Tuesday, January 03, 2023

Contextualising the Jan 6th Report: Contemporary Trends In Far-Right Violence in the US

Arie Perliger2 Jan 2023
 

Introduction 

When the January 6th committee (formally known as the Select Committee to Investigate the January 6th Attack on the United States Capitol) released its final report on December 23rd (henceforth, Jan 6th report), most of the media and legal practitioners focused on the various ways in which President Trump and his associates facilitated and encouraged the events of that day. While the focus on the responsibility of the President is understandable, especially with the growing concerns about the quality and durability of the American political system, the report also provides important insights into contemporary dynamics within the violent factions of the American far-right and its ongoing threat to American democracy.

The findings of the Jan 6th report have shed new light on the scope and sophistication of many militant organisations on the far-right, who planned and coordinated the insurrection months in advance. Not less concerning are the revelations regarding the growth in the influence and impact of extreme far-right ideology on mainstream politics and media. When taken all together, the findings reinforce the growing consensus among law enforcement and intelligence agencies, as well as many policymakers, that in the last few years, the American far-right became a severe and growing threat to the country and that the government must take steps to address it.

Far-Right Violence and Mass Protest

From a scholarly and policy perspective, several aspects of the report should be especially notable for their reflection on important processes within the violent American far-right. The first is the increasing role of mass protest events in the facilitation of far-right violence. In some respects, the storming of the Capitol building on 6 January 2021 was unique in terms of its symbolism and the direct threat it posed to elected officials. In other respects, it demonstrated similar qualities to an increasing number of mass protest events that resulted in and facilitated severe acts of political violence. Such events can provide a strategic opportunity for far-right extremist groups to collaborate with like-minded organisations, enhance their organisational capabilities and profile, and empower their members to take violent action.

While such events usually begin with a collective gathering to protest specific policies or political events and attract participants who are and are not affiliated with organised groups, they may be eventually exploited by organised militant groups to escalate the protest to actual violence (usually against property and law enforcement) in a coordinated effort that follows a specific pre-planned progression, making these events traditionally difficult for experts and law enforcement to anticipate and identify. The Jan 6th report details a multitude of examples of such dynamics. The Proud Boys experienced substantial expansion and growth as its member took a prominent role in various 2020 events of anti-lockdown and BLM protests and as its members “…deputized themselves as agents of law and order—vigilantes against perceived threats” (p. 507). Similarly, the Oath Keepers exploited anti-BLM and anti-lockdown demonstrations in summer 2020 to form local armed groups which operated “to maintain law and order” but allowed, in reality, the mobilisation of many new members and the expansion of organisational capabilities (p. 513). Kellye SoRelle, a lawyer for the Oath Keepers, reflected on his group’s participation in COVID protests and admitted indeed that they were a “coalescing moment” for different far-right groups (p. 513).

It is important to note that such dynamics are also visible in other countries. In Germany, PEGIDA rallies served as a recruitment reservoir for some Neo-Nazi associations. In 2015, a collaboration between local Neo-Nazis and PEGIDA protesters led to the formation of a group in Dresden (“Freie Kameradschaft Dresden”) that planned multiple attacks against refugees in order to “bundle the national forces in and around Dresden in order to plan events together, as a closed group, to implement spontaneous actions, to achieve goals and to support other national alliances.”

Operational, Organisational, and Discursive Convergence

The anti-BLM and COVID-related mass demonstrations and rallies did not just facilitate the growth of far-right groups but also accelerated a growing operational and organisational convergence. In the past, anti-government groups went to great lengths in order to disassociate themselves from white supremacy groups and other branches of the far-right. However, events such as the “Unite the Right” rally in Charlottesville in 2017 and especially Jan 6th reflect how the growing political polarisation, combined with the growing consensus around the rhetoric and leadership of President Trump, forged willingness to enhance coordination and collaboration within the American far-right. Hence, the Jan 6th insurrection was not a spontaneous eruption of violence but coordinated efforts by members of groups such as Proud boys, Oath Keepers, III Percenters, as well as those ascribed to white supremacist and neo-Nazi ideologies. Highly illustrative, the report details how Nick Fuentes, leader of the Groypers, a white nationalist and Antisemitic movement, became a close collaborator with leaders of Proud boys, III Percenters, and Oath Keepers while all participated and led “Stop the Steal” rallies all over the country. Hence, it is not surprising that Fuentes’s followers had a prominent role in the Jan 6th attack, including one of them who “took over” the Vice President’s seat during the insurrection (p. 519). However, more importantly, it reflected how ideological and organisational distinctions between far-right groups became secondary under the banner of the struggle to keep Trump in office.

Scholars and practitioners warned in the last few years about the linkage between the proliferation and mainstreaming of toxic rhetoric and far-right narratives and the dramatic increase in far-right violence in the US. The Jan 6th report further illustrates how in the last few years, the interactions between the disseminators of extremist rhetoric, on the one hand, and militant groups – which aim to exploit such rhetoric to mobilise support for their violent practices – on the other hand, evolved into symbiotic relations, which contributed to both sides and further enhanced the ideological convergence within the far-right. The most significant example of such a relationship involved Alex Jones. The violent mob’s descent on the Capitol was, in many ways, a continuation of the campaign he promoted on his own media platforms in the preceding weeks. For example, in multiple appearances on Alex Jones’s InfoWars Show, Steward Rhodes, the leader of the Oath Keepers, stated that his group is preparing to mobilise and use force to “…stop the transfer of power.” Jones himself “repeatedly told his InfoWars’ viewers that January 6th would be a day of reckoning” (p. 501), and one of his co-hosts mentioned the idea of “storming right into the Capitol.” Hence it is not surprising that the Jan 6th report also highlights communications between Rhodes and Alex Jones (and Roger Stone) during the insurrection and that the latter also directly called during the protest to “start a revolution…” and “…Fight…” (p. 650).

