, too.

Such flows are expected to reach Sindh in September’s first week. A discharge of close to 1.1 million cusecs was recorded until August 27 in Punjab at Qadirabad and Khanki barrages over Chenab. These flows would — after spreading within southern Punjab — ultimately enter Sindh to reach the Arabian Sea.

Guddu and Sukkur barrages have already passed high and medium riverine floods in July and August. With the anticipation of more floodwaters by Sindh irrigation minister Jam Khan Shoro and officials — this time generated in eastern rivers — Sindh would again be bracing for a ‘very high’ flood, prompting authorities to make arrangements for flood fighting accordingly.

“Let more water reach us,” says Munawar Baloch, a resident of the Indus delta region Kharrochhan, where the Indus meets the Arabian Sea. According to him, people in his region are rejoicing over these flows that support aquatic life. “We see an increase in fish production besides crabs and shrimps. Not only this, but mangrove forests show impressive growth in their health,” he said, alluding to the coastal trees that serve as natural barriers against cyclones by dissipating tidal waves’ energy.

He pointed out that livestock health improves after drinking the river’s water. Mr Baloch had to relocate to Bagan city, situated around 27km away from Kharrochhan — a victim of massive sea intrusion that has been devouring land in the delta. Baloch himself deals in the crab trade. Crabs are mostly exported to China and other countries.

“Palla fish is mostly caught here [the delta], and, yes admittedly, banned nets are used by the fishing community here to catch plenty of this species for income generation,” he said. Palla, known for its aroma and taste, remains available in the river only for a limited time — flood season. It is found and caught in Kotri barrage’s downstream. Fishermen are always excited for catching Palla during the monsoon, as it gives them an extra buck when compared with the price of other fish.

Floods also inundate riverine area — commonly known in Sindh as katcha. This is considered beneficial for katcha dwellers and the area. These floods bring silt that is deposited in the floodplains to make soil fertile and soak river embankments. Agriculture in katcha areas is common between two dykes of the river. Even large-scale commercial farming of sugarcane, a high delta crop, is performed in the area.

Sindh had witnessed a super flood 15 years back (August 2010) when one-fourth of Pakistan was hit by massive floods and rainfall. The infamous Tori Dyke breach had caused unprecedented displacement of people in upper Sindh in 2010 and then in lower Sindh due to another breach at Kot Almo in undivided Thatta. The two breaches had led to the formation of a Supreme Court-led judicial commission that came up with important findings.

Kotri barrage had then passed a flow of 939,442 cusecs on Aug 27, 2010, after Guddu passed a discharge of 1,148,200 cusecs and Sukkur 1,108,795 cusecs. Later, it was in 2015 and 2022 when the Kotri barrage had passed a high flood in August and September, respectively.

“After a long gap and severe drought, the Indus delta is receiving necessary environmental flows. The [Indus] Delta was once a pristine ecosystem that’s degrading due to persistent water scarcity,” comments Naseer Memon, who regularly writes on Sindh’s water issue. According to him, deltaic communities eagerly wait for monsoon rains and flows below Kotri barrage as the livelihoods of millions of katcha dwellers is linked to groundwater that is recharged after inundation of floodplains.

Floods are also attributable to climate change-induced weather patterns in the country, the impacts of which have become more pronounced in the recent past, especially after the late 90s, when climate change became a point of heated debate.

Statistics on the downstream Kotri barrage flows assessed between the 1956-57 and 2023-24 periods by the irrigation department. A reading of the chart shows that annual Kotri downstream flows were 61.2m acre feet (MAF) between 1956-57 and 1975-76; 40.7 MAF between 1976-77 and 1998-99; 26.8 MAF between 1976-77 and 2023-24; and 14.04 MAF between 1999-2000 and 2023-24. The month-wise Kotri flows record a declining trend between April-March of 1999-2023 when compared with the 1976-1998 period.

Published in Dawn, The Business and Finance Weekly, September 1st, 2025

Blood moon


Rafia Zakaria 
September 6, 2025 
DAWN



THIS Sunday, almost six billion people in many parts of the world will witness a total lunar eclipse and blood moon. The strange and eerie darkness of an eclipse has a mystical quality about it that has fascinated human beings since the dawn of time. If the sky is not covered by thick monsoon clouds, people in Pakistan will be able to witness the eclipse as well.

Why a blood moon? As per National Geographic, “During totality, sunlight streaming through Earth’s atmosphere is bent and scattered, filtering out the blue light and letting the redder wavelengths shine onto the moon. … Depending on our planet’s atmospheric conditions, the shade can range from bright orange to a deep, rusty red.” The science of eclipses is fascinating but the myths accompanying them and the history surrounding them are even more so.