A Military Style Threat and Social Media as a Tactical Tool

The Jan 6th report also provides riveting details about the preparations, plans, and execution of the insurrection, thus confirming other concerns raised by scholars regarding the consequences of the growing popularity of anti-government organisations among military and law enforcement personnel. The fact that a substantial portion of members of such organisations has a professional background in the military or police and related operational capabilities enhances the ability of these groups to execute sophisticated and coordinated operations, which most far-right groups in the US lacked for many years.

Indeed, the committee illustrated how especially the Oath Keeper and Proud Boys leaders had been preparing for the insurrection for weeks in advance, including making plans to storm the Capitol and disrupt Congress’s certification of the election results. Prior to Jan 6th, the Proud Boys reorganised and imposed a strict chain of command while guiding members to reduce their online visibility to avoid potential surveillance (p. 514-517). Oath Keeper members also engaged in tactical preparations, including mobilising recruits, stockpiling weapons, and discussing operational plans. The strong military background of the members was also manifested in the types of military equipment they gathered prior to Jan 6.th According to the Jan 6th report, “Rhodes amassed an arsenal of military-grade assault weapons… spent approximately $7,000 on two night-vision devices and a weapon sight…while traveling (to DC, AP), Rhodes spent an additional $6,000 on an AR-style rifle and firearms attachments” (p. 507-512).

The military-style preparations eventually translated to military-style operations during the insurrection, as the leaders of the groups coordinated their efforts and provided instructions in real-time to their followers. For example, Roads’ real-time instructions allowed Oath Keepers Kelly Meggs and Michael Green to lead a dozen Oath Keepers up the East Steps and through the East Rotunda doors into the Capitol (p. 656-657). Similarly, groups of Proud Boys led by Ethan Nordean and Zachary Rehl (Presidents of the group’s Seattle and Philadelphia chapters, respectively) strategically removed fencing around the Peace Circle and Pennsylvania Avenue, clearing the route for other protestors to access restricted Capitol grounds. At the next security barrier, the Proud Boys violently clashed with police officers, eventually overtaking them, and advancing toward the Capitol building. The committee is clear that the Proud Boys’ actions were premeditated and coordinated to facilitate the advancement of the crowd to the Capitol building (p. 638, 644).

In this context, the committee analysis also provides an important lesson about the role of social media and related media platforms in the planning of events and mobilising activists to prepare for violent operations. While most scholars focus on the usage of social media as a propaganda tool and how it may facilitate radicalisation, the committee also emphasised its role in actual tactical planning and organisation of the execution of violence. While such practices were usually common in other arenas of terrorism (such as among Jihadi terrorist networks), they were never seen before in such volume among American far-right groups. The creation of group chats that used terms such as “Ministry of Self Defense” and were utilised by the Proud Boys to centralise their organisation and preparations for the January 6 attack is a case in point (p. 510). One of those group chats housed the “national rally planning committee” and used an encrypted chat to organise their activities, while another group chat shared tactical advice and intelligence about police preparations for the event. Similarly, various factions of III Percenters utilised Facebook and other social media platforms to strategise and coordinate their efforts before and during the attack (p. 522-524). On Jan 3rd, Jeremy Liggett, the leader of one of the Florida chapters of the III Percenters, posted a “safety video” on Facebook in which he and others instructed listeners about self-defense and the tools they (like him) could bring to Washington, DC, including “an expandable metal baton, a walking cane, and a folding knife” (p. 523).

Policy Implications

The Jan 6th report details the numerous early warnings regarding the intention of various groups to engage in violence during the Jan 6th rally and the following hours. It also confirms that many of the relevant law enforcement agencies were aware of those warning signs (p. 694). General Mark Milley, Chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, admitted in his testimony to the committee that “…everybody knew there was a probability, more than a possibility of violence” (p. 698). Nonetheless, the end result and the successfully forced entrance to the Capitol Building reflect the unpreparedness and incompetent preparations for the event and the failure to translate operational intelligence into an effective preventative plan.

In many ways, these factors which contributed to the failure, according to the Jan 6th committee, are related to organisational and operational challenges familiar to counter-terrorism practitioners. The findings highlight the need for better communication and coordination between the federal government, law enforcement, and intelligence agencies in order to better prevent and respond to domestic terrorism. They also suggest that there needs to be more public education and awareness of the threat of domestic terrorism and that new laws and policies must be adopted to address this threat. Lastly, the findings suggest that more resources must be devoted to counter-terrorism, including adequate funding and personnel.

However, those recommendations seem to be missing some additional important ingredients. After all, regional fusion centres, local Joint Terrorism Task Forces, and the NCTC (National Counter-Terrorism Center) were all established in the last 20 years in order to facilitate better collaboration, coordination, and intelligence sharing. Moreover, many of them transitioned their focus to domestic extremism in the last few years. Nonetheless, domestic extremist violence in the US continues to proliferate.

A review of the post-insurrection responses and other historical examples of state response to domestic extremism suggest some additional policies that should be considered. Their adoption by law enforcement has the potential to undermine the capabilities of far-right groups in the short term (some of them are already being employed on some level by different agencies), as well as curbing their ability to continue to expand their influence in the long term.

In the past, the usage of civil lawsuits for damages by victims of far-right violence was proved to be a highly effective tool in the fight against the far-right. Such lawsuits led to the collapse of the “Aryan Nations,” (one of the most prominent Christian Identity/neo Nazi groups in US history), Robert Shelton’s “United Klans of America,” Thomas Metzger’s “White Aryan Resistance,” and more recently, Alex Jones’s media platforms. Such legal initiatives are also, in many cases, promoted by human rights organisations such as the Anti-Defamation League and the Southern Poverty Law Center. Hence, in addition to the criminal charges, authorities should also encourage direct victims to pursue civil legal actions. Additionally, most Anti-government organisations have similar pre-attack practices, including the stockpiling of ammunition and firearms, paramilitary training, prep of safe houses, enhanced tactical online communications, etc. Such behaviours are highly visible and, thus, should not be difficult to monitor by law enforcement using advanced methods of data mining protocols, linguistic analysis, and broad Human Intelligence networks. Lastly, the focus of many far-right groups on local political targets makes it imperative to further invest in local law enforcement training and education in the ideological pillars, operational characteristics, and organisational structure of domestic militant groups.

A long-term approach should focus on the development of socialisation and behavioural processes and mechanisms which can reduce political polarisation and de-humanisation of political rivals, introducing modifications to the political system’s protocols and regulations which will incentivise cross-partisan collaborations and cooperation. Lastly, there should be a further push for the development of mechanisms and solutions that can better address the dissemination of hate speech, disinformation, and extremisms in online spheres, as well as undermine their effectiveness by investing in the development of political literacy and efficacy among potential consumers.

The combination of long-term measures focusing on undercutting the elements of the political environment and culture, which are of benefit to the far-right, with effective short-term tactical practices, can provide a roadmap as political leaders, practitioners, and law enforcement fight to protect American citizens from far-right violence.


Arie Perliger is a Professor and the director of the graduate program in security studies at the School of Criminology and Justice Studies, University of Massachusetts Lowell. In the past 20 years, Dr. Perliger was engaged in an extensive study of issues related to terrorism and political violence, security policy and politics (including the nexus of security and climate change), politics and extremism of the Far Right in Israel, Europe, and the US, Middle Eastern Politics, and the applicability of Social Network Analysis to the study of political violence. His studies appeared in nine books and monographs and in numerous articles and book chapters and were cited in more than 2000 academic texts. His recent book, “American Zealots – Inside Right-Wing Domestic Terrorism,” which was published by Columbia University Press, provides an in-depth analysis of the history and contemporary trends of the violent American far-right. Dr. Perliger was also engaged in training practitioners from various agencies such as the FBI, CIA, and ICE. Additionally, he provided professional briefings to high-rank officials from the government and military, such as The Secretary of the Army, Army Chief of Staff, and SOCOM, AFRICOM, NORTHCOM, and JSOC commanders. Dr. Perliger is also engaged in informing the public via contributions to various media platforms. His articles/interviews appeared, among others, in the NY Times, BBC, CBS News, and Newsweek.

Related Readings:

Hughes, S., and Krill, I. Assessing US Domestic Extremism in light of Capitol Riot Investigations. Perspective, The International Centre for Counter-Terrorism, 30 June 2022

Mehra, T. and Cook, J. An Attack on the Capitol and Democracy: An Act of Terrorism? Perspective, The International Centre for Counter-Terrorism, 11 January 2021

Gartenstein-Ross, D., Clarke, C. P. and Hodgson, S. Militia Violent Extremists in the United States: Understanding the Evolution of the Threat. Policy Brief, The International Centre for Counter-Terrorism, 20 May 2022

Baumann, Z. Biden’s National Security Strategy: Domestic Threats Take Centre Stage. Perspective, The International Centre for Counter-Terrorism, 8 April 2021

INVADING KURDISTAN
First joint patrol in 2023 | Russian and Turkish forces tour villages in Ain Al-Arab (Kobani)
On Jan 2, 2023

Aleppo province: Russian and Turkish forces have conducted a joint military patrol in the western countryside of Ain Al-Arab (Kobani).

The joint patrol, comprising eight Russian and Turkish military vehicles, has set off from Amsha village in the countryside of Ain Al-Arab (Kobani), amid a flight by two Russian helicopters over the area.




The patrol has toured the villages of Jarqli Fawqani, Jebnah and Bayadiyah, reaching Zor Maghar village off Jarablus city on the east bank of the Euphrates river west of Ain Al-Arab (Kobani) in the eastern countryside of Aleppo.

The patrol has also toured the villages of Seftek, Boban, Khorkhori, Dikmadash, Qaran and Jarqali Fawqani, and then returned to its centre in Sarin town in the western Ain al-Arab (Kobani) countryside.

This is the first joint patrol conducted by Russian and Turkish forces in 2023.

On December 29, Russian forces detonated a landmine planted on the way that the joint patrol of Russian and Turkish forces go through.

After Turkish forces entered the Syrian territory, a person with “special needs” intercepted the Russian vehicles and took them to the location of the landmine planted at Shirik village junction.

Russian forces immediately blocked the road and prevented the people from passing through the road and detonated the landmine.

According to residents of Shirik village, two unidentified people on a motorcycle stopped this morning in that area under the pretext of fixing their motorcycle.

Moreover, “SDF” began searching for the two suspects


Millets offer solution to growing food demands: Jaishankar

The government announced on January 1 it has lined up a series of millet-centric promotional activities across the country as the International Year of Millets kicks in
External Affiars Minister S. Jaishankar with Bulgaria President Rumen Georgiev Radev, Austrian Chancellor Karl Nehammer before the New Year concert and other, in Vienna, Sunday, January 1, 2023.
PTI image

PTI   |   Vienna   |   Published 02.01.23, 09:32 AM

Millets are far healthier than rice and wheat one eats daily and offer a completely different value proposition at a time when there is a worry about a global food shortage, External Affairs Minister S Jaishankar has said.

Addressing the members of the Indian diaspora here in the Austrian capital on Sunday, Jaishankar said India can grow millets which offers a solution to the growing food demands across the globe.

The government announced on January 1 it has lined up a series of millet-centric promotional activities across the country as the International Year of Millets (IYM) kicks in.

“Millets are far healthier for all of us than the cereals, rice and wheat we eat every day. It was the food that was most prevalent in our societies till it was displaced. It requires much less water and is much more carbon friendly,” Jaishankar said.

“Today in a world where there is worry about food shortage, millet offers a completely different value proposition. In fact, today for almost every five kilos of wheat grown in India, one kilo of millets is grown and consumed,” he said.

Millets were among the first crops to be domesticated in India with several evidence of its consumption during the Indus valley civilization. Being grown in more than 130 countries at present, millet is considered traditional food for more than half a billion people across Asia and Africa.