Eclipses are mentioned in the scriptures, including in Muslim traditions. Many have interpreted eclipses as a negative sign. For instance, one interpretation of the Talmud is that it is a bad omen for the world, including Israel. Describing the end times, the Christian Bible mentions them as well: “The sun shall be turned into darkness, and the moon into blood, before the great and terrible day of the Lord.” Evangelical Christian and some Jewish religious scholars have linked their reading of eclipses to prophetic symbolism, citing groups of four eclipses taking place during a short period (tetrad). Some may well see Sunday’s eclipse as the second in such a tetrad.

As if this mix of fact and fiction were not enough for those fascinated by the convergence of science and belief, there are chronicles of historical events that supposedly occurred during a ‘blood moon’ eclipse. One spectacular event was the Ottoman conquest of Const­antinople (Istanbul). The year was 1453 and the Ottomans had their sights set on Constantinople. They had wanted the city for decades and had carried out several unsuccessful sieges of it.


Sunday’s eclipse will make for a haunting spectacle.

The Christian city was the last bulwark of the declining Roman Empire in the East. The Ottomans had encircled the city. The citizens of Constantinople were weary of war and they were scared of what would befall them. Apparently, the people believed in an ancient prophecy that the city would fall under the shadow of a blood moon and when such a moon actually appeared they must have been terrified. The Ottomans, on the other hand, must have seen it as a sign of victory.

According to some historians, this dual imagery created a potent psychological weapon that had not been present in earlier sieges of the city. In short, the Christians living in the city were convinced that the end of their city was near, despite its strong fortifications. Conversely, the Ottoman warriors felt that this blood moon would lead them to victory and the conquest of Cons­tantinople. The night sky, with a glowing red moon, resembling the one that will be seen on Sunday evening, could well have contributed to the fall of a city that many had believed could not be conquered.

This was not the only time an eclipse became a psychological weapon. Chri­stopher Columbus, the Spanish explorer who sailed out to ‘discover’ America, managed to calculate the date of an upcoming total lunar eclipse — Feb 29, 1504. Since eclipses are always eerie spectacles, he capitalised on the fact and told the Native American Arawaks that the divine powers were angry at them for denying him and his crew food and supplies. When the eclipse actually took place a few days later, the people were frightened into giving him and his crew food and water and Colum­bus and his men were saved.

For time immemorial, eclipses have also been given an astrological hue, with the water sign Pisces, that is supposed to affect marine events, believed to have a ‘deep connection’ with the cosmic event. New beginnings and a cosmic reset are predicted by astrologers for those born under the water sign.

But regardless of your zodiac sign, you will be able to witness an extraordinary and spectacular event on Sunday evening — if the night skies are uncovered. When you experience the sight of a glowing red moon against the deep darkness of the universe above, you might reflect on the same haunting spectacle as ancient soothsayers, Ottoman soldiers and the Arawak people, who were duped by Christopher Columbus via an expected celestial event, did. The history of the world is not just told through history books but also through the night sky.

The writer is an attorney teaching constitutional law and political philosophy.
rafia.zakaria@gmail.com
Published in Dawn, September 6th, 2025

Diplomatic tour de force: China’s Xi shows he’s ‘totally in charge’

Published September 5, 2025



Chinese President Xi Jinping speaks during a military parade marking the 80th anniversary of the end of World War II, in Beijing, China, in this picture released by the Korean Central News Agency, on September 3, 2025. — Reuters/File Photo

When Chinese leader Xi Jinping organised his first parade to mark the anniversary of the end of World War II, in 2015, he placed his two predecessors by his side in a show of respect and continuity of leadership.

Ten years on and having eliminated domestic opposition as he serves an unprecedented third term as president, Xi was flanked on Wednesday at the 80th anniversary parade by Russia’s Vladimir Putin and North Korea’s Kim Jong Un.

Chinese Communist Party leaders were interspersed among overseas guests. The parade followed Xi’s high-profile summit with Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi at a weekend meeting of the Shanghai Cooperation Organisation (SCO) in Tianjin, and the Chinese leader’s rare visit to Tibet last month.

This display of diplomatic clout, stamina and geopolitical ambition has helped quell concerns among some China observers about the 72-year-old president’s vitality, linked to sporadic absences and — so far unknown — succession plans. It has also helped divert domestic attention from slowing growth, experts say.



Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi talks with Russian President Vladimir Putin and Chinese President Xi Jinping ahead of the Shanghai Cooperation Organisation Summit 2025 at the Meijiang Convention and Exhibition Centre in Tianjin, China, on September 1, 2025. — Reuters

Longevity was on the leaders’ minds as they walked up to the rostrum at Beijing’s Tiananmen Square — Xi and Putin were caught in a hot mic moment discussing organ transplants and the possibility that humans could live to 150 years old.

“This week of triumphant diplomacy for Xi shows that he remains totally in charge of the elite politics of the Communist Party,” said Neil Thomas of the Asia Society, a New York-based think tank. Unable to get the same legitimacy from economic growth as his predecessors, Xi has turned toward nationalism “to try and make up for it”, Thomas said.

“It’s a way to divert attention from economic challenges and to make his citizens proud to be Chinese, even if it’s harder to feel that from the day-to-day experiences of unemployment, falling house prices and stagnant wages.”

Graphics showing China’s 2025 military tech highlights.



Xi underscored his elder statesman image with fashion choices: a grey suit in the style of those worn by Mao Zedong, matching his greying hair, in contrast to the black suits of his counterparts and his own black attire from a decade earlier.

His number two, Premier Li Qiang, whose role has diminished at home, was charged with relatively minor meetings with leaders of Malaysia and Uzbekistan. High-profile engagements with Kim, Modi, Turkish President Tayyip Erdogan and several others fell to Cai Qi, who heads the party’s Central Secretariat, responsible for its sprawling administration.

In response to a Reuters request for comment, China’s foreign ministry referred to news conference transcripts related to the recent diplomatic events, showcasing China’s partnerships with developing nations and positioning Beijing as committed to peaceful development and international cooperation.

















Chinese President Xi Jinping and Democratic People’s Republic of Korea (DPRK) leader Kim Jong Un shake hands at the Great Hall of the People in Beijing, China, on September 4, 2025. — Reuters


Many countries that sent their leaders to China in the past week have been hit by US President Donald Trump’s trade tariffs this year, including India, which remains a significant buyer of Russian oil, hit by sanctions over Putin’s invasion of Ukraine.

In one of the most memorable moments in the flurry of diplomatic encounters, Modi and Putin walked over for a chat with Xi while holding hands, underscoring personal tensions between Trump and Modi, as well as Washington’s failure to draw historically non-aligned India in to counter Russia and China.

“Ultimately one of the biggest driving factors of the SCO show of solidarity has been US policy,” said Even Pay, a director at strategic advisory firm Trivium China.

Trump, who called the military parade “beautiful” and “very, very impressive”, made a barbed post on social media saying China was working with Putin and Kim to “conspire against The United States of America”.

The Kremlin responded that they were not conspiring and suggested Trump’s remarks were ironic.















Russian President Vladimir Putin and Chinese President Xi Jinping take part in a photo ceremony at the Shanghai Cooperation Organisation summit in Tianjin, China, on September 1, 2025. — Reuters


Hit by Trump, welcomed by Xi


Analysts say Xi’s whirlwind of activity underscores China’s ambition in presenting itself as a reliable partner to developing nations on the global stage, offering advantages like investment opportunities and even a new development bank — a major step forward for the SCO, which has expanded markedly over past decades to also include India, Pakistan and Iran.

“China’s message as a more reliable, stable alternative to the United States is resonating with large swathes of the world, particularly across Asia, which sees the United States as an increasingly belligerent force in world affairs,” said Eric Olander, editor-in-chief of the China-Global South Project, a research agency.

“A lot of developing countries and middle-power states may still be a bit ambivalent about what China’s proposing with its new governance and development initiatives, but at least what China is talking about is forward-looking, which is crucial for economies with large populations of young people looking for better employment opportunities,” Olander said.

Xi faces considerable challenges in managing this large and often fractious coalition as he eyes a potential fourth term of office in 2027 to further cement his legacy as the most powerful Chinese leader since Mao.


Leaders, including Chinese President Xi Jinping and Russian President Vladimir Putin, attend a photo ceremony at the Shanghai Cooperation Organisation summit in Tianjin, China, on August 31, 2025. — Reuters

Entrenched Chinese foreign policy positions, including territorial disputes and industrial subsidies that have flooded foreign markets with cheap exports, will likely remain friction points, experts say, while India’s deep distrust of China will not dissipate because of one brief meeting.