“We can actually grow it. It is a solution to a lot of our growing food demands. Not just us, but also a lot of countries in Africa, Asia and parts of the Middle East,” said Jaishankar, who arrived in Austria from Cyprus on the second leg of his two-nation tour.

In India, millets are primarily a Kharif crop, requiring less water and agricultural inputs than other similar staples. Millets are important by virtue of their mammoth potential to generate livelihoods, increase farmers' income and ensure food and nutritional security all over the world.

Millets are also an integral part of the G-20 meetings and delegates will be given a true millet experience through tasting, meeting farmers and interactive sessions with start-ups and FPOs.

“We hope to do during our G20 presidency, in fact already are doing today, that every foreign visitor I receive in India or the Prime Minister receives in India, a substantial part of the meal today is millet based,” Jaishankar said.

On December 6, the UN body Food and Agriculture Organization organised an opening ceremony for the IYM in Rome, Italy. The Indian government hosted a special 'Millet Luncheon' for Members of Parliament in the Parliament complex.

Recognising the enormous potential of Millets, which also aligns with several U.N. Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs), India has prioritised millets. In April 2018, millets were rebranded as “Nutri Cereals”, followed by the year 2018 being declared as the National Year of Millets.

The UN's declaration as IYM 2023 has been instrumental for India to be at the forefront in celebrating the millet year. Prime Minister Narendra Modi has also shared his vision to make IYM 2023 a "people's movement" alongside positioning India as the "Global hub of millets".

The global millets market is projected to register a CAGR of 4.5 per cent between 2021-2026.


Colombia, Venezuela open binational bridge in step to normalize relations

Caracas/Cucuta, Jan 1 (EFE).- The governments of Colombia and Venezuela on Jan. 1 opened the binational Atanasio Girardot Bridge, also known as “Tienditas,” which links Colombia’s Norte de Santander province with the Venezuelan state of Tachira, an event constituting one more step in normalizing bilateral relations.

Diplomatic relations, which were broken in February 2019, were reestablished at the end of last August and bilateral trade was resumed on Sept. 26 with the reactivation of two other border bridges, the Simon Bolivar and the Francisco de Paula Santander spans.

The ceremony on New Year’s Day included the cutting of a tricolor ribbon in the middle of the Atanasio Girardot Bridge by the Colombian representatives, specifically Trade, Industry and Tourism Minister German Umaña and Transportation Minister Guillermo Reyes, along with Norte de Santander Gov. Sivano Serrano and the mayors of the metropolitan area of Cucuta.

The Venezuelan delegation at the event included Tachira Gov. Freddy Bernal and other officials, who released yellow, blue and red balloons along with the Colombians as a symbol of union and a new beginning between the two nations.

“This is the formal opening of the border with Colombia, along the whole frontier geography, something that we’re symbolically doing at this spot. Let the opening, today, be the road to a long reencounter of brotherliness, growth and prosperity for both nations, Colombia and Venezuela,” Bernal said.

For his part, Umaña said that “Today a (more than century-old) dream of border integration is being realized.”

“The opening of this bridge between our two nations has been planned since the 1960s. Perseverance alone has born fruit for those of us who have believed in this integration, which is not only commercial but is also uniting our societies in a single country, in a single nationality. Today, we start down the road of closing the social gaps that exist between the centers of our country and our borders,” the Colombian minister said.

The Atanasio Girardot Bridge, which crosses the Tachira River, consists of six lanes for vehicular traffic and links the metro area of Cucuta with the city of Pedro Maria Ureña, in Tachira, and although it was finished in 2016, it has never been placed into service since its finalization coincided with the period of deterioration in bilateral relations.

Since the beginning of December, however, when the “complete reopening” of the border was announced, Venezuela has performed remodeling and restoration work on the bridge that began with removing the containers that had been placed on the bridge as a barrier almost four years ago amid the political tensions between Caracas and then-Colombian President Ivan Duque.

During Sunday’s ceremony, the general secretary of Colombia’s Foreign Ministry, Jose Antonio Salazar, said that work was also under way to reopen “as quickly as possible the consulates in San Cristobal, Maracaibo and San Antonio,” among others.

After the protocol events, the bridge was opened to international cargo and passenger transport.

Technical teams from the two countries, with personnel from several ministries and official entities, defined the requirements and conditions under which vehicles and drivers may pass through different border crossing points, including insurance, licensing and identification documents.

“On this bridge that marks history, the brotherhood of our countries is being reopened,” said the Colombian transportation minister, who emphasized that in less than five months the government of Colombian President Gustavo Petro had taken the necessary steps to guarantee the full opening of the four border crossing points located in Norte de Santander.

UPDATES
Strike-hit UK faces first rail stoppage of 2023

By AFP
January 3, 2023


Normally bustling London train stations were quiet on Tuesday, the first normal working day of 2023 after the New Year break - Copyright AFP/File STR

UK rail staff disrupted the New Year return to work on Tuesday in the latest strike action by workers in a range of sectors over the worst cost-of-living crisis in a generation.

Workers across the economy are at loggerheads with the government as they demand big pay rises to cope with decades-high inflation, currently running at nearly 11 percent.

Normally bustling London train stations were quiet on Tuesday, the first normal working day of 2023 after the New Year break.

Network Rail, which operates the UK’s rail services, warned travellers of “significantly reduced” train services or no services at all in some areas until Sunday.

Five days of strike action beginning on Tuesday were to include two 48-hour strikes by around 40,000 members of the RMT union.

The Aslef union will also strike on Thursday.

Transport Secretary Mark Harper urged the rail unions to return to the negotiating table.

“The trade unions decided they wanted to go on strike this week, which is deeply unhelpful, damages the rail industry, damages the interests of the people that work in it,” he told Sky News.

“I want to see them back around the table and we can try and hammer out a deal between the employers and the trade unions.”

The RMT union, however, accused the government of intervening in negotiations in December to stop a deal. Harper denies the claim.

RMT general secretary Mick Lynch said the minister had scuppered a potential settlement by insisting on the removal of guards from trains, in favour of driver-only operated trains.