“It’s not necessarily a big-picture shift towards a more China-led international order,” said the Asia Society’s Thomas.
Deadly arrogance


Qasim A. Moini 
Published September 6, 2025 
DAWN



RELIGIONS, particularly Islam, are supposed to address the ethical ills that afflict mankind. In fact, in Islamic tradition, akhlaq (morals, ethics) is a well-developed science, deriving lessons from the Quran and ahadith on how to deal with ethical situations across the spectrum of life. Moreover, the Holy Prophet (PBUH), whose noble birth we celebrate today, is considered the perfect ethical exemplar, who taught us how to behave in family settings and in the workplace, during war and during peace, individually and socially, etc.

Amongst the biggest ethical evils, as per the Quran and the teachings of the Blessed Prophet, are arrogance and pride, which, unfortunately, are found in abundance in all settings. This can range from states practising arrogance, for example, when the powerful and unaccountable unleash death and destruction upon innocents, as Israel and the US are currently doing in Gaza. It can also include how we treat those with less power and money than us, for example domestic staff, street vendors etc.

The Quran is very clear on how arrogance is a reviled trait in the eyes of the Almighty. One of the archetypes of arrogance repeatedly mentioned in the Holy Book is pharaoh, whose haughty utterances and actions are thoroughly condemned. For example, in Surah Naziyat pharaoh, a mere mortal, boasts that “I am your lord, most high.” Elsewhere, in Surah Zukhruf, pharaoh wrongly claims that Egypt’s mighty Nile flows under his feet. Compare this to the clear warning in Surah Isra, where man is commanded not to walk on the earth arrogantly.

Authentic ahadith are equally critical of the arrogant. As per one hadith, it is stated that “there is a special section for the arr­ogant people in hell”. At another point it is stated that “the one who is arrogant will be degraded by Allah”, while yet another tradition warns that “the worst kind of pride is considering the creatures lowly”.


The Holy Prophet (PBUH) treated the weakest with dignity.

Throughout his blessed life, the Holy Prophet displayed disdain for arrogance, and preferred humility and simplicity to vanity and ostentation. In fact, apart from his insistence on tauheed (monotheism), the tribal aristocrats of Makkah took exception to the fact that he treated the weakest individuals in that society — slaves, women, children, orphans, those without strong tribal affiliation — with dignity and respect. How could a ‘low-born’ slave be considered equal in the eyes of the Almighty to a ‘high-born’ merchant of Makkah belonging to a powerful tribe, they wondered. For them, this amounted to ‘blasphemy’. Sadly, these pre-Islamic prejudices, with roots in jahiliya, have survived, as even in our society caste, tribe and financial position can define an individual’s status in society, rather than the strength of their character.

In fact, these prejudices are not limited to tribal or rural parts of the country; such attitudes thrive even in the cities where wealth — gained by means fair or foul — is the marker of success and status. The poor are an afterthought, not worthy of human dignity. Islam strongly condemns such vile attitudes. In the view of the Most High, the best among humanity are the “most righteous”, while in a hadith, those with the best character are equated with those with the best faith. In the divine hierarchy, money, family connections and other ephemeral affiliations have no value; only a person’s character counts. And nothing destroys character like arrogance.

The most knowledgeable individual to ever walk the earth — the Holy Prophet, described as the ‘City of knowledge’ in a hadith — was a picture of humility. Thr­toughout history, even apart from prophets, the people of knowledge have always been humble. When they reflect on the realities of the universe — the vastn­ess of the cosmos, the ancientness of time, the deeper mysteries of creation — they realise they know nothing, and prostrate before Allah Almighty, who “tau­ght man which he knew not”. When the people of knowledge express their total helplessness and humility before the Most High, on what basis do the arrogant walk haughtily on the land?

And when arrogance mixes with ignorance, the results are lethal. After all, as per a saying of Hazrat Ali, “ignorance is death for the living”. Unfortunately, in our society the arrogant and the ignorant — the ‘living dead’ in the light of this saying — appear to dominate, while the people of knowledge are brushed aside as weak and unworthy, or harassed for speaking the truth.

But we must remember that arrogance is a death sentence in this world and the next, as the fate of pharaoh and those of his ilk demonstrates. The only solution, as per the Quran and the Holy Prophet’s example, lies in humility and character-building, while giving dignity and respect to all, regardless of ‘social’ and monetary status.

The writer is a member of staff.


Published in Dawn, September 6th, 2025
Trump stung by SCO optics


Published September 6, 2025
DAWN


THE Shanghai Cooperation Organisation (SCO) summit in Tianjing, followed by the grand military parade in Beijing’s Tiananmen Square, was all about optics and signaling.

Looking at the reaction from the US and EU it would be safe to say that the messages hit bull’s eye.

But let’s first look closer to home. Before the summit, India’s Foreign Secretary Vikram Misri said India would be looking for a categorical condemnation of cross-border terrorism, which in common language means that India’s allegations against Pakistan are upheld.

You may recall in this column last week, there was a mention of the SCO principle of collective or indivisible security and once again that was upheld as both the Pahalgam terror incident and the Jaffar Express and the Khuzdar school bus terror attacks, in which many innocent lives were lost — with India blaming Pakistan for the first and Pakistan saying India was responsible for the second and third incidents — were condemned but neither country was named.

Despite lack of success on this issue, as in the SCO foreign ministers meeting in June, Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi was triumphantly holding hands with Russian President Vladimir Putin and laughing in videos captured of their stand-up chats with China’s strongman Xi Jinping.

China may still not be militarily as strong as the US but it seems to be catching up fast.

Knowledgeable sources suggested Mr Modi was keen to thumb his nose at the US and its ‘unreliable’ leader and his erstwhile friend President Donald J. Trump whom he has courted in the past, even raising the slogan, ahead of the US elections: Abki baar, Trump Sarkar (The next administration will be Trump’s).

India is smarting at the ‘unfair’ 25+25 per cent tariffs with the latter being punitive for continued purchases of Russian oil when China and many other countries have not been penalised for their bulk oil/ energy procurement from Russia. But the size of the rapidly growing Indian economy, its human capital and enormous market means that despite its current tribulations, India won’t be ignored by either the US and its allies or the Global South for long. That is a certainty.

Moving out of the region into the global arena, it was clear that the summit and the parade signalled what China sees as a return to a multipolar world and not the unipolar arrangement that evolved after the collapse of the Soviet Union and facilitated the massive eastward expansion of the Nato military alliance.

The Russian military assault and the war it triggered in Ukraine are attributed to that unipolar world, which meant initially that Moscow lacked the ability to stop the Western military alliance’s eastwards march. Later, however, after internal consolidation Russia started to flex its muscles first in Crimea and then in the Donbas region and made rapid advances in eastern Ukraine to pre-empt Nato’s further expansion.

President Joe Biden pumped billions of dollars into the ideological military campaign directly and via the Nato members and slowed the pace of the Russian advance. With Trump’s assumption of office, all that changed as the new US president announced he wanted to end the war and that his friend Vladimir Putin was on board. So far it appears he got played by the Russian leader.

It was not surprising then that looking at the SCO summit and the grand spectacle put on display by the People’s Liberation Army in Beijing to mark the 80th anniversary of the Chinese victory over the Japanese military, Trump wrote a congratulatory message on his Truth Social platform and then said words that could be likened to a child throwing his toys out of the pram: “Give my warmest regards to Vladimir Putin, and Kim Jong Un, as you conspire against The United States of America.”

China’s response was measured as its spokesperson underlined the fact that the commemoration was to mark the end to World War II and that foreign guests had been invited for it. China said its development of diplomatic relations with any country is never directed against a third party.

Trump’s political appointee as ambassador to Nato Matthew Whitaker seemed to have lost it in an interview with Fox News when, in a fit of rage, he accused China of putting on display lethal weaponry “in all likelihood stolen from us”.

EU foreign policy chief, the former right-wing Estonian politician, Kaja Kallas also criticised the parade and said that Xi, Putin and Kim appearing together was part of efforts to build an anti-Western “new world order” and was a direct challenge to the international rules-based system.

China described the remarks by a “certain EU official” as being full of ideological bias, lacking basic historical knowledge and a blatant attempt to stir up confrontation. Beijing found the remarks misguided, utterly irresponsible and arrogant.

It was laughable that the hawkish EU foreign policy chief referred to the rules-based international system when she and her grouping has supported the Gaza genocide and the shredding of any so-called rules-based order by the apartheid state on a daily basis by the mass murder of civilians by bombs, missiles, drones and starvation.

To many an impartial observer, China’s awesome military display translated into the introduction of a semblance of welcome balance in our unipolar world. China may still not be militarily as strong as the US but it seems to be catching up fast as its various arms and armaments including new hypersonic missiles, stealth fighter-bombers, lasers and microwave air defence and unmanned aerial and submarine military vehicles displayed.

One hopes this doesn’t unhinge Trump completely. He should realise that his desire of winning the Nobel Peace Prize was nearly non-existent, because he greenlit and enabled the Gaza genocide, a grave crime against humanity. Equally, no end to the Ukraine war on terms unfavourable to Russia is now likely. Trump’s threatened tariffs and sanctions can cause pain but not in any decisive way.

It will be interesting to watch the White House’s next move.

The writer is a former editor of Dawn.

abbas.nasir@hotmail.com
Published in Dawn, September 6th, 2025