The issue is a key one for unions.

“So that prevented any move forward on the issue and so that is the direct responsibility of the Secretary of State (Harper),” Lynch said from a picket line at London’s Euston Station.

Despite escalating pay demands, Prime Minister Rishi Sunak has pledged to fight calls for inflation-busting rises, insisting the government must stick to more modest increases for public sector workers.

“The best way to help them and help everyone else in the country is for us to get a grip and reduce inflation as quickly as possible,” Sunak told a watchdog panel of MPs late last year.

Those striking in 2022 included rail, port, border force and postal workers along with lawyers, nurses and ambulance staff.

More stoppages are planned later this year.

UK strikes and crumbling health service add

troubles to Rishi Sunak government


Published on Jan 03, 2023 


British rail workers will walk off the job much of this week,

 paralyzing transport and adding to the troubles piling up for

Prime Minister Rishi Sunak’s government.

Rishi Sunak, UK prime minister(Bloomberg)
Rishi Sunak, UK prime minister(Bloomberg)
Bloomberg | | Posted by Singh Rahul Sunilkumar

British rail workers will walk off the job much of this week, paralyzing transport and adding to the troubles piling up for Prime Minister Rishi Sunak’s government.

Union workers will strike for five days starting Wednesday, snarling the usual return to work following the holidays and interrupting January sales that are crucial for retailers.

The protests stem from growing anger over the tightest cost-of-living squeeze in memory. Inflation reached a four-decade high last year, and wages aren’t keeping pace, especially in public services.

Nurses and ambulance drivers plan to strike later in the month as officials warn the National Health Service is struggling to cope with flu and Covid outbreaks.

Sunak’s response has been to hold the line against what he sees as inflation-busting pay raises. He’s blaming surging prices on Russia’s invasion of Ukraine, which cut off supplies of energy and wheat, boosting the cost of electricity and food. His New Year’s message warned of tough times ahead.

“I am not going to pretend that all our problems will go away in the new year,” Sunak said in the video message posted to Twitter on Saturday. “Just as we recovered from an unprecedented global pandemic, Russia launched a barbaric and illegal invasion across Ukraine.”

The Tories must call a general election by January 2025 at the latest, and the Bank of England anticipates the economy is already in recession and unlikely to grow until early 2024.

ALSO READ: Rishi Sunak's sombre New Year message: UK's problems won't 'go away' in 2023

That downturn has been exacerbated by Britain’s exit from the European Union, which slashed trade links and left the UK the only economy in the Group of Seven nations that has yet to regain the size it had before the pandemic.

A Financial Times survey of 101 economists published Monday showed most expect the UK have the worst and longest recession of any G-7 country. Those quoted by the newspaper described the year ahead as “tough,” “bleak,” “grim” and “miserable.”

Government ministers, taking a page out of Margaret Thatcher’s strategy with the unions when she was prime minister in the 1980s, have maintained a confrontational stance with unions, threatening to lengthen the strikes.

“We’re not going back to the 1970s where the trade union barons thought that they ran the government,” Defence Secretary Ben Wallace said last week. “We’re not going to be held to ransom.”

The strikes and a disastrous budget that shocked markets in September have eaten into the ruling Conservative Party’s reputation with voters for handling the economy.

The Conservatives, in power for more than 12 years, trail the Labour opposition in polls. People Polling had the Conservatives 26 points behind in a survey for GB News released on Dec. 30.

Phil Banfield, chair of British Medical Association council, gave a stark warning about the scale of the crisis in the NHS.

“The current situation in the NHS is intolerable and unsustainable, both for our patients and the hard-working staff desperately trying to keep up with incredibly high levels of demand,” Banfield told the Press Association. “The BMA has repeatedly invited the government to sit down and talk about the pressures on our health service, but their silence is deafening.”

ALSO READ: Britain to declare Iran's Revolutionary Guard as terror group: Report

Education Minister Robert Halfon said the NHS is high on Sunak’s agenda.

“The prime minister treats this as a top priority,” Halfon said on BBC News. “We’re increasing the NHS capacity by the equivalent of 7,000 beds, spending an extra £500mn to speed up hospital discharge and improve capacity.”

Wes Streeting, the Labour lawmaker who serves as shadow health secretary, said the government isn’t talking to NHS workers about their concerns about pay and conditions.

It’s “completely inexplicable as to why, given the front pages today, given what we’ve seen throughout Christmas and the new year, not a single government minister — whether it’s the prime minister, the health secretary — has raised their head or shown their face to say exactly what they are doing to grip this crisis.”

Rail disruption will intensify on Tuesday. The National Union of Rail, Maritime and Transport workers will stage a walkout on Jan. 3, 4, 6 and 7. The Aslef Union, which represents train drivers, said members will strike on Jan. 5.

The Royal College of Nursing said that members will strike on Jan. 18 and 19, following two days of historic industrial action in December. It’s the first time strikes have taken place on such a wide scale since the union was founded over a century ago. Ambulance drivers go on Jan. 11.

The risk is that anger among union workers snowballs into more concerted action reminiscent of the stoppages that paralyzed the UK in the 1970s and brought Thatcher to power.

RMT General Secretary Mick Lynch said there’s an “unprecedented level of ministerial interference” blocking a settlement with rail workers. Aslef General Secretary Mick Whelan said the union was “in it for the long haul.”

“We don’t want to go on strike, but the companies have pushed us into this place,” Whelan told the Press Association. “They have not offered our members a penny and these are people who have not had an increase since April 2019.”

Mark Serwotka, general secretary of the PCS union, told Sky News last week that it was “only a matter of time” before “coordinated and synchronized” action was launched across the unions.



Cleaners on railways join picket lines in row over pay and conditions as more than 1,000
 stage walkout for their first ever national strike

RMT members employed by private contractors cleaning trains for rail operators are involved

Cleaners want a wage of £15 an hour, sick pay, better holidays and pensions

Union said strike has affected Avanti West Coast, GWR, LNER and TransPennine Express


By JAMES CALLERY FOR MAILONLINE

PUBLISHED: 31 December 2022

Railway cleaners have launched their first national strike in disputes over issues including pay.

Members of the Rail, Maritime and Transport union (RMT) employed by a number of private contractors cleaning trains for several rail operators are involved in the industrial action on Saturday.

Across the railway network, more than 1,000 contracted-out cleaners went on strike in the first national action of its kind.

Cleaners on the Docklands Light Railway in London also went on strike in a separate row over pay, rosters and conditions.




RMT tweeted its support. RMT members employed by a number of private contractors cleaning trains for several rail operators are involved in the industrial action on Saturday
TRENDING

The railway cleaners are campaigning for a wage of £15 an hour, sick pay, better holidays and pensions.

The union said rail companies that use contracted-out cleaning providers such as Avanti West Coast, GWR, LNER and TransPennine Express were affected by the industrial action.

RMT general secretary Mick Lynch said: 'This is the first time cleaners have been taken out on strike across the rail network.

'It is a testament to our members' fearlessness and determination to see justice done on pay and working conditions.


'These multimillion-pound companies who super exploit workers who were rightly hailed as heroes during the pandemic should be removed from operating in Britain if they do not come to a negotiated settlement on our members' modest demands.'



Mick Lynch, General Secretary of the National Union of Rail, Maritime and Transport Workers, stands at a picket line outside Euston station
 (stock image)

Mr Lynch added: 'It is a national disgrace that many languish on the minimum wage, with no company sick or holiday pay, while doing such an important job of keeping our stations and trains clean.

'These cleaners' strikes are just the beginning of our industrial campaign for the most exploited workers on our railways.'

RMT tweeted on Saturday: 'RMT Senior Assistant General Secretary Eddie Dempsey joins the @RMTunion Cleaners picket line outside Kings Cross station this morning #JusticeForCleaners #FightForFifteen'.

Planned strikes earlier this month were suspended but there has been no breakthrough in the dispute.


RMT tweeted several messages of support on Saturday morning

Sources told the Daily Mail this week that Mr Lynch has softened his stance and has been the most 'deal-minded' they have ever found him in recent meetings.

A source said: 'He needs a way out of the dispute. Rather than things just being dismissed, he's been putting forward practical solutions. There's been talk of using language creatively to get a deal over the line.

'We're nearly there, although next week's strikes are looking baked in. A deal by the end of January is not impossible.'

The rail strikes have cost at least £1.5bn for pubs, bars, restaurants and hotels in the UK in December alone, industry bodies have warned.

They noted that, running alongside the cost of living crisis, the strikes will lead to a loss of many jobs and businesses.


Railway cleaners stage a protest outside the Transport Department, London, calling on the Government to end the 'scandal' of poverty pay (stock image)

Kate Nicholls, the chief executive of UKHospitality, said the financial impact of train strikes on the sector was more severe than anticipated, causing a 'perfect storm' for businesses fighting against surging energy bills and inflation.

She said that as a result, 'undoubtedly we will see more business failures' in the next three months.

Michael Kill, the chief executive of the Night Time Industries Association (NTIA), said: 'Industrial action and cost inflation pressures have decimated trade across the night-time economy, with many hugely concerned that New Year's Eve and New Year's Day will be further impacted by train strikes.'

Ms Nicholls said the recent transport strikes sparked a flurry of cancellations of planned Christmas parties and dinners during the week of December 12.

UKHospitality had predicted a £1.5bn hit from the strikes across December and January but it noted that recent industrial action led to losses of that size in the past month alone.

Ms Nicholls told BBC Radio 4's Today programme: 'The hit in December was more significant than we were anticipating in terms of a slowdown in consumer footfall on the high street during that whole week.'

The NTIA has predicted the decline in trade to its members will total as much as £2bn.

Its boss said several businesses lost up to 50 per cent of revenues during the key Christmas period, which they were counting on for early 2023.

'The Government's postponed announcement on the energy relief extension has left many facing further uncertainty and once again the inability to plan,' Mr Kill said. 'We will without doubt now see a huge swathe of businesses and jobs lost in January due to the Government's inaction.'


Railway cleaners stage a protest outside the Transport Department, London

Union leaders have this week spoken out against claims by the Government that they are running out of funding to continue the strikes.

Ministers are reported to believe that the major unions that have taken part in industrial action will be made to stand down over demands for increased pay for members because they are spending millions of pounds on strike pay and hardship funds.

Mark Serwotka, general secretary of the Public and Communication Services union, which represents striking Border Force officials, said: 'The Tories are clutching at straws. First they say our Border Force strikes aren't working because there are no queues, when everyone knows there are no queues because the military aren't allowed to stop anyone.

'Now they tell us we're running out of money when the opposite is true: our strike fund is the highest it's been for years and we're raising millions of pounds to sustain strike action for six months or more.

'Instead of floundering about, they should talk to us and resolve this dispute.'

RMT union boss Mick Lynch says the government inserted "eight or nine bullet points" into the proposed deal - including driver-only trains (without guards). 

This is a "direct intervention" from the government that "frustrated the train-operating company executives, the most senior people in the industry".
Int'l community says Xi's New Year address conveys hope, confidence for cause of peace, development for humanity

(Xinhua)  January 03, 2023


People release a sky lantern to make a wish for good fortune at a park in Qianxi, southwest China's Guizhou Province, Jan. 1, 2023. (Photo by Fan Hui/Xinhua)

BEIJING, Jan. 2 (Xinhua) -- The New Year speech of Chinese President Xi Jinping on Saturday showed China's remarkable achievements in the past year, and conveyed hope and confidence to the world, observers from around the world have said.

Looking forward to China's continued development and progress in the future, they believe that China's wisdom and solutions will continue to make new and important contributions to the cause of peace and development of mankind.

ADDING CONFIDENCE TO GLOBAL DEVELOPMENT

"In 2022, we successfully convened the 20th National Congress of the Communist Party of China (CPC). An ambitious blueprint has been drawn for building a modern socialist country in all respects and advancing the great rejuvenation of the Chinese nation on all fronts through a Chinese path to modernization, sounding a clarion call of the times for us forging ahead on a new journey," Xi said in the address.

"The Chinese economy has remained the second largest in the world and enjoyed sound development. GDP for the whole year is expected to exceed 120 trillion yuan," he added.

Over the past year, the Chinese people have united as one, made great achievements and injected confidence into global development. The Chinese path to modernization has provided a reference and inspiration for more countries to achieve development.

Noting Xi's New Year speech as warm, powerful, hopeful and inspiring, Ang Teck Sin, a political commentator in Singapore, said that it touched on China's remarkable achievements and once again demonstrated the firm determination to pursue a Chinese path to modernization through its own efforts, adding China has injected positive energy into promoting the healthy development of globalization.

China's key words in 2022 were "overcoming difficulties" and "making achievements," said Serik Korzhumbayev, editor-in-chief of the Delovoy Kazakhstan newspaper. After listening to Xi's New Year speech, he noted that the achievements of the Chinese people in 2022 were remarkable. Against the backdrop of COVID-19, China has optimized and adjusted its prevention and control measures in light of the time and situation, put its people first, protected their lives and health to the greatest extent, and ensured economic and social development, he said.

In the process, the Chinese people have demonstrated their fine quality of uniting in their purposes and efforts and working together with solidarity to address challenges, said Korzhumbayev.

Bambang Suryono, chairman of Indonesia's think tank Asia Innovation Study Center, said the 20th National Congress of the Communist Party of China painted a grand blueprint for building a modern socialist country in a comprehensive way, and is of great significance to unite and inspire the Chinese people to advance the great rejuvenation of the Chinese nation on all fronts through a Chinese path to modernization.

He said that the achievements of the Chinese path to modernization have brought confidence and dividends to the world, and China's development experience will continue to provide important enlightenment for others.

China's development model is based on innovation and focuses on improving people's living standards, which is very important for the world, said Christine Bierre, editor-in-chief of French newspaper New Solidarity.

China's achievements over the past year have caught the world's attention, said Yevgeny Zaitsev, head of the Center for Russian-Chinese Studies at Russia's Lomonosov Moscow State University.

China is steadily promoting development in various fields, and has become a key factor of stability in today's world, bringing confidence and hope to the international community to solve existing problems and achieve sustainable development, the expert said.

Noting that the world today is not peaceful, he pointed out that China, as a responsible major country, actively promotes the building of a human community with a shared future and injects strength into world peace and development.

Kwon Ki-sik, head of the Korea-China City Friendship Association, said Xi's New Year address sends new hope and expectations to the Chinese people and the world.

Over the past few years, China has shown great confidence in all aspects, and will successfully meet challenges and continue to contribute its share to global development, the expert said.

OFFERING OPPORTUNITIES FOR GLOBAL RECOVERY

Xi stressed in his New Year address that the Chinese economy enjoys strong resilience, tremendous potential and great vitality, and the fundamentals sustaining its long-term growth have remained strong.

As long as we stay confident and strive for progress while maintaining stability, we will realize the goals we have set, Xi added.

Today's China is a country where dreams become reality, a country brimming with vigor and vitality, a country that maintains its national character, and a country closely linked with the world, he said.

Over the past year, transformation and turbulence have been evolving continuously, and the tendencies toward unity and division have both been surging and contending with each other. The world economy has fallen into a slump and is in urgent need of recovery. Thus, the world expects China to continue to promote high-quality development, remain committed to building an open world economy, and keep providing new opportunities for the world through China's new development.

Tang Zhimin, director of China ASEAN Studies at the Bangkok-based Panyapiwat Institute of Management, was impressed by the statements that today's China is a country "brimming with vigor and vitality" and "a country closely linked with the world."

In the past year, whether at the Group of 20 Summit or the Asia-Pacific Economic Cooperation Economic Leaders' Meeting, Xi's important propositions have shown the world that China has always been an advocate and promoter of an open world economy, he said.

As the changes unseen in a century are accelerating, Tang said he believed that China will continue to bring opportunities for the development of countries worldwide.

From Xi's New Year address, Korzhumbayev saw new hope for the world economic recovery brought by the steady progress of China's economy while it maintains a stable performance.

China is an advocate of building a mutually beneficial and win-win open world economy, and it is believed that in the new year, China will continue to expand its opening-up with practical actions, and the steady development of China's economy will provide opportunities and momentum for the recovery and development of the world economy, said Korzhumbayev.

Looking back on the past, China's expansion of a high-level opening-up has been a continuous success, established a network of free trade zones oriented to the world characterized by high standards of efficiency and growth, and the Belt and Road Initiative has become an international public good and a platform for international cooperation, and won the support of many countries, Karim Adel, head of the Cairo-based Al Adl Center for Economic and Strategic Studies, told Xinhua.

Meanwhile, China's other initiatives, especially the Global Development Initiative and the Global Security Initiative, have won the support of many countries, Adel added, saying he expects that China will contribute more to achieving prosperity for the international community.

There is no other country like China in the world that made such an important picture of our time ahead, of our future, Volker Tschapke, honorary president of Germany's Prussian Society, told Xinhua.

He said he particularly likes Xi's statement that today's China is a country where dreams become reality, adding "that's always been like this, it is indeed like this. It will be always like this in the future!"

From Xi's New Year address, Carla Oliva, coordinator of the China and Argentina study group at the National University of Rosario in Argentina, saw hope and opportunity for the further improvement of trade between Latin America and China.

China has become an important trading partner and source of investment to Latin America, and economic and trade activities between the two countries have become an important driving force for the economic development of Latin America, Oliva said.

The expert said she firmly believes that a more modern China will contribute more to the world's prosperity and development.

CONTRIBUTING WISDOM TO PEACE, DEVELOPMENT

"We cherish peace and development and value friends and partners as we have always done. We stand firm on the right side of history and on the side of human civilization and progress. We work hard to contribute China's wisdom and solutions to the cause of peace and development for all humanity," Xi said in his address.

The international community believes that China will play an important role in pooling strong synergy to promote common prosperity and progress.

Keith Bennett, a long-term China specialist and vice chair of Britain's 48 Group Club, said he was impressed by Xi's words that China will "work hard to contribute China's wisdom and solutions to the cause of peace and development for all humanity."

In this regard, China practices what it preaches, said Bennett, adding that China calls for promoting a world economic recovery through a comprehensive and inclusive globalization that leaves no people or country behind, and rejects protectionism, embargoes, and unilateral sanctions.

China can put forward proposals, mechanisms and solutions that are in the interest of all humanity, and can therefore be accepted and appreciated by all humanity, Bennett said.

Reviewing China's efforts to maintain global peace in the past year, Katarina Zakic, head of the center for the Belt and Road Initiative at the Institute of International Politics and Economics in Serbia, said changes and turbulent times in 2022 did not stop China from promoting and working on establishing better international relations that are more peaceful and full of opportunities for everyone.

She said those kinds of efforts, but not just from China, are even more needed these days than in some past times; if we had a more similar understanding of world peace and its importance, the world would be much safer.

Ismael Buchanan, a senior lecturer at the Department of Political Science at the University of Rwanda, said China remains a sincere partner for the global community to achieve economic transformation, peaceful coexistence and high-quality development of the joint construction of the Belt and Road Initiative.

"I applaud China's efforts to ensure a peaceful world with immense opportunities for everyone," said Buchanan, adding that roads designed and built by China have promoted Rwanda's trade and the China-built Masaka Hospital has provided high-quality medical services for Rwandans.

Evandro Menezes de Carvalho, head of the Center for Brazil-China Studies of the Getulio Vargas Foundation School of Law in Brazil, follows Xi's new year address every year, saying Xi's latest message once again instilled confidence into the international community.

China's wisdom and solutions are a beacon for the building of a new type of international relations. The vision of building a human community with a shared future put forward by China will help build a more peaceful and better world, he said.

Thanks to the sacrifices and hard work of the Chinese people, the development and economic growth of China remain at significant and appreciable levels in all areas, said Lyazid Benhami, vice president of the Paris Association of French-Chinese Friendship.

He said that Xi, in his address, confirmed China's willingness to cooperate and open up more on the international scene as China's destiny is linked to that of the rest of the world, adding that the world also needs solutions and China's vision in various fields related to development, innovation, and peace.

John Pang, a former senior fellow at New York-based Bard College, said China has been pushing the improvement of global governance by putting forward the Belt and Road Initiative, the Global Development Initiative and the Global Security Initiative.

They are made from a generational commitment, patient and persevering, to work for a human community with a shared future, said Pang, hoping that China could continuously contribute to world peace and development with Chinese wisdom and solutions.

(Web editor: Cai Hairuo, Wu Chaolan)
Op-Ed: The Anthropocene, extinction, and how irritating humans really are

Paul Wallis
January 1, 2023

The Earth's mass can now be expressed as six ronnagrams after scientists voted to add new metric prefixes - Copyright PIB/AFP -

The Anthropocene is the geological age in which human activity dominates life on Earth. The current issue with the Anthropocene is deciding exactly when this global idiocy started in its current form.

My guess would be it’s at the start of large-scale mass production. It’s the first recorded case of the conscious behavior of any species dedicated to making its own habitat uninhabitable. This behavior was carried out against much better judgment and in the face of overwhelming knowledge of the damage being done. It was called “progress”.

The Industrial Revolution and its descendants created the current Global Sewer. It also created the scatterbrained mindsets which have dominated the Anthropocene. Actions without regard for consequences are the norm. This is roughly the equivalent of finding a cliff, jumping off it, and making decisions only after you hit the ground.

In the last 100 years, this decision-making process has made a mockery of even the idea of human intelligence. You couldn’t wish for a more anti-survival series of mistakes. These are the encyclopedia of bad calls which have made human health almost impossible, and endangered human survival in every way possible.

Pollution alone is poisoning the world. Basic thermodynamics, grade school level, is incomprehensible to supposedly educated people. The difference between toxic waste and food is now largely academic. Water may or may not be drinkable. There are no long-term goals of any kind. Most goals are now about fixing the many messes, not moving forward to something better.

All of this brilliance is strained through the dubious intellects and values of the political system. The political system, in turn, automatically divides viewpoints, usually to extremes these days. Politics does so to the point that it’s hard to believe people are even talking about the same things on any subject.

Then there’s “business” – The obsessive mindset that it’s much more important to make a few bucks now than for anyone or anything to survive another couple of seconds. That’s been a big help in crashing humanity and the entire planet.

The net result is a purely nominal society led by a hierarchy of morons. The stupidest lead this parade of fools over as many cliffs as possible. The main function of this hierarchy is wasting time on everything but important issues. Whatever decisions are made will be the wrong ones or at the very least the most counterproductive.

Backlit against the blinding glare of stupidity and ignorance, the future of humanity now is, to put it mildly, speculative. The dystopian futures of fiction are now monotonous daily realities. Dysfunctional societies are festering worldwide. Mad Max could be (and might as well be) about grocery expeditions or a day in an American high school.

One thing for sure about the Anthropocene – It definitely won’t be a long geological period. Other geological eras persisted for millions of years. This one may not make 100 years from now.

Average life expectancy is going down in some places. Countries like the US and UK have lost their higher rankings. Human fertility, particularly male fertility, is tanking badly and the climate isn’t helping. If good old Homo Sap wants a geological era, they better be quick.

Another thing – Other geological eras were interesting. The Anthropocene will be by comparison a few seconds of pretty bad slapstick comedy. “The hilarious misadventures of half-witted apes” about covers it.

The Anthropocene extinction will be followed by something far more interesting. As though there’s a choice